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Alterity Therapeutics Limited (ATH) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · AU · Market cap A$2.0M

PriceA$0.5600
Fair ValueA$0.8800
Upside+57.1%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Low Range A$0.6600 – A$1.10

Analysis

Alterity Therapeutics Limited (ATH) currently trades at A$0.5600, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.8800 — implying the stock looks roughly 57.1% undervalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low) — always confirm before acting.

About the company

Alterity Therapeutics Limited is engages in research and development of Parkinsonian and neurodegenerative disorders, including Multiple System Atrophy (MSA) and Parkinson's disease. The company's lead drug candidate is ATH434, a small molecule drug candidate that has completed Phase II clinical trial for the treatment of Parkinson's disease. It is also developing ATH434-201, which is in Phase II clinical trial to treat multiple system atrophy early stage; and ATH434-202 that is in Phase II clinical trial to treat multiple system atrophy, as well as biomarkers of progression in multiple system atrophy. The company also operates drug discovery platform that generates patentable chemical compounds to treat the underlying pathology of neurological diseases. The company was formerly known as Prana Biotechnology Limited and changed its name to Alterity Therapeutics Limited in April 2019. Alterity Therapeutics Limited was incorporated in 1997 and is based in Melbourne, Australia.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.