Austin Engineering Limited (AUSTF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Austin Engineering Limited $0.22, price $0.13, upside +69.2%, quality 58 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0991 – $0.4644 · fair‑value band $0.1700 – $0.5800 · the $0.1300 price screens below the $0.2200 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Austin Engineering Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, repairs, overhauls, and supplies mining attachment products, and other related products and services for the industrial and resources-related business sectors.
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Austin Engineering Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, repairs, overhauls, and supplies mining attachment products, and other related products and services for the industrial and resources-related business sectors. The company offers buckets, such as back hoe, wheel loader, hydraulic loading shovels, rope shovel dipper, and underground LHD; and dump bodies, underground dump bodies, tyre handlers, ancillary products, and water tanks. It also provides on and off site repair and maintenance services, including specialized site machining, specialized fabrication and welding, specialized machining, on-site machining of ball and crusher mill tyre, metal spraying, NDT testing, service and exchange parts, and heavy equipment reclamation services, as well as manufacturing and supply of pins and bushes. It operates in Australia, Chile, the United States, Canada, Indonesia, and internationally. The company was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Kewdale, Australia.
Stock analysis
Austin Engineering Limited (AUSTF) currently trades at $0.1300, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2200, implying the stock looks roughly 40.9% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $0.5400 per share, and 14 of the 17 models we run sit above the $0.1300 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $0.1000, and 3 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.1700 (bear) to $0.5800 (bull), the price of $0.1300 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Austin Engineering Limited reported revenue of A$379M in FY2025 versus A$198M in FY2021, a compound +17.7%/yr. Reported net income was A$26.0M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $79.8M · P/E ratio 6.5 · P/S ratio 0.45 · EPS (TTM) $0.0200 · Dividend yield 9.2% · Net margin 6.9% · Return on equity 10.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 69%, AUSTF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.1700Fair Value $0.2200Bull $0.5800
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0080 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.54/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+21.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.3% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
≈ +29.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+20.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)9.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.45.5% vs 14.0%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 15.3%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2025 sits 51% above its own trend.
Compare Austin Engineering Limited with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 145 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score58 · Above median
Fair Value upside+106.5% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)10.6% · Above median
Return on assets3.3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)3.9% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)1.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−2.7% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)9.2% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.11× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper
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Is Austin Engineering Limited (AUSTF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.2200 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $0.1300, about +69% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of AUSTF?
Our model-based fair value for Austin Engineering Limited is $0.2200 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $0.1300.
What is the quality score of AUSTF?
Austin Engineering Limited has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Austin Engineering Limited (AUSTF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.2200 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.1700, optimistic scenario $0.5800. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Austin Engineering Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.2200, about +69% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $0.1300 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.1700, optimistic scenario $0.5800. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Austin Engineering Limited (AUSTF)?
Austin Engineering Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$372M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Austin Engineering Limited pay a dividend?
Austin Engineering Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 9.23% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Austin Engineering Limited (AUSTF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Austin Engineering Limited it is $0.2200 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.1300. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Austin Engineering Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, AUSTF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.1300, fair value $0.2200, a gap of about +69% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AUSTF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.1300); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.2200). For Austin Engineering Limited the two are $0.0900 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Austin Engineering Limited worth?
The market values Austin Engineering Limited at about $79.8M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.1300; our models calculate a fair value of $0.2200 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AUSTF?
Our models span a range for Austin Engineering Limited: cautious scenario $0.1700, base $0.2200, optimistic $0.5800 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.1300). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AUSTF?
Austin Engineering Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.2200 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.6, P/S 0.2, EV/EBITDA 3.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Austin Engineering Limited (AUSTF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Austin Engineering Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 10.6%, debt of 0.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AUSTF from its 52-week high?
Austin Engineering Limited trades at $0.1300, about 39% below its 52-week high of $0.2145 and 19% above the low of $0.1089 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.2200 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Austin Engineering Limited?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Caterpillar Inc, Deere & Company, PACCAR Inc, Daimler Truck Holding, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Austin Engineering Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.1300, calculated fair value $0.2200 (+69%), Quality Score 58/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AUSTF calculated?
We run Austin Engineering Limited through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.2200, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Austin Engineering Limited currently trades 41 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Austin Engineering Limited (AUSTF)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $0.1300. Our model-based fair value is $0.2200, about +69% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Austin Engineering Limited right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.1700). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The model range is unusually wide ($0.1700 to $0.5800). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Austin Engineering Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Austin Engineering Limited (AUSTF)?
The market capitalisation of Austin Engineering Limited is $79.8M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Austin Engineering Limited (AUSTF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Austin Engineering Limited is 0.45 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Austin Engineering Limited (AUSTF)?
Earnings per share at Austin Engineering Limited are $0.0200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Austin Engineering Limited (AUSTF)?
The dividend yield of Austin Engineering Limited is 9.2% (payout 60.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Austin Engineering Limited (AUSTF)?
The net margin of Austin Engineering Limited is 6.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Austin Engineering Limited (AUSTF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Austin Engineering Limited is 10.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Austin Engineering Limited (AUSTF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Austin Engineering Limited is 10.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Austin Engineering Limited (AUSTF)?
The operating margin of Austin Engineering Limited is 1.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Austin Engineering Limited (AUSTF)?
Revenue at Austin Engineering Limited is growing −2.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +23.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Austin Engineering Limited (AUSTF)?
Earnings per share at Austin Engineering Limited are growing −86.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Austin Engineering Limited (AUSTF) generate?
The free cash flow of Austin Engineering Limited is −A$6.9M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Austin Engineering Limited (AUSTF) carry?
The net debt of Austin Engineering Limited is A$32.2M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026