Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A (AUTME) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A €3.84, price €2.68, upside +43.3%, quality 58 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €2.20 – €33.17 · fair‑value band €2.53 – €4.80 · the €2.68 price screens below the €3.84 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A. engages in the design, construction, and operation of Naples-Pompeii-Salerno motorway in Italy. Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A. was founded in 1925 and is based in Naples, Italy. The company operates as a subsidiary of Autostrade per l'Italia S.p.A.
Stock analysis
Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A (AUTME) currently trades at €2.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €3.84, implying the stock looks roughly 30.2% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: €2.53 (bear) to €4.80 (bull), the price of €2.68 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A reported revenue of €0 in FY2025 versus €90.1M in FY2021. Reported net income was −€459K in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap €11.7M · P/E ratio 134.0 · P/S ratio 12.4 · EPS (TTM) €0.0200 · Net margin −48.6% · Return on equity −2.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.0% · Operating margin −788%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at 43%, AUTME screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €2.53Fair Value €3.84Bull €4.80
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.0147 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−66.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−53.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−40.6%
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.0%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
39.5% (2017) → −53.1% (2023)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 839 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score60 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+43% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets−1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−49% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−98% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
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Is Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A (AUTME) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €3.84 versus a price of €2.68, about +43% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of AUTME?
Our model-based fair value for Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A is €3.84 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €2.68.
What is the quality score of AUTME?
Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A (AUTME)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €3.84 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario €2.53, optimistic scenario €4.80. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €3.84, about +43% upside versus a price of €2.68 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €2.53, optimistic scenario €4.80. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A (AUTME)?
Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €944K (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A (AUTME)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A it is €3.84 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €2.68. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, AUTME trades below its calculated fair value: price €2.68, fair value €3.84, a gap of about +43% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AUTME?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€2.68); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€3.84). For Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A the two are €1.16 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A worth?
The market values Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A at about €11.7M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €2.68; our models calculate a fair value of €3.84 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AUTME?
Our models span a range for Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A: cautious scenario €2.53, base €3.84, optimistic €4.80 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €2.68). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AUTME?
Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 134.0 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €3.84 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.8, P/S 14.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A (AUTME)?
Balance-sheet figures for Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −2.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AUTME from its 52-week high?
Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A trades at €2.68, about 11% below its 52-week high of €3.00 and 5% above the low of €2.55 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €3.84 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €2.68, calculated fair value €3.84 (+43%), Quality Score 58/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AUTME calculated?
We run Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €3.84, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A currently trades 43 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A (AUTME)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was €2.68. Our model-based fair value is €3.84, about +43% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A right now?
The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (€2.53 to €4.80) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A (AUTME) come from?
Earnings per share at Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A grew +23.1 % a year from 2013 to 2023. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −6.7 %, EBIT margin +9.2 %, tax rate +5.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +14.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A
How large is the market capitalisation of Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A (AUTME)?
The market capitalisation of Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A is €11.7M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A (AUTME)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A is 12.4 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A (AUTME)?
Earnings per share at Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A are €0.0200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 134.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A (AUTME)?
The net margin of Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A is −48.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A (AUTME)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A is −2.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A (AUTME)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A is 2.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A (AUTME)?
The operating margin of Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A is −788% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A (AUTME)?
Revenue at Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A is growing −98.4% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A (AUTME)?
Earnings per share at Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A are growing −38.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A (AUTME) generate?
The free cash flow of Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A is −€1.6M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A (AUTME) hold?
Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A holds more cash than debt, €28.1M net (fiscal year 2023). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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