Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited (AVADHSUGAR) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited ₹376, price ₹797, upside -52.8%, quality 44 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹287.72 – ₹855.30 · fair‑value band ₹318.37 – ₹561.60 · the ₹796.50 price screens above the ₹376.27 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited manufactures and sells sugar and its by-products in India. The company operates through Sugar, Distillery, Co-generation, and Others segments. It offers molasses, bagasse, and press-mud products. In addition, the company provides industrial spirits, including ethanol and fusel oil.
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Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited manufactures and sells sugar and its by-products in India. The company operates through Sugar, Distillery, Co-generation, and Others segments. It offers molasses, bagasse, and press-mud products. In addition, the company provides industrial spirits, including ethanol and fusel oil. Further, the company is involved in generation and transmission of power, as well as trading of petroleum products. Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Kolkata, India.
Stock analysis
Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited (AVADHSUGAR) currently trades at ₹796.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹376.27, implying the stock looks roughly 111.7% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ₹601.15 per share, and 3 of the 15 models we run sit above the ₹796.50 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ₹84.84, and 12 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ₹318.37 (bear) to ₹561.60 (bull), the price of ₹796.50 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited reported revenue of ₹26.9B in FY2026 versus ₹27.2B in FY2022, a compound −0.2%/yr. Reported net income was ₹573M in FY2026, compounding −17.6%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹15.9B (≈ $166M) · P/E ratio 27.8 · P/S ratio 0.59 · EPS (TTM) ₹28.62 · Dividend yield 1.3% · Net margin 2.1% · Return on equity 5.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 36 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 156% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −41% fair-value upside, at −53%, AVADHSUGAR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹318.37Fair Value ₹376.27Bull ₹561.60
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹9.18 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.16/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.3%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−7.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−8.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−8.3% vs −11.9%, picking up
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 6%
Compare Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Confectioners · 83 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score44 · Below median
Fair Value upside−52.8% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)5.2% · Below median
Return on assets3.5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)2.1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)15.5% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−1.2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.3% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.29× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Confectioners median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)27.8× · Pricier than median
P/B1.42× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)0.59× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA8.7× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 15
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)21· sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)85· sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)25· sector 53
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AVADHSUGAR
Frequently asked questions
Is Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited (AVADHSUGAR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹376.27 versus a price of ₹796.50, about −53% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AVADHSUGAR?
Our model-based fair value for Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited is ₹376.27 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹796.50.
What is the quality score of AVADHSUGAR?
Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited (AVADHSUGAR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹376.27 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹318.37, optimistic scenario ₹561.60. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹376.27, about −53% upside versus a price of ₹796.50 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹318.37, optimistic scenario ₹561.60. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited (AVADHSUGAR)?
Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹26.9B (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited pay a dividend?
Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.26% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited (AVADHSUGAR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited it is ₹376.27 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ₹796.50. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, AVADHSUGAR trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹796.50, fair value ₹376.27, a gap of about −53% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AVADHSUGAR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹796.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹376.27). For Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited the two are ₹420.23 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited worth?
The market values Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited at about ₹15.9B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ₹796.50; our models calculate a fair value of ₹376.27 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AVADHSUGAR?
Our models span a range for Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited: cautious scenario ₹318.37, base ₹376.27, optimistic ₹561.60 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ₹796.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AVADHSUGAR?
Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 27.8 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹376.27 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.4, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 8.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited (AVADHSUGAR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 5.2%, debt of 0.29 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AVADHSUGAR from its 52-week high?
Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited trades at ₹796.50, about 7% below its 52-week high of ₹855.30 and 156% above the low of ₹311.25 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹376.27 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Mondelez International, Inc, The Hershey Company, Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG, Barry Callebaut AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ₹796.50, calculated fair value ₹376.27 (−53%), Quality Score 44/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AVADHSUGAR calculated?
We run Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹376.27, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited (AVADHSUGAR)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was ₹796.50. Our model-based fair value is ₹376.27, about −53% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹561.60). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Key figures of Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited (AVADHSUGAR)?
The market capitalisation of Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited is ₹15.9B (≈ $166M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited (AVADHSUGAR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited is 0.59 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited (AVADHSUGAR)?
Earnings per share at Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited are ₹28.62 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 27.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited (AVADHSUGAR)?
The dividend yield of Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited is 1.3% (payout 34.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited (AVADHSUGAR)?
The net margin of Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited is 2.1% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited (AVADHSUGAR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited is 5.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited (AVADHSUGAR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited is 10.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited (AVADHSUGAR)?
The operating margin of Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited is 15.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited (AVADHSUGAR)?
Revenue at Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited is growing −1.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited (AVADHSUGAR)?
Earnings per share at Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited are growing −22.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited (AVADHSUGAR) generate?
The free cash flow of Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited is −₹247M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited (AVADHSUGAR) carry?
The net debt of Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited is ₹14.0B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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