AVANTEL LTD. (AVANTEL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what AVANTEL LTD. is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Structural break:
The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value ₹15.80 · Strongly overvalued (−90%)
!Quality 27/100
!Expensive Growth(revenue 5y +23.4 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 7.1% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·0.13% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers(6/13)
!Narrow moat44/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹5.14 – ₹211.08 · fair‑value band ₹11.85 – ₹19.75 · the ₹156.35 price screens above the ₹15.80 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Avantel Limited manufactures and sells telecom products and related services in India. The company offers software defined radios; satellite communication equipment; HF communication equipment; radar systems; network management systems and application software; and embedded systems and digital signal processing solutions.
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Avantel Limited manufactures and sells telecom products and related services in India. The company offers software defined radios; satellite communication equipment; HF communication equipment; radar systems; network management systems and application software; and embedded systems and digital signal processing solutions. It also provides mobile satellite services (MSS) network that offers voice and data communications to ships, submarines, aircraft, and Helios; UHF SATCOM network; wind profile radars; real-time information system for Indian railways; ERM-SAT systems; solutions for ocean gauges and tide gauge applications; and visual databases for aircraft simulators. In addition, the company offers RF test equipment, such as ADS, EMDS, ACAD, SOLID WORKS CADSTAR, digital transmission analyzers, logic analyzer, network analyzers, spectrum analyzers, vector signal generators and analyzers, radio communication test sets, signal generators, high power test and measuring instruments, and BER testers; and testing and assembly facilities. Further, it provides engineering facilities, including CNC vertical machining centers, CNC turning lathe machines, drill tap machines, painting and chromatisation, 3D printing facility, wire cutting machines, wire drilling machines, injection molding facilities, surface grinding machines, and cylindrical grinding machines, as well as soldering, wire harness, and potting facilities. Additionally, it manufactures and sells health care products. Avantel Limited was incorporated in 1990 and is based in Hyderabad, India.
Stock analysis
AVANTEL LTD. (AVANTEL) currently trades at ₹156.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹15.80, implying the stock looks roughly 889.1% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹21.04 per share, and 0 of the 14 models we run sit above the ₹156.35 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at ₹7.43, and 14 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹11.85 (bear) to ₹19.75 (bull), the price of ₹156.35 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
AVANTEL LTD. reported revenue of ₹2.2B in FY2025 versus ₹1.0B in FY2021, a compound +20.6%/yr. Reported net income was ₹150M in FY2025, compounding −4.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap ₹41.5B (≈ $436M) · P/E ratio 372.3 · P/S ratio 25.1 · EPS (TTM) ₹0.4200 · Dividend yield 0.1% · Net margin 6.7% · Return on equity 5.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 23.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 45 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −59% fair-value upside, at −90%, AVANTEL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹11.85Fair Value ₹15.80Bull ₹19.75
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹0.2464 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.46/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−10.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.4%
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−23.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−23.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−24% vs 0%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.25% → 13%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 16.6%/yr over ~7Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Communication Equipment · 301 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score26 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−90% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)5% · Above median
Return on assets5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)15% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth36% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.04× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)372.3× · Priciest 25%
P/B12.59× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)17.64× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA79.0× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 34
PAST (return on equity)21· sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)98· sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)3· sector 24
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "AVANTEL LTD. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AVANTEL
Frequently asked questions
Is AVANTEL LTD. (AVANTEL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹15.80 versus a price of ₹156.35, about −90% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AVANTEL?
Our model-based fair value for AVANTEL LTD. is ₹15.80 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹156.35.
What is the quality score of AVANTEL?
AVANTEL LTD. has a Quality Score of 27/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for AVANTEL LTD. (AVANTEL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹15.80 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹11.85, optimistic scenario ₹19.75. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the AVANTEL LTD. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹15.80, about −90% upside versus a price of ₹156.35 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹11.85, optimistic scenario ₹19.75. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of AVANTEL LTD. (AVANTEL)?
AVANTEL LTD. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹2.2B (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does AVANTEL LTD. pay a dividend?
AVANTEL LTD. currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.13% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of AVANTEL LTD. (AVANTEL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For AVANTEL LTD. it is ₹15.80 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of ₹156.35. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is AVANTEL LTD. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, AVANTEL trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹156.35, fair value ₹15.80, a gap of about −90% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AVANTEL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹156.35); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹15.80). For AVANTEL LTD. the two are ₹140.55 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is AVANTEL LTD. worth?
The market values AVANTEL LTD. at about ₹41.5B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is ₹156.35; our models calculate a fair value of ₹15.80 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AVANTEL?
Our models span a range for AVANTEL LTD.: cautious scenario ₹11.85, base ₹15.80, optimistic ₹19.75 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price ₹156.35). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AVANTEL?
AVANTEL LTD. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 372.3 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹15.80 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 12.6, P/S 17.6, EV/EBITDA 79.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of AVANTEL LTD. (AVANTEL)?
Balance-sheet figures for AVANTEL LTD. (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 5.2%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 27/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AVANTEL from its 52-week high?
AVANTEL LTD. trades at ₹156.35, about 27% below its 52-week high of ₹214.73 and 33% above the low of ₹117.55 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹15.80 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to AVANTEL LTD.?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Cisco Systems, Inc, Zhongji Innolight Co, Foxconn Industrial Internet Co, Eoptolink Technology Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is AVANTEL LTD. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price ₹156.35, calculated fair value ₹15.80 (−90%), Quality Score 27/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AVANTEL calculated?
We run AVANTEL LTD. through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹15.80, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. AVANTEL LTD. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with AVANTEL LTD. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹19.75). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (27/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of AVANTEL LTD.
How large is the market capitalisation of AVANTEL LTD. (AVANTEL)?
The market capitalisation of AVANTEL LTD. is ₹41.5B (≈ $436M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of AVANTEL LTD. (AVANTEL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of AVANTEL LTD. is 25.1 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of AVANTEL LTD. (AVANTEL)?
Earnings per share at AVANTEL LTD. are ₹0.4200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 372.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of AVANTEL LTD. (AVANTEL)?
The dividend yield of AVANTEL LTD. is 0.1% (payout 47.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of AVANTEL LTD. (AVANTEL)?
The net margin of AVANTEL LTD. is 6.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of AVANTEL LTD. (AVANTEL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of AVANTEL LTD. is 5.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of AVANTEL LTD. (AVANTEL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of AVANTEL LTD. is 23.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of AVANTEL LTD. (AVANTEL)?
The operating margin of AVANTEL LTD. is 14.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at AVANTEL LTD. (AVANTEL)?
Revenue at AVANTEL LTD. is growing +35.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +12.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at AVANTEL LTD. (AVANTEL)?
Earnings per share at AVANTEL LTD. are growing +66.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does AVANTEL LTD. (AVANTEL) generate?
The free cash flow of AVANTEL LTD. is −₹827M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does AVANTEL LTD. (AVANTEL) carry?
The net debt of AVANTEL LTD. is ₹286M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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