ADITYA VISION LTD (AVL) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · IN · Market cap ₹77.7B
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 24, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 24, 2026, revised from ₹153.92 to ₹169.76 (+10.3%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −5.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 72% overvalued on our models.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹245.59). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (₹103.37 to ₹245.59) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (21 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
21‑month range ₹336.96 – ₹668.55 · fair‑value band ₹103.37 – ₹245.59 · the ₹601.35 price screens above the ₹169.76 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 24, 2026.
Analysis
ADITYA VISION LTD (AVL) currently trades at ₹601.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹169.76, implying the stock looks roughly 71.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, ADITYA VISION LTD generated revenue of ₹26.7B at a net margin of 4.4%. Revenue grew 28.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.4%. Net debt stands at ₹5.4B. Fundamentals as of Aug 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹103.37 (bear case) to ₹245.59 (bull case); at ₹601.35, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 71% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at -72%, AVL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹293.37) versus Dividend Discount (₹15.76). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Aditya Vision Limited engages in the retail business of consumer durables and electronics in India. The company sells digital gadgets, such as mobile phones, laptops, and tablets; entertainment solutions, including televisions, sound bars, home theaters, cameras, and accessories; home appliances comprising air conditioners, air coolers, refrigerators, and …
Full company description
Aditya Vision Limited engages in the retail business of consumer durables and electronics in India. The company sells digital gadgets, such as mobile phones, laptops, and tablets; entertainment solutions, including televisions, sound bars, home theaters, cameras, and accessories; home appliances comprising air conditioners, air coolers, refrigerators, and washing machines; and small appliances/cooking and kitchen appliances, including chimneys, air fryers, soup makers, cooktops, and dishwashers, as well as mobility and IT products. Aditya Vision Limited was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Patna, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
ADITYA VISION LTD reported revenue of ₹26.7B in FY2026 versus ₹9.0B in FY2022, a compound +31.3%/yr. Reported net income was ₹1.2B in FY2026, compounding +34.9%/yr from FY2022.
AVL screens 72% overvalued. Compare with Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc →
Peer Group
Specialty Retail · 227 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc ATD | C$89.93 | C$104.32 | +16% |
| Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY | $828.38 | $398.90 | -52% |
| Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM | $245.15 | $162.63 | -34% |
| Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA | $531.89 | $475.40 | -11% |
| DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS | $202.66 | $181.10 | -11% |
| Best Buy Co BBY | $83.00 | $108.04 | +30% |
| China Tourism Group 601888 | ¥54.97 | ¥40.40 | -27% |
| Tractor Supply Company TSCO | $36.43 | $35.52 | -2% |
| Murphy USA Inc MUSA | $574.12 | $423.35 | -26% |
| Five Below, Inc FIVE | $238.15 | $117.29 | -51% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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