Aviv Arlon Ltd (AVLN) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · Il · Market cap 141M ILA
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 26, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price −14.0% over the past month.
A solid business, but trading 113% above our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (3.73 ILA). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (1.95 ILA to 3.73 ILA) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 26, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.0100 ILA – 16.34 ILA · fair‑value band 1.95 ILA – 3.73 ILA · the 6.46 ILA price screens above the 3.03 ILA fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 26, 2026.
Analysis
Aviv Arlon Ltd (AVLN) currently trades at 6.46 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.03 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 53.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 18.3M ILA. Revenue declined 71.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 21.2M ILA. Fundamentals as of Aug 26, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 1.95 ILA (bear case) to 3.73 ILA (bull case); at 6.46 ILA, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 50% fair-value upside, at -53%, AVLN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (3.54 ILA) versus Asset-Based (0.4400 ILA). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 18
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Aviv Arlon Ltd. focuses on the acquisition, improvement, development, leasing, and management of commercial real estate in the United States and Serbia. The company was incorporated in 1992 and is based in Ramat Gan, Israel.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2018 – FY2022 · reported fiscal years
Aviv Arlon Ltd reported revenue of 8.0K ILA in FY2022 versus 27.0M ILA in FY2018, a compound −86.9%/yr. Reported net income was −32.9M ILA in FY2022.
AVLN screens 53% overvalued. Compare with SMPH →
Peer Group
Real Estate Operations · 37 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Operations median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate Operations stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 26, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMPH SMPH | 18.10 PHP | 17.40 PHP | -4% |
| AC AC | 432.20 PHP | 648.66 PHP | +50% |
| DDPR DDPR | 93.00 PHP | 112.27 PHP | +21% |
| ALLHC ALLHC | 1.18 PHP | 0.7300 PHP | -38% |
| DMW DMW | 4.90 PHP | 5.11 PHP | +4% |
| FLI FLI | 0.6900 PHP | 1.73 PHP | +151% |
| 505355 505355 | ₹1,039 | ₹1,996 | +92% |
| SLI SLI | 1.95 PHP | 4.88 PHP | +150% |
| PT Rimo International Lestari Tbk RIMO | 50.00 IDR | 72.09 IDR | +44% |
| SHNG SHNG | 3.19 PHP | 7.98 PHP | +150% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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