Accent Group Ltd (AX1) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Accent Group Ltd A$0.80, price A$0.67, upside +19.3%, quality 62 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.5250 – A$2.42 · fair‑value band A$0.5589 – A$1.04 · the A$0.6700 price screens below the A$0.7990 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Accent Group Limited engages in the retail, distribution, and franchise of lifestyle footwear, apparel, and accessories in Australia and New Zealand. Its banners and brands include Skechers, The Athlete's Foot (TAF), Platypus Shoes, Hype DC, Merrell, Vans, Dr.
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Accent Group Limited engages in the retail, distribution, and franchise of lifestyle footwear, apparel, and accessories in Australia and New Zealand. Its banners and brands include Skechers, The Athlete's Foot (TAF), Platypus Shoes, Hype DC, Merrell, Vans, Dr. Martens, Saucony, Timberland, HOKA, Hershel, Superga, Subtype, Stylerunner, Nude Lucy, Glue Store and UGG, with Sports Direct, and Dickies and Lacoste brands. The company also sells its products under the Alpha, Article One, Beyond Her, First Muse, Henleys, IN THE NAME OF_, Lulu & Rose, Weekend Cartel, and Sneaker LAB brands. The company was formerly known as RCG Corporation Limited and changed its name to Accent Group Limited in November 2017. Accent Group Limited was founded in 1988 and is based in Richmond, Australia.
Stock analysis
Accent Group Ltd (AX1) currently trades at A$0.6700, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.7990, implying the stock looks roughly 16.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of A$6.26 per share, and 25 of the 26 models we run sit above the A$0.6700 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at A$0.5300, and 1 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: A$0.5589 (bear) to A$1.04 (bull), the price of A$0.6700 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Accent Group Ltd reported revenue of A$1.5B in FY2025 versus A$982M in FY2021, a compound +10.7%/yr. Reported net income was A$57.7M in FY2025, compounding −7.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap A$430M (≈ $303M) · P/E ratio 11.2 · P/S ratio 0.44 · EPS (TTM) A$0.0600 · Dividend yield 7.2% · Net margin 3.9% · Return on equity 8.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 19%, AX1 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$0.5589Fair Value A$0.7990Bull A$1.04
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$0.0120 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.79/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +26.9% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+7.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+0.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)7.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.0% vs 8%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.11% → 7%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Apparel Retail · 104 stocks
Beats the industry median on 13/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score62 · Above median
Fair Value upside+19% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)8% · Above median
Return on assets4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)7% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)7.2% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.29× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Apparel Retail median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Accent Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AX1
Frequently asked questions
Is Accent Group Ltd (AX1) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.7990 versus a price of A$0.6700, about +19% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of AX1?
Our model-based fair value for Accent Group Ltd is A$0.7990 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.6700.
What is the quality score of AX1?
Accent Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Accent Group Ltd (AX1)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.7990 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.5589, optimistic scenario A$1.04. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Accent Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.7990, about +19% upside versus a price of A$0.6700 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$0.5589, optimistic scenario A$1.04. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Accent Group Ltd (AX1)?
Accent Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$1.5B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Accent Group Ltd pay a dividend?
Accent Group Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.16% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Accent Group Ltd (AX1)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Accent Group Ltd it is A$0.7990 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$0.6700. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Accent Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, AX1 trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.6700, fair value A$0.7990, a gap of about +19% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AX1?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.6700); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.7990). For Accent Group Ltd the two are A$0.1290 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Accent Group Ltd worth?
The market values Accent Group Ltd at about A$430M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$0.6700; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.7990 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AX1?
Our models span a range for Accent Group Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.5589, base A$0.7990, optimistic A$1.04 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price A$0.6700). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AX1?
Accent Group Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.2 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$0.7990 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.8, P/B 0.6, P/S 0.2, EV/EBITDA 2.7.
What is the PEG ratio of AX1?
The PEG ratio of Accent Group Ltd is 0.76 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Accent Group Ltd (AX1)?
Balance-sheet figures for Accent Group Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 8.2%, debt of 0.29 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 62/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AX1 from its 52-week high?
Accent Group Ltd trades at A$0.6700, about 49% below its 52-week high of A$1.33 and 28% above the low of A$0.5250 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.7990 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Accent Group Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Industria de Diseño Textil, S.A, The TJX Companies, Inc, Fast Retailing Co, Ross Stores, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Accent Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$0.6700, calculated fair value A$0.7990 (+19%), Quality Score 62/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AX1 calculated?
We run Accent Group Ltd through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.7990, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Accent Group Ltd currently trades 19 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Accent Group Ltd (AX1)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was A$0.6700. Our model-based fair value is A$0.7990, about +19% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Accent Group Ltd right now?
A fairly wide model range (A$0.5589 to A$1.04) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Accent Group Ltd (AX1) come from?
Earnings per share at Accent Group Ltd grew +9.9 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +16.3 %, EBIT margin −4.6 %, tax rate +0.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Accent Group Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Accent Group Ltd (AX1)?
The market capitalisation of Accent Group Ltd is A$430M (≈ $303M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Accent Group Ltd (AX1)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Accent Group Ltd is 0.44 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Accent Group Ltd (AX1)?
Earnings per share at Accent Group Ltd are A$0.0600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Accent Group Ltd (AX1)?
The dividend yield of Accent Group Ltd is 7.2% (payout 80.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Accent Group Ltd (AX1)?
The net margin of Accent Group Ltd is 3.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Accent Group Ltd (AX1)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Accent Group Ltd is 8.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Accent Group Ltd (AX1)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Accent Group Ltd is 8.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Accent Group Ltd (AX1)?
The operating margin of Accent Group Ltd is 7.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Accent Group Ltd (AX1)?
Revenue at Accent Group Ltd is growing +5.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Accent Group Ltd (AX1)?
Earnings per share at Accent Group Ltd are growing −44.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Accent Group Ltd (AX1) generate?
The free cash flow of Accent Group Ltd is A$204M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Accent Group Ltd (AX1) carry?
The net debt of Accent Group Ltd is A$496M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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