Accent Group (AX1) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · AU · Market cap A$430M
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
A solid business, screening 195% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$1.50). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.5250 – A$2.42 · fair‑value band A$1.50 – A$2.64 · the A$0.7150 price screens below the A$2.11 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Accent Group (AX1) currently trades at A$0.7150, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$2.11, implying the stock looks roughly 195.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Accent Group generated revenue of A$1.5B at a net margin of 2.5%. Revenue grew 5.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.2%. Net debt stands at A$496M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$1.50 (bear case) to A$2.64 (bull case); at A$0.7150, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 60% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at 195%, AX1 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (A$5.85) versus Asset-Based (A$0.5300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Notify me when AX1 reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Accent Group Limited engages in the retail, distribution, and franchise of lifestyle footwear, apparel, and accessories in Australia and New Zealand. Its banners and brands include Skechers, The Athlete's Foot (TAF), Platypus Shoes, Hype DC, Merrell, Vans, Dr.
Full company description
Accent Group Limited engages in the retail, distribution, and franchise of lifestyle footwear, apparel, and accessories in Australia and New Zealand. Its banners and brands include Skechers, The Athlete's Foot (TAF), Platypus Shoes, Hype DC, Merrell, Vans, Dr. Martens, Saucony, Timberland, HOKA, Hershel, Superga, Subtype, Stylerunner, Nude Lucy, Glue Store and UGG, with Sports Direct, and Dickies and Lacoste brands. The company also sells its products under the Alpha, Article One, Beyond Her, First Muse, Henleys, IN THE NAME OF_, Lulu & Rose, Weekend Cartel, and Sneaker LAB brands. The company was formerly known as RCG Corporation Limited and changed its name to Accent Group Limited in November 2017. Accent Group Limited was founded in 1988 and is based in Richmond, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Accent Group reported revenue of A$1.5B in FY2025 versus A$982M in FY2021, a compound +10.7%/yr. Reported net income was A$57.7M in FY2025, compounding −7.0%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +23.3 pp · buybacks/dilution −7.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch AX1: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Accent rejects Frasers takeover approach as “materially inadequate”
- Frasers Group launches $222m takeover offer for Accent Group
Peer Group
Apparel Retail · 106 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Apparel Retail median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Apparel Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Industria de Diseño Textil, S.A 1ITX | €58.44 | €23.29 | -60% |
| The TJX Companies, Inc TJX | $154.46 | $84.95 | -45% |
| Fast Retailing Co 6288 | HK$40.00 | HK$15.37 | -62% |
| Ross Stores, Inc ROST | $233.46 | $118.41 | -49% |
| Burlington Stores, Inc BURL | $327.72 | $147.08 | -55% |
| Trent Limited TRENT | ₹2,903 | ₹709.49 | -76% |
| lululemon athletica inc., LULU | $116.33 | $299.63 | +158% |
| Aritzia Inc ATZ | C$160.05 | C$87.26 | -45% |
| The Gap, Inc GAP | $20.35 | $37.12 | +82% |
| Urban Outfitters, Inc URBN | $72.95 | $92.88 | +27% |
Compare Accent Group with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Consumer Cyclical stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Accent Group (AX1) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of AX1?
What is the quality score of AX1?
What is the revenue of Accent Group (AX1)?
What is the net profit margin of AX1?
Does Accent Group pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Accent Group and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.