Braskem SA Class A (BAK) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $1.3B · ISIN US1055321053
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 27, 2026, revised from $2.24 to $1.61 (−28.2%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −30.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range ($1.06 to $2.01) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.48 – $21.78 · fair‑value band $1.06 – $2.01 · the $1.64 price screens above the $1.61 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
Analysis
Braskem SA Class A (BAK) currently trades at $1.64, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.61, implying the stock looks roughly 1.9% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Braskem SA Class A generated revenue of $66.7B at a net margin of -13.7%. Revenue declined 20.4% year over year. Net debt stands at $60.8B. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.06 (bear case) to $2.01 (bull case); at $1.64, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 70% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -54% fair-value upside, at -2%, BAK screens cheaper than that median.
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 14
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Braskem S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture, sale, import, and export of chemicals, petrochemicals, and fuels in Brazil.
Full company description
Braskem S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture, sale, import, and export of chemicals, petrochemicals, and fuels in Brazil. It produces and sells polyethylene (PE), polypropylene, tertiary-butyl ethyl ether, gasoline, benzene, toluene, xylene, ethylene, propylene, polyvinyl chloride, caustic soda, butadiene, cumene, naphtha, solvents, and condensate; thermoplastic resins; and basic petrochemicals. The company also supplies electricity and other inputs to second-generation producers; and sale of utilities such as steam, water, compressed air and industrial gases, as well as provides industrial services and natural gas. It also operates in the United States, Mexico, Switzerland, Argentina, Germany, Japan, the Netherlands, Singapore, Chile, Spain, Peru, Italy, Luxembourg, China, and internationally. The company was formerly known as Copene Petroquímica do Nordeste S.A. and changed its name to Braskem S.A. in 2002. Braskem S.A. was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil. Braskem S.A. is a subsidiary of NSP Investimentos S.A.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Braskem SA Class A reported revenue of R$69.3B in FY2025 versus R$106B in FY2021, a compound −10.0%/yr. Reported net income was −R$9.7B in FY2025.
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Market Chatter: Petrobras Mulling Loosening Braskem's Contract Terms, Boosting Naptha Supplies Amid Debt Negotiations
- Braskem Idesa files pre-packaged Chapter 11 to trim $920M-plus in debt
- Braskem Idesa, S.A.P.I takes strategic action through consensual restructuring to reduce its debt by more than US$920 MM
- Market Chatter: Petrobras Considers Easing Terms for Braskem Ahead of Deadline
Peer Group
Chemicals · 347 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BASF SE BASF | 18,822 HUF | 8,592 HUF | -54% |
| Saudi Basic Industries Corporation 2010 | 49.50 SAR | 18.13 SAR | -63% |
| A. Schulman, Inc SLMNP | $849.00 | $203.64 | -76% |
| Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 | ¥23.43 | ¥20.17 | -14% |
| Dow Inc DOW | $30.33 | $21.03 | -31% |
| Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 | ¥41.32 | ¥21.62 | -48% |
| Rongsheng Petrochemical Co 002493 | ¥13.76 | ¥2.39 | -83% |
| Zangge Mining Company 000408 | ¥78.04 | ¥20.99 | -73% |
| PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT | 1,855 IDR | 1,584 IDR | -15% |
| Ganfeng Lithium Group 002460 | ¥54.13 | ¥16.17 | -70% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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