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Braskem SA Class A (BAK) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $1.3B · ISIN US1055321053

BS Braskem SA Class A logo Braskem SA Class A BAK · US
Price$1.64
Fair Value$1.61
Upside-1.9%
Quality35/100
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Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +3.4 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -13.7% net margin
!Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
Weak Growth (revenue 5y +3.4 %/yr)
Loss-making · -13.7% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
Narrow moat 9/100
Evidence: Low Range $1.06 – $2.01 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 27, 2026, revised from $2.24 to $1.61 (−28.2%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −30.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

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What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range ($1.06 to $2.01) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$21.78 $1.48 Fair Value $1.61 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.48 – $21.78 · fair‑value band $1.06 – $2.01 · the $1.64 price screens above the $1.61 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.

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Analysis

Braskem SA Class A (BAK) currently trades at $1.64, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.61, implying the stock looks roughly 1.9% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Braskem SA Class A generated revenue of $66.7B at a net margin of -13.7%. Revenue declined 20.4% year over year. Net debt stands at $60.8B. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.06 (bear case) to $2.01 (bull case); at $1.64, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 70% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -54% fair-value upside, at -2%, BAK screens cheaper than that median.

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 0.02 TTM
EPS (TTM) $-4.52
Net margin -14.0% FY2025
Return on equity -549% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 6.1% avg 5y
Operating margin -1.0% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $66.7B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) -20.4% 3y avg -10.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +107%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −$7.2B FY2025
Net debt $60.8B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 14

Profitability 16
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 14
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 44
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 3
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Braskem S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture, sale, import, and export of chemicals, petrochemicals, and fuels in Brazil.

Full company description

Braskem S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture, sale, import, and export of chemicals, petrochemicals, and fuels in Brazil. It produces and sells polyethylene (PE), polypropylene, tertiary-butyl ethyl ether, gasoline, benzene, toluene, xylene, ethylene, propylene, polyvinyl chloride, caustic soda, butadiene, cumene, naphtha, solvents, and condensate; thermoplastic resins; and basic petrochemicals. The company also supplies electricity and other inputs to second-generation producers; and sale of utilities such as steam, water, compressed air and industrial gases, as well as provides industrial services and natural gas. It also operates in the United States, Mexico, Switzerland, Argentina, Germany, Japan, the Netherlands, Singapore, Chile, Spain, Peru, Italy, Luxembourg, China, and internationally. The company was formerly known as Copene Petroquímica do Nordeste S.A. and changed its name to Braskem S.A. in 2002. Braskem S.A. was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil. Braskem S.A. is a subsidiary of NSP Investimentos S.A.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Braskem SA Class A reported revenue of R$69.3B in FY2025 versus R$106B in FY2021, a compound −10.0%/yr. Reported net income was −R$9.7B in FY2025.

Growth Quality 13/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$69.3B
Latest YoY
−10.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−10.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (27Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.0%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue −10.0%/yr
FY21 R$106B
FY22 R$96.5B
FY23 R$70.6B
FY24 R$77.4B
FY25 R$69.3B
Net income
FY21 R$14.0B
FY22 −R$336M
FY23 −R$4.6B
FY24 −R$11.3B
FY25 −R$9.7B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Braskem SA Class A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BAK

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Chemicals · 347 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −2% · Above median
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -14% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -1% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -20% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.02× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 9.8× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.46× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE31 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 20
PAST0 · sector 20
HEALTH100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND0 · sector 31

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BASF SE BASF 18,822 HUF 8,592 HUF -54%
Saudi Basic Industries Corporation 2010 49.50 SAR 18.13 SAR -63%
A. Schulman, Inc SLMNP $849.00 $203.64 -76%
Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 ¥23.43 ¥20.17 -14%
Dow Inc DOW $30.33 $21.03 -31%
Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 ¥41.32 ¥21.62 -48%
Rongsheng Petrochemical Co 002493 ¥13.76 ¥2.39 -83%
Zangge Mining Company 000408 ¥78.04 ¥20.99 -73%
PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT 1,855 IDR 1,584 IDR -15%
Ganfeng Lithium Group 002460 ¥54.13 ¥16.17 -70%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Braskem SA Class A (BAK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.61 versus a price of $1.64, about −2% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of BAK?
Our model-based fair value for Braskem SA Class A is $1.61 (as of Aug 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.64.
What is the quality score of BAK?
Braskem SA Class A has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Braskem SA Class A (BAK)?
Braskem SA Class A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $66.7B (latest available figure, as of Aug 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BAK?
The net profit margin of Braskem SA Class A is about -13.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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