Braskem S.A (BAK) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $1.3B
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026 — revised from $25.71 to $2.82 (−89.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −26.2% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $2.35 – $5.02 · fair‑value band $1.86 – $3.53 · the $2.71 price screens below the $2.82 fair value. As of Jul 14, 2026.
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Braskem S.A (BAK) currently trades at $2.71, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.82 — implying the stock looks roughly 4.2% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low) — always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Braskem S.A generated revenue of $66.7B at a net margin of -13.7%. Revenue declined 20.4% year over year. Net debt stands at $60.8B. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.86 (bear case) to $3.53 (bull case); at $2.71, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside — at 4%, BAK screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Braskem S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture, sale, import, and export of chemicals, petrochemicals, and fuels in Brazil. It produces and sells polyethylene (PE), polypropylene, tertiary-butyl ethyl ether, gasoline, benzene, toluene, xylene, ethylene, propylene, polyvinyl chloride, caustic soda, butadiene, cumene, naphtha, solvents, and condensate; thermoplastic resins; and basic petrochemicals. The company also supplies electricity and other inputs to second-generation producers; and sale of utilities such as steam, water, compressed air and industrial gases, as well as provides industrial services and natural gas. It also operates in the United States, Mexico, Switzerland, Argentina, Germany, Japan, the Netherlands, Singapore, Chile, Spain, Peru, Italy, Luxembourg, China, and internationally. The company was formerly known as Copene Petroquímica do Nordeste S.A. and changed its name to Braskem S.A. in 2002. Braskem S.A. was founded in 1972 and is …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Braskem S.A reported revenue of $69.3B in FY2025 versus $106B in FY2021, a compound −10.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$9.7B in FY2025.
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10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
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|---|---|---|---|
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| LG Chem, Ltd 051910 | 323,000 KRW | 311,741 KRW | -3% |
| Hengli Petrochemical Co 600346 | ¥16.38 | ¥15.62 | -5% |
| Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 | ¥40.39 | ¥19.73 | -51% |
| Rongsheng Petrochemical Co 002493 | ¥11.43 | ¥2.90 | -75% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.