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Balkrishna Industries Limited (BALKRISIND) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · IN · Market cap ₹400B

BI Balkrishna Industries Limited BALKRISIND · NSE
Price₹2,466
Fair Value₹1,211
Upside-50.9%
Quality47/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 12.3% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
0.75% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Moderate moat 56/100
Evidence: High Range ₹855.98 – ₹1,566 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 20, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 21 days ago

Share price +14.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 51% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹1,566). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (₹855.98 to ₹1,566) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹3,304 ₹1,605 Fair Value ₹1,211 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹1,605 – ₹3,304 · fair‑value band ₹855.98 – ₹1,566 · the ₹2,466 price screens above the ₹1,211 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.

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Analysis

Balkrishna Industries Limited (BALKRISIND) currently trades at ₹2,466, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹1,211, implying the stock looks roughly 50.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Balkrishna Industries Limited generated revenue of ₹106B at a net margin of 12.3%. Revenue grew 6.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.9%. Net debt stands at ₹40.5B. Fundamentals as of Jul 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹855.98 (bear case) to ₹1,566 (bull case); at ₹2,466, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -51%, BALKRISIND screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ₹523.99 ₹619.99 ₹1,307 76
ROIC Compounder ₹539.29 ₹744.04 ₹983.08 72
Gordon GGM ₹153.85 ₹335.87 ₹565.12 70
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹437.26 ₹2,155 ₹2,972 54
Lynch FV ₹580.21 ₹828.87 ₹1,078 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹580.21 ₹828.87 ₹1,078 46
EPV ₹539.29 ₹641.98 ₹733.25 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹153.85 ₹335.87 ₹565.12 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹153.85 ₹275.13 ₹350.03 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹1,061 ₹1,415 ₹1,768 63
P/S Multiple ₹503.88 ₹671.83 ₹839.79 58
P/B Multiple ₹819.87 ₹1,093 ₹1,366 55
EV/EBIT ₹1,023 ₹1,378 ₹1,733 53
EV/EBITDA ₹1,028 ₹1,385 ₹1,742 54
EV/Revenue ₹427.69 ₹629.24 ₹830.79 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹283.35 ₹379.69 ₹566.70 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹523.99 ₹619.99 ₹1,307 76
ROIC Compounder ₹539.29 ₹744.04 ₹983.08 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹915.98 ₹1,309 ₹1,701 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹1,309) versus Dividend Discount (₹275.13). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹106B
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.9%
Net margin 12.3%
Return on equity 13.9%
Free cash flow −₹7.5B FY2026
P/E ratio 33.3
More key figures
Operating margin 16.4%
EPS (TTM) ₹64.26
Dividend yield 0.7%
EPS growth (YoY) -15.0%
Net debt ₹40.5B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53

Profitability 47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 14
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 40
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 74
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 23
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 80
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 46
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Balkrishna Industries Limited manufactures and sells tires in India, Europe, North America, and internationally. It provides manufacturing and selling of off-highway tires OHT for use in various applications, such as agricultural, mining, forestry, construction, industrial, earthmoving, port, all-terrain vehicle ATV, and turf care applications.

Full company description

Balkrishna Industries Limited manufactures and sells tires in India, Europe, North America, and internationally. It provides manufacturing and selling of off-highway tires OHT for use in various applications, such as agricultural, mining, forestry, construction, industrial, earthmoving, port, all-terrain vehicle ATV, and turf care applications. The company was incorporated in 1961 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Balkrishna Industries Limited reported revenue of ₹108B in FY2026 versus ₹82.1B in FY2022, a compound +7.2%/yr. Reported net income was ₹12.4B in FY2026, compounding −3.5%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹108B
Latest YoY
+4.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+3.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+13.8%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y)
+16.3%
Revenue +7.2%/yr
FY22 ₹82.1B
FY23 ₹96.5B
FY24 ₹93.0B
FY25 ₹104B
FY26 ₹108B
Net income −3.5%/yr
FY22 ₹14.4B
FY23 ₹10.6B
FY24 ₹14.7B
FY25 ₹16.5B
FY26 ₹12.4B

BALKRISIND screens 51% overvalued. Compare with Hyundai Mobis Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Balkrishna Industries Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BALKRISIND

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 642 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside −51% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.8% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.08× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 32.2× · Pricier than median
P/B 3.65× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.76× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 18.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 17
FUTURE 35 · sector 23
PAST 56 · sector 26
HEALTH 96 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 15 · sector 30

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 20, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 482,000 KRW 678,420 KRW +41%
Magna International Inc MGAN 1,122 MXN 1,172 MXN +4%
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹144.17 ₹80.63 -44%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹41,110 ₹14,004 -66%
Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG ₹2,117 ₹441.74 -79%
Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA ₹1,158 ₹426.57 -63%
Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER ₹4,135 ₹1,412 -66%
Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 73,600 KRW 196,479 KRW +167%
MRF Limited MRF ₹131,025 ₹125,849 -4%
Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS ₹792.00 ₹207.06 -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Balkrishna Industries Limited (BALKRISIND) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹1,211 versus a price of ₹2,466, about −51% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BALKRISIND?
Our model-based fair value for Balkrishna Industries Limited is ₹1,211 (as of Jul 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹2,466.
What is the quality score of BALKRISIND?
Balkrishna Industries Limited has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Balkrishna Industries Limited (BALKRISIND)?
Balkrishna Industries Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹106B (latest available figure, as of Jul 20, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BALKRISIND?
The net profit margin of Balkrishna Industries Limited is about 12.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 12.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Balkrishna Industries Limited pay a dividend?
Balkrishna Industries Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.73% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 20, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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