Bekasi Asri Pemula Tbk (BAPA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 21, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Bekasi Asri Pemula Tbk stock IDR 15, price IDR 116, upside -87.3%, quality 36 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 50.00 IDR – 454.00 IDR · fair‑value band 9.69 IDR – 18.35 IDR · the 116.00 IDR price screens above the 14.68 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
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PT Bekasi Asri Pemula Tbk engages in the real estate development business in Indonesia. It manages housing projects located in West Java. PT Bekasi Asri Pemula Tbk was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Jakarta Barat, Indonesia.
Stock analysis
Bekasi Asri Pemula Tbk (BAPA) currently trades at 116.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 14.68 IDR, 87.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.
Scenario range: 9.69 IDR (bear) to 18.35 IDR (bull), the price of 116.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Bekasi Asri Pemula Tbk reported revenue of 4.0B IDR in FY2025 versus 6.2B IDR in FY2021, a compound −10.3%/yr. Reported net income was −5.5B IDR in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 77.9B IDR (≈ $4.3M) Micro · P/S ratio 14.1 · EPS (TTM) −6.68 IDR · Net margin −102% · Return on equity −4.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.6% · Operating margin −84.4% · Revenue (TTM) 4.7B IDR.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 9 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 74% below its 52-week high and 78% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −9% fair-value upside, at −87%, BAPA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear9.69 IDRFair Value 14.68 IDRBull18.35 IDR
Price 116.00 IDR · Upside -87.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−15.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −16.4% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−12.0%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−28.7% (2020) → −132.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 576 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−87.3% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−4.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−101.8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−84.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)15.8% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.68× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months)16.42× · Priciest 25%
PEG0.69× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 69
FUTURE (revenue growth)79· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 11
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 84
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 57
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Bekasi Asri Pemula Tbk (BAPA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 14.68 IDR versus a price of 116.00 IDR, about −87% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BAPA?
Our model-based fair value for Bekasi Asri Pemula Tbk is 14.68 IDR (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 116.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of BAPA?
Bekasi Asri Pemula Tbk has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Bekasi Asri Pemula Tbk (BAPA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 14.68 IDR (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 9.69 IDR, optimistic scenario 18.35 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Bekasi Asri Pemula Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 14.68 IDR, about −87% upside versus a price of 116.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 9.69 IDR, optimistic scenario 18.35 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Bekasi Asri Pemula Tbk (BAPA)?
Bekasi Asri Pemula Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.7B IDR (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Bekasi Asri Pemula Tbk (BAPA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Bekasi Asri Pemula Tbk it is 14.68 IDR per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of 116.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Bekasi Asri Pemula Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, BAPA trades above its calculated fair value: price 116.00 IDR, fair value 14.68 IDR, a gap of about −87% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BAPA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (116.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (14.68 IDR). For Bekasi Asri Pemula Tbk the two are 101.32 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Bekasi Asri Pemula Tbk worth?
The market values Bekasi Asri Pemula Tbk at about 77.9B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is 116.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 14.68 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BAPA?
Our models span a range for Bekasi Asri Pemula Tbk: cautious scenario 9.69 IDR, base 14.68 IDR, optimistic 18.35 IDR per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price 116.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of BAPA?
The PEG ratio of Bekasi Asri Pemula Tbk is 0.69 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 3, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Bekasi Asri Pemula Tbk (BAPA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Bekasi Asri Pemula Tbk (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity −4.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BAPA from its 52-week high?
Bekasi Asri Pemula Tbk trades at 116.00 IDR, about 74% below its 52-week high of 454.00 IDR and 78% above the low of 65.00 IDR (as of Oct 21, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 14.68 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Bekasi Asri Pemula Tbk?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, Vinhomes Joint Stock Company, CK Asset Holdings, DLF Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Bekasi Asri Pemula Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price 116.00 IDR, calculated fair value 14.68 IDR (−87%), Quality Score 36/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BAPA calculated?
We run Bekasi Asri Pemula Tbk through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 14.68 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.6 % above its aggregate fair value. Bekasi Asri Pemula Tbk itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Bekasi Asri Pemula Tbk (BAPA)?
The closing price on Oct 21, 2026 was 116.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 14.68 IDR, about −87% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Bekasi Asri Pemula Tbk right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (18.35 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (9.69 IDR to 18.35 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Bekasi Asri Pemula Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of Bekasi Asri Pemula Tbk (BAPA)?
The market capitalisation of Bekasi Asri Pemula Tbk is 77.9B IDR (≈ $4.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Bekasi Asri Pemula Tbk (BAPA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Bekasi Asri Pemula Tbk is 14.1 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Bekasi Asri Pemula Tbk (BAPA)?
Earnings per share at Bekasi Asri Pemula Tbk are −6.68 IDR. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Bekasi Asri Pemula Tbk (BAPA)?
The net margin of Bekasi Asri Pemula Tbk is −102% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Bekasi Asri Pemula Tbk (BAPA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Bekasi Asri Pemula Tbk is −4.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Bekasi Asri Pemula Tbk (BAPA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Bekasi Asri Pemula Tbk is −2.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Bekasi Asri Pemula Tbk (BAPA)?
The operating margin of Bekasi Asri Pemula Tbk is −84.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Bekasi Asri Pemula Tbk (BAPA)?
Revenue at Bekasi Asri Pemula Tbk is growing +15.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Bekasi Asri Pemula Tbk (BAPA)?
Earnings per share at Bekasi Asri Pemula Tbk are growing +80.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Bekasi Asri Pemula Tbk (BAPA) generate?
The free cash flow of Bekasi Asri Pemula Tbk is −2.3B IDR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Bekasi Asri Pemula Tbk (BAPA) carry?
The net debt of Bekasi Asri Pemula Tbk is 2.1B IDR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Oct 3, 2026