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BARK, Inc (BARK) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $84.8M

BI BARK, Inc logo BARK, Inc BARK · US
Price$11.22
Fair Value$2.70
Upside-75.9%
Quality46/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -9.9% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/10)
Narrow moat 12/100
Evidence: Low Range $1.78 – $3.38 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Share price +16.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 76% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($3.38). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($1.78 to $3.38) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$247.80 $8.30 Fair Value $2.70 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $8.30 – $247.80 · fair‑value band $1.78 – $3.38 · the $11.22 price screens above the $2.70 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

BARK, Inc (BARK) currently trades at $11.22, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.70, implying the stock looks roughly 75.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, BARK, Inc generated revenue of $395M at a net margin of -9.9%. Revenue declined 25.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -45.5%. Net debt stands at $18.4M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.78 (bear case) to $3.38 (bull case); at $11.22, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 38% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -24% fair-value upside, at -76%, BARK screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $4.10 $5.49 $8.19 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $4.10 $5.49 $8.19 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $395M
Revenue growth (YoY) -25.0%
Net margin -9.9%
Return on equity -45.5%
Free cash flow −$26.6M FY2026
Operating margin -10.9%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-4.57
Net debt $18.4M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 13

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 31
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 2
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 35
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 23
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 11
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 94
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

BARK, Inc., a dog-centric company, provides products, services, and content for dogs. The company operates in two segments, Direct to Consumer and Commerce. It provides subscription products, including monthly themed boxes of toys and treats to a dog's home, as well as kibble, treats, toppers, dental, and others.

Full company description

BARK, Inc., a dog-centric company, provides products, services, and content for dogs. The company operates in two segments, Direct to Consumer and Commerce. It provides subscription products, including monthly themed boxes of toys and treats to a dog's home, as well as kibble, treats, toppers, dental, and others. The company also offers toys, including beds, leashes, apparel, and other accessories and products under the BarkBox, Super Chewer, and BARK Bright names. The company also offers air travel experience to dogs under the BARK Air name. The company sells its products through a network of retail partners, as well as directly to consumers. BARK, Inc. was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Brooklyn, New York.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

BARK, Inc reported revenue of $395M in FY2026 versus $507M in FY2022, a compound −6.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$39.0M in FY2026.

Growth Quality 7/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$395M
Latest YoY
−18.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−9.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.8%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.9%
Revenue −6.1%/yr
FY22 $507M
FY23 $535M
FY24 $490M
FY25 $484M
FY26 $395M
Net income
FY22 −$68.3M
FY23 −$61.5M
FY24 −$37.0M
FY25 −$32.9M
FY26 −$39.0M

BARK screens 76% overvalued. Compare with Casey's General Stores, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "BARK, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BARK

Peer Group

Specialty Retail · 221 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 44 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −76% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -11% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -10% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -11% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -25% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.55× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.18× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.22× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 29
FUTURE 0 · sector 23
PAST 0 · sector 27
HEALTH 72 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 51

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY $827.04 $405.44 -51%
Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM $222.84 $164.16 -26%
Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA $479.57 $488.39 +2%
DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS $208.89 $181.10 -13%
Best Buy Co BBY $83.98 $109.12 +30%
China Tourism Group 601888 ¥52.90 ¥40.40 -24%
Tractor Supply Company TSCO $31.01 $35.52 +15%
Murphy USA Inc MUSA $618.57 $423.35 -32%
Five Below, Inc FIVE $197.71 $117.29 -41%
Taiwan Mobile Co 3045 110.50 TWD 80.98 TWD -27%

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Frequently asked questions

Is BARK, Inc (BARK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.70 versus a price of $11.22, about −76% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BARK?
Our model-based fair value for BARK, Inc is $2.70 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $11.22.
What is the quality score of BARK?
BARK, Inc has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of BARK, Inc (BARK)?
BARK, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $395M (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BARK?
The net profit margin of BARK, Inc is about -9.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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