Bayu Buana Tbk (BAYU) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Bayu Buana Tbk IDR 5,238, price IDR 1,320, upside +296.8%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 647.41 IDR – 1,370 IDR · fair‑value band 4,297 IDR – 6,572 IDR · the 1,320 IDR price screens below the 5,238 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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PT Bayu Buana Tbk operates as a travel agency in Indonesia and internationally. It operates through Ticket, Tour, and Other segments. The company offers hotel arrangement, travel insurance, travel document arrangement, car rental, reporting system, airport assistance arrangement, 24-hour emergency services, travel management, and tour packages.
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PT Bayu Buana Tbk operates as a travel agency in Indonesia and internationally. It operates through Ticket, Tour, and Other segments. The company offers hotel arrangement, travel insurance, travel document arrangement, car rental, reporting system, airport assistance arrangement, 24-hour emergency services, travel management, and tour packages. PT Bayu Buana Tbk was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia.
Stock analysis
Bayu Buana Tbk (BAYU) currently trades at 1,320 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 5,238 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 74.8% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 7,449 IDR per share, and 14 of the 15 models we run sit above the 1,320 IDR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 1,059 IDR, and 1 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 4,297 IDR (bear) to 6,572 IDR (bull), the price of 1,320 IDR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Bayu Buana Tbk reported revenue of 2.5T IDR in FY2025 versus 491B IDR in FY2021, a compound +50.2%/yr. Reported net income was 105B IDR in FY2025, compounding +278.4%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap 466B IDR (≈ $26.1M) · P/E ratio 56.1 · P/S ratio 2.37 · EPS (TTM) 23.54 IDR · Dividend yield 7.6% · Net margin 4.2% · Return on equity 23.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 297%, BAYU screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 4,297 IDRFair Value 5,238 IDRBull 6,572 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.57/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+35.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.7% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+42.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+34.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)7.6%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−6% → 4%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Travel Services · 83 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/9 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score59 · Above median
Fair Value upside+200.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)23.3% · Top 25%
Return on assets5.9% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)5.5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)3.2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−14.1% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)7.6% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Travel Services median · lower = cheaper
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Is Bayu Buana Tbk (BAYU) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 5,238 IDR versus a price of 1,320 IDR, about +297% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BAYU?
Our model-based fair value for Bayu Buana Tbk is 5,238 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1,320 IDR.
What is the quality score of BAYU?
Bayu Buana Tbk has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Bayu Buana Tbk (BAYU)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 5,238 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario 4,297 IDR, optimistic scenario 6,572 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Bayu Buana Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 5,238 IDR, about +297% upside versus a price of 1,320 IDR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 4,297 IDR, optimistic scenario 6,572 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Bayu Buana Tbk (BAYU)?
Bayu Buana Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.3T IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Bayu Buana Tbk pay a dividend?
Bayu Buana Tbk currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.58% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Bayu Buana Tbk (BAYU)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Bayu Buana Tbk it is 5,238 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 1,320 IDR. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Bayu Buana Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, BAYU trades below its calculated fair value: price 1,320 IDR, fair value 5,238 IDR, a gap of about +297% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BAYU?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1,320 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (5,238 IDR). For Bayu Buana Tbk the two are 3,918 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Bayu Buana Tbk worth?
The market values Bayu Buana Tbk at about 466B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 1,320 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 5,238 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BAYU?
Our models span a range for Bayu Buana Tbk: cautious scenario 4,297 IDR, base 5,238 IDR, optimistic 6,572 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 1,320 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of BAYU?
Bayu Buana Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 56.1 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 5,238 IDR is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Bayu Buana Tbk (BAYU)?
Balance-sheet figures for Bayu Buana Tbk (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 23.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BAYU from its 52-week high?
Bayu Buana Tbk trades at 1,320 IDR, about 4% below its 52-week high of 1,370 IDR and 31% above the low of 1,010 IDR (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 5,238 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Bayu Buana Tbk?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Booking Holdings, Airbnb, Inc, Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd, Viking Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Bayu Buana Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 1,320 IDR, calculated fair value 5,238 IDR (+297%), Quality Score 59/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BAYU calculated?
We run Bayu Buana Tbk through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 5,238 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Bayu Buana Tbk currently trades 75 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Bayu Buana Tbk (BAYU)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was 1,320 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 5,238 IDR, about +297% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Bayu Buana Tbk right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (4,297 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of Bayu Buana Tbk (BAYU) come from?
Earnings per share at Bayu Buana Tbk grew +12.8 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.6 %, EBIT margin +11.4 %, tax rate −0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −3.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Bayu Buana Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of Bayu Buana Tbk (BAYU)?
The market capitalisation of Bayu Buana Tbk is 466B IDR (≈ $26.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Bayu Buana Tbk (BAYU)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Bayu Buana Tbk is 2.37 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Bayu Buana Tbk (BAYU)?
Earnings per share at Bayu Buana Tbk are 23.54 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 56.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Bayu Buana Tbk (BAYU)?
The dividend yield of Bayu Buana Tbk is 7.6%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Bayu Buana Tbk (BAYU)?
The net margin of Bayu Buana Tbk is 4.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Bayu Buana Tbk (BAYU)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Bayu Buana Tbk is 23.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Bayu Buana Tbk (BAYU)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Bayu Buana Tbk is 6.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Bayu Buana Tbk (BAYU)?
The operating margin of Bayu Buana Tbk is 3.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Bayu Buana Tbk (BAYU)?
Revenue at Bayu Buana Tbk is growing −14.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Bayu Buana Tbk (BAYU)?
Earnings per share at Bayu Buana Tbk are growing +107% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Bayu Buana Tbk (BAYU) generate?
The free cash flow of Bayu Buana Tbk is −71.1B IDR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Bayu Buana Tbk (BAYU) hold?
Bayu Buana Tbk holds more cash than debt, 521B IDR net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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