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Blackbird plc (BBRDF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Blackbird plc $0.02, price $0.02, upside -13.8%, quality 35 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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Thin data
Sep 28, 2026
Thin data
Sep 28, 2026
Blackbird plc
BBRDF · USWeak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.
!Fair value $0.0205 · Overvalued (−13.8%)
!Quality 35/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −2.5 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -188.5% net margin (TTM)
!negative free cash flow
!Narrow moat 12/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0238 – $0.7000 · the $0.0238 price screens above the $0.0205 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
Company profile
Blackbird plc develops and operates a cloud-based video editing and publishing software platform under the Blackbird name in the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, North America, and internationally. The company's platform is used for video viewing, editing, and publishing. It serves news, sports, entertainment, and other sectors.
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Blackbird plc develops and operates a cloud-based video editing and publishing software platform under the Blackbird name in the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, North America, and internationally. The company's platform is used for video viewing, editing, and publishing. It serves news, sports, entertainment, and other sectors. Blackbird plc was incorporated in 1998 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.
Stock analysis
Blackbird plc (BBRDF) currently trades at $0.0238, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0205, 13.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Blackbird plc reported revenue of £1.4M in FY2025 versus £2.1M in FY2021, a compound −9.5%/yr. Reported net income was −£2.6M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $11.4M · P/S ratio 8.26 · EPS (TTM) $−0.0100 · Net margin −188% · Return on equity −36.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −25.9% · Operating margin −136% · Revenue (TTM) £1.4M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −8% fair-value upside, at −14%, BBRDF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham)
$0.0100
$0.0100
$0.0200
50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$0.0100
$0.0100
$0.0200
50
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
35/100
Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 18
Profitability
2
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
29
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
1
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
86
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
44
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
10
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
17
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−13.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−21.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.9% a year
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+29.1%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−123.8% (2020) → −201.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
BBRDF screens overvalued: fair value 14% below the price. Compare with SAP SE →
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Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAP | €186.74 | €172.46 | −8% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $229.57 | $342.73 | +49% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | $144.01 | $64.36 | −55% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $134.01 | $147.41 | +10% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $69.36 | $103.69 | +49% |
| Snowflake Inc SNOW | $330.31 | $74.36 | −77% |
| Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP | $261.80 | $150.01 | −43% |
| Adobe Inc ADBE | $239.94 | $454.04 | +89% |
| Datadog, Inc DDOG | $268.70 | $32.52 | −88% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $326.70 | $225.48 | −31% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Blackbird plc (BBRDF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0205 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $0.0238, about −14% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BBRDF?
Our model-based fair value for Blackbird plc is $0.0205 (as of Sep 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $0.0238.
What is the quality score of BBRDF?
Blackbird plc has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Blackbird plc (BBRDF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0205 (as of Sep 28, 2026) from 1 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Blackbird plc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0205, about −14% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $0.0238 (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Blackbird plc (BBRDF)?
Blackbird plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £1.4M (latest available figure, as of Sep 28, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Blackbird plc (BBRDF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Blackbird plc it is $0.0205 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026), against a price of $0.0238. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Blackbird plc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 28, 2026, BBRDF trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.0238, fair value $0.0205, a gap of about −14% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BBRDF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0238); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0205). For Blackbird plc the two are $0.0033 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Blackbird plc worth?
The market values Blackbird plc at about $11.4M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 28, 2026). Per share that is $0.0238; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0205 per share.
How far is BBRDF from its 52-week high?
Blackbird plc trades at $0.0238, about 28% below its 52-week high of $0.0329 and at the low of $0.0238 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0205 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Blackbird plc?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Salesforce, Inc, Shopify Inc, ServiceNow, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Blackbird plc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 28, 2026: price $0.0238, calculated fair value $0.0205 (−14%), Quality Score 35/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BBRDF calculated?
We run Blackbird plc through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0205, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Blackbird plc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Blackbird plc (BBRDF)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $0.0238. Our model-based fair value is $0.0205, about −14% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Blackbird plc right now?
Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of Blackbird plc
How large is the market capitalisation of Blackbird plc (BBRDF)?
The market capitalisation of Blackbird plc is $11.4M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Blackbird plc (BBRDF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Blackbird plc is 8.26 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Blackbird plc (BBRDF)?
Earnings per share at Blackbird plc are $−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Blackbird plc (BBRDF)?
The net margin of Blackbird plc is −188% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Blackbird plc (BBRDF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Blackbird plc is −36.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Blackbird plc (BBRDF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Blackbird plc is −25.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Blackbird plc (BBRDF)?
The operating margin of Blackbird plc is −136% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Blackbird plc (BBRDF)?
Revenue at Blackbird plc is growing −11.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −21.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Blackbird plc (BBRDF) generate?
The free cash flow of Blackbird plc is −£1.4M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Blackbird plc (BBRDF) hold?
Blackbird plc holds more cash than debt, £2.1M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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