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Build-A-Bear Workshop, Inc (BBW) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $396M

BA Build-A-Bear Workshop, Inc logo Build-A-Bear Workshop, Inc BBW · US
Price$36.86
Fair Value$53.85
Upside+46.1%
Quality70/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 10.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.74% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/15)
Wide moat 69/100
Evidence: High Range $36.80 – $87.19 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 27 days ago

Share price +22.1% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 46% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The rarer combination: high quality (70/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
  • A fairly wide model range ($36.80 to $87.19) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$74.86 $6.61 Fair Value $53.85 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $6.61 – $74.86 · fair‑value band $36.80 – $87.19 · the $36.86 price screens below the $53.85 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

Build-A-Bear Workshop, Inc (BBW) currently trades at $36.86, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $53.85, implying the stock looks roughly 46.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Build-A-Bear Workshop, Inc generated revenue of $527M at a net margin of 10.5%. Revenue declined 2.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 35.9%. Net debt stands at $101M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $36.80 (bear case) to $87.19 (bull case); at $36.86, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -24% fair-value upside, at 46%, BBW screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $30.38 $39.00 $49.15 80
Residual Income $25.47 $37.34 $293.94 76
Rev-Margin DCF $33.03 $49.17 $66.35 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $29.88 $39.32 $50.92 38
Owner Earnings $31.36 $41.29 $53.51 31
5Y Revenue Exit $33.03 $48.84 $68.22 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $42.73 $66.00 $91.90 41
5Y P/E Exit $48.61 $76.40 $104.01 38
10Y Revenue Exit $30.56 $43.53 $59.39 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $36.94 $54.10 $75.08 37
10Y P/E Exit $40.30 $60.50 $83.09 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $28.31 $64.65 $82.87 54
PEG = 1.0 $10.76 $15.36 $19.97 46
EPV $33.78 $38.10 $41.70 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $7.15 $10.83 $14.38 70
DDM Multi-Stage $7.15 $9.90 $12.56 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $68.70 $91.60 $114.50 63
P/S Multiple $38.03 $50.71 $63.39 58
P/B Multiple $37.10 $49.46 $61.83 55
EV/EBIT $71.72 $94.92 $118.11 53
EV/EBITDA $59.26 $78.30 $97.34 54
EV/Revenue $37.63 $52.85 $68.06 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $6.18 $8.28 $12.37 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $30.38 $39.00 $49.15 80
Rev-Margin DCF $33.03 $49.17 $66.35 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $25.47 $37.34 $293.94 76
ROIC Compounder $34.68 $40.17 $45.43 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $51.42 $73.46 $95.50 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($73.46) versus Asset-Based ($8.28). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $527M
Revenue growth (YoY) -2.4%
Net margin 10.5%
Return on equity 35.9%
Free cash flow $39.5M FY2026
P/E ratio 7.4
More key figures
Operating margin 19.0%
EPS (TTM) $4.27
Dividend yield 2.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +23.9%
Net debt $101M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 70/100

Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 21

Profitability 87
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 46
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 78
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 68
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 38
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 18
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 8
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Build-A-Bear Workshop, Inc. operates as a mall-based, experiential specialty retailer for children in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Ireland, North America, and Europe. It operates through three segments: Direct-to-Consumer, Commercial, and International Franchising.

Full company description

Build-A-Bear Workshop, Inc. operates as a mall-based, experiential specialty retailer for children in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Ireland, North America, and Europe. It operates through three segments: Direct-to-Consumer, Commercial, and International Franchising. The company offers various styles of plush products to be stuffed, pre-stuffed plush products, and sounds and scents that can be added to the stuffed animals, as well as range of clothing, shoes and accessories, and other toy and novelty items. It operates its stores under the Build-A-Bear Workshop brand name; and sells its products through its e-commerce sites and third-party marketplace sites. Build-A-Bear Workshop, Inc. was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Saint Louis, Missouri.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Build-A-Bear Workshop, Inc reported revenue of $530M in FY2026 versus $412M in FY2022, a compound +6.5%/yr. Reported net income was $52.2M in FY2026, compounding +2.5%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$530M
Latest YoY
+6.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.7%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.5%
Revenue +6.5%/yr
FY22 $412M
FY23 $468M
FY24 $486M
FY25 $496M
FY26 $530M
Net income +2.5%/yr
FY22 $47.3M
FY23 $48.0M
FY24 $52.8M
FY25 $51.8M
FY26 $52.2M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Build-A-Bear Workshop, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BBW

Peer Group

Specialty Retail · 221 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +46% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 36% · Top 25%
Return on assets 13% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.7% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 7.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 2.56× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.75× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 10.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 4.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 0.43× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 95 · sector 29
FUTURE 0 · sector 23
PAST 100 · sector 27
HEALTH 100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 55 · sector 51

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY $827.04 $405.44 -51%
Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM $222.84 $164.16 -26%
Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA $479.57 $488.39 +2%
DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS $208.89 $181.10 -13%
Best Buy Co BBY $83.98 $109.12 +30%
China Tourism Group 601888 ¥52.90 ¥40.40 -24%
Tractor Supply Company TSCO $31.01 $35.52 +15%
Murphy USA Inc MUSA $618.57 $423.35 -32%
Five Below, Inc FIVE $197.71 $117.29 -41%
Taiwan Mobile Co 3045 110.50 TWD 80.98 TWD -27%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Build-A-Bear Workshop, Inc (BBW) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $53.85 versus a price of $36.86, about +46% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BBW?
Our model-based fair value for Build-A-Bear Workshop, Inc is $53.85 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $36.86.
What is the quality score of BBW?
Build-A-Bear Workshop, Inc has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Build-A-Bear Workshop, Inc (BBW)?
Build-A-Bear Workshop, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $527M (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BBW?
The net profit margin of Build-A-Bear Workshop, Inc is about 10.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Build-A-Bear Workshop, Inc pay a dividend?
Build-A-Bear Workshop, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.74% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 14, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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