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Black Canyon Limited (BCA) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$62.4M

PriceA$0.3950
Fair ValueA$0.0400
Upside-89.9%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Medium Range A$0.0400 – A$0.0500

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

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Analysis

Black Canyon Limited (BCA) currently trades at A$0.3950, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0400 — implying the stock looks roughly 89.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

About the company

Black Canyon Limited, together with its subsidiaries, focuses on mineral exploration activities in Australia. The company explores for manganese, copper, and cobalt targets. It holds interest in the Oakover West project covering an area of 750 square kilo meters and the Oakover East project located in Western Australia. In addition, the company owns interest in the Flanagan Bore Project located in the Pilbara region of Western Australia. Black Canyon Limited was incorporated in 2011 and is based in West Perth, Australia.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Black Canyon Limited (BCA) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0400 versus a price of A$0.3950 — about −90% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of BCA?
Our 21-model fair value for Black Canyon Limited is A$0.0400 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$0.3950.
What is the quality score of BCA?
Black Canyon Limited has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.