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Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk (BCAP) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk IDR 100, price IDR 50, upside +100.0%, quality 56 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Financial Services · ID · ISIN ID1000069701

MK Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk

BCAP · JK

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value 100.00 IDR · Strongly undervalued (+100%)
!Quality 56/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +10.1 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 11.0% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (9/13)
!Narrow moat 42/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 21 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

324.00 IDR 23.00 IDR Fair Value 100.00 IDR Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 23.00 IDR – 324.00 IDR · fair‑value band 31.26 IDR – 138.72 IDR · the 50.00 IDR price screens below the 100.00 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

PT MNC Kapital Indonesia Tbk, through its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of various financial products and services in Indonesia.

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PT MNC Kapital Indonesia Tbk, through its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of various financial products and services in Indonesia. The company offers SME, consumer, and wholesale banking services; credit and debit cards; asset management; investment banking and research services; consumer financing, including automotive vehicles and property refinancing services; and leasing and factoring. It also provides general insurance products comprising property, automotive, travel insurance, and third-party liability insurance; life insurance products, such as credit life, personal accident, and education insurance; insurance brokerage services, such as consultation and advisory services; vehicle, personal accident, homeowners, travel, gadget, and other individual solutions, satellite, engineering, property, marine cargo, liability, aviation, heavy equipment, and other individual insurance solutions. In addition, the company offers MotionPay, an e-money, e-wallet, and digital remittance platform; Flash Mobile, which provides bank transfers, virtual accounts, debit and credit cards, retail outlets, installment plans, and e-wallets; MotionBank for biometric onboarding and QRIS payments; and manages equity, fixed income, and money market instruments for individuals and institutional investors. Further, it provides digital and conventional banking products and services, including savings accounts, loan facilities, treasury, trade finance, and client fund account; asset-based financing, factoring and supply chain financing; Sharia financing; securities brokerage and underwriting; information technology; property leasing; ventura capital; digital asset brokerage; and fund investment. The company was formerly known as PT Bhakti Capital Indonesia Tbk and changed its name to PT MNC Kapital Indonesia Tbk in November 2012. The company was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia. PT MNC Kapital Indonesia Tbk is a subsidiary of PT MNC Asia Holding Tbk.

Stock analysis

Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk (BCAP) currently trades at 50.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 100.00 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 50.0% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 339.51 IDR per share, and 11 of the 11 models we run sit above the 50.00 IDR price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 72.09 IDR, and 0 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 31.26 IDR (bear) to 138.72 IDR (bull), the price of 50.00 IDR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk reported revenue of 3.7T IDR in FY2025 versus 2.5T IDR in FY2021, a compound +10.3%/yr. Reported net income was 256B IDR in FY2025, compounding +15.8%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 2.1T IDR (≈ $213M) · P/E ratio 7.8 · P/S ratio 0.53 · EPS (TTM) 6.41 IDR · Net margin 6.8% · Return on equity 5.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.7% · Operating margin 11.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −25% fair-value upside, at 100%, BCAP screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 31.26 IDR Fair Value 100.00 IDR Bull 138.72 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (4.71 IDR per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 327.13 IDR 503.42 IDR 751.87 IDR 78
Owner Earnings 213.25 IDR 338.72 IDR 532.50 IDR 75
5Y P/E Exit 187.23 IDR 250.89 IDR 319.65 IDR 72
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 213.25 IDR 338.72 IDR 532.50 IDR 75
5Y P/E Exit 187.23 IDR 250.89 IDR 319.65 IDR 72
10Y P/E Exit 244.20 IDR 322.78 IDR 426.90 IDR 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 40.85 IDR 223.81 IDR 310.47 IDR 63
Lynch FV 62.24 IDR 88.92 IDR 115.59 IDR 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 58.58 IDR 78.10 IDR 97.63 IDR 63
P/B Multiple 76.60 IDR 102.13 IDR 127.67 IDR 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 53.80 IDR 72.09 IDR 107.60 IDR 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 327.13 IDR 503.42 IDR 751.87 IDR 78
Rev-Margin DCF 228.09 IDR 339.51 IDR 491.25 IDR 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income 75.27 IDR 73.87 IDR 64.03 IDR 71

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38

Profitability 21
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 93
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 30
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 90
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 79
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 31
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 86/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+12.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.7% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.1%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+15.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+15.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.31% vs 14%, picking up
Profit margin 2019 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.41% → 22%
2025 sits 177% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−25.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −27.0% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Financial Conglomerates · 57 stocks

Beats the industry median on 9/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside +100% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 11% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 15% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.21× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Financial Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 7.8× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.46× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.87× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 0.6× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 7
FUTURE (revenue growth)73 · sector 39
PAST (return on equity)21 · sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)89 · sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 54

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Frequently asked questions

Is Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk (BCAP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 100.00 IDR versus a price of 50.00 IDR, about +100% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BCAP?
Our model-based fair value for Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk is 100.00 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 50.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of BCAP?
Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk (BCAP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 100.00 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario 31.26 IDR, optimistic scenario 138.72 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 100.00 IDR, about +100% upside versus a price of 50.00 IDR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 31.26 IDR, optimistic scenario 138.72 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk (BCAP)?
Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.4T IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk (BCAP)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk would have to grow free cash flow by -25.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 15.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +10.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of BCAP use?
Our models discount Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk at 15.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk that is -25.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (15.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk (BCAP) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk grew +10.1 % a year. The price currently implies -25.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk (BCAP) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk (-25.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk (BCAP)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 39.28 %: that much free cash flow Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (15.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk (BCAP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk it is 100.00 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 50.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, BCAP trades below its calculated fair value: price 50.00 IDR, fair value 100.00 IDR, a gap of about +100% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BCAP?
No. The price is what the market pays today (50.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (100.00 IDR). For Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk the two are 50.00 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk worth?
The market values Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk at about 2.1T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 50.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 100.00 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BCAP?
Our models span a range for Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk: cautious scenario 31.26 IDR, base 100.00 IDR, optimistic 138.72 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 50.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of BCAP?
Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.8 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 100.00 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.5, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 0.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk (BCAP)?
Balance-sheet figures for Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 5.1%, debt of 0.21 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BCAP from its 52-week high?
Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk trades at 50.00 IDR, about 30% below its 52-week high of 71.00 IDR and at the low of 50.00 IDR (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 100.00 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value ORIX Corporation, Bajaj Finserv Ltd, Yuanta Financial Holding, China Galaxy Securities Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 50.00 IDR, calculated fair value 100.00 IDR (+100%), Quality Score 56/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BCAP calculated?
We run Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 100.00 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk currently trades 100 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk (BCAP)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 50.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 100.00 IDR, about +100% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk right now?
The model range is unusually wide (31.26 IDR to 138.72 IDR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Key figures of Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk

How large is the market capitalisation of Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk (BCAP)?
The market capitalisation of Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk is 2.1T IDR (≈ $213M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk (BCAP)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk is 0.53 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk (BCAP)?
Earnings per share at Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk are 6.41 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk (BCAP)?
The net margin of Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk is 6.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk (BCAP)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk is 5.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk (BCAP)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk is 4.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk (BCAP)?
The operating margin of Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk is 11.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk (BCAP)?
Revenue at Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk is growing +14.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk (BCAP)?
Earnings per share at Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk are growing +42.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk (BCAP) carry?
The net debt of Mnc Kapital Indonesia Tbk is 1.6T IDR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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