Beacon Minerals Limited (BCN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Beacon Minerals Limited A$0.95, price A$3.06, upside -68.9%, quality 35 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Structural break:
The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value A$0.9520 · Strongly overvalued (−68.9%)
!Quality 35/100
!Mixed Growth(revenue 5y +16.7 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 6.0% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!1.3% dividend yield · Watch coverage
!Mixed vs. peers(4/10)
!Moderate moat52/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Watch Beacon Minerals Limited for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.7744 – A$4.24 · fair‑value band A$0.6120 – A$1.53 · the A$3.06 price screens above the A$0.9520 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
Follow Beacon Minerals in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Beacon Minerals is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Beacon Minerals Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development and production of minerals in Western Australia. It primarily explores for gold. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Boulder, Australia.
Stock analysis
Beacon Minerals Limited (BCN) currently trades at A$3.06, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.9520, 68.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of A$0.5700 per share, and 0 of the 10 models we run sit above the A$3.06 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at A$0.3600, and 10 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: A$0.6120 (bear) to A$1.53 (bull), the price of A$3.06 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Beacon Minerals Limited reported revenue of A$92.7M in FY2025 versus A$73.7M in FY2021, a compound +5.9%/yr. Reported net income was −A$14.0M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap A$306M (≈ $213M) · P/E ratio 38.3 · P/S ratio 2.28 · EPS (TTM) A$0.0800 · Dividend yield 1.3% · Net margin −15.1% · Return on equity 10.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 13.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 61% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −69%, BCN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$0.6120Fair Value A$0.9520Bull A$1.53
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$0.0400 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.68/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+11.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +21.3% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+46.1%
’11
’12
’14
’15
’17
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
40.1% (2020) → −41.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Beacon Minerals Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gold · 232 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score35 · Below median
Fair Value upside−68.9% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)10.3% · Above median
Return on assets6.0% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)6.0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)23.7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth101.7% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)1.3% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.10× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Gold median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)38.3× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 7
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 100
PAST (return on equity)41· sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)95· sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)26· sector 21
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Beacon Minerals Limited (BCN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.9520 versus a price of A$3.06, about −69% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BCN?
Our model-based fair value for Beacon Minerals Limited is A$0.9520 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$3.06.
What is the quality score of BCN?
Beacon Minerals Limited has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Beacon Minerals Limited (BCN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.9520 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.6120, optimistic scenario A$1.53. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Beacon Minerals Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.9520, about −69% upside versus a price of A$3.06 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.6120, optimistic scenario A$1.53. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Beacon Minerals Limited (BCN)?
Beacon Minerals Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$134M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Beacon Minerals Limited pay a dividend?
Beacon Minerals Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.31% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Beacon Minerals Limited (BCN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Beacon Minerals Limited it is A$0.9520 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of A$3.06. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Beacon Minerals Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, BCN trades above its calculated fair value: price A$3.06, fair value A$0.9520, a gap of about −69% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BCN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$3.06); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.9520). For Beacon Minerals Limited the two are A$2.11 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Beacon Minerals Limited worth?
The market values Beacon Minerals Limited at about A$306M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is A$3.06; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.9520 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BCN?
Our models span a range for Beacon Minerals Limited: cautious scenario A$0.6120, base A$0.9520, optimistic A$1.53 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price A$3.06). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of BCN?
Beacon Minerals Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 38.3 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$0.9520 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Beacon Minerals Limited (BCN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Beacon Minerals Limited (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 10.3%, debt of 0.10 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BCN from its 52-week high?
Beacon Minerals Limited trades at A$3.06, about 28% below its 52-week high of A$4.24 and 61% above the low of A$1.91 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.9520 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Beacon Minerals Limited?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Newmont Corporation, Zijin Mining Group, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, Wheaton Precious Metals Corp, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Beacon Minerals Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price A$3.06, calculated fair value A$0.9520 (−69%), Quality Score 35/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BCN calculated?
We run Beacon Minerals Limited through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.9520, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Beacon Minerals Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Beacon Minerals Limited (BCN)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was A$3.06. Our model-based fair value is A$0.9520, about −69% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Beacon Minerals Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$1.53). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (A$0.6120 to A$1.53) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Beacon Minerals Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Beacon Minerals Limited (BCN)?
The market capitalisation of Beacon Minerals Limited is A$306M (≈ $213M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Beacon Minerals Limited (BCN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Beacon Minerals Limited is 2.28 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Beacon Minerals Limited (BCN)?
Earnings per share at Beacon Minerals Limited are A$0.0800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 38.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Beacon Minerals Limited (BCN)?
The dividend yield of Beacon Minerals Limited is 1.3% (payout 50.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Beacon Minerals Limited (BCN)?
The net margin of Beacon Minerals Limited is −15.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Beacon Minerals Limited (BCN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Beacon Minerals Limited is 10.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Beacon Minerals Limited (BCN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Beacon Minerals Limited is 13.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Beacon Minerals Limited (BCN)?
The operating margin of Beacon Minerals Limited is 23.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Beacon Minerals Limited (BCN)?
Revenue at Beacon Minerals Limited is growing +102% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Beacon Minerals Limited (BCN)?
Earnings per share at Beacon Minerals Limited are growing +114% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Beacon Minerals Limited (BCN) generate?
The free cash flow of Beacon Minerals Limited is A$2.8M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Beacon Minerals Limited (BCN) hold?
Beacon Minerals Limited holds more cash than debt, A$6.1M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
Free · no account needed
Watch Beacon Minerals Limited in the live analysis
One click puts Beacon Minerals Limited on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
