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TRAVELITE HOLDINGS LTD. (BCZ) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · SG · Market cap 10.3M SGD

TH TRAVELITE HOLDINGS LTD. BCZ · SG
Price0.0740 SGD
Fair Value0.0488 SGD
Upside-34.1%
Quality39/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -13.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/11)
Narrow moat 0/100
Evidence: Medium Range 0.0488 SGD – 0.0710 SGD Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 10 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Share price −32.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 34% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.0710 SGD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

0.1780 SGD 0.0730 SGD Fair Value 0.0488 SGD Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.0730 SGD – 0.1780 SGD · fair‑value band 0.0488 SGD – 0.0710 SGD · the 0.0740 SGD price screens above the 0.0488 SGD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

TRAVELITE HOLDINGS LTD. (BCZ) currently trades at 0.0740 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.0488 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 34.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, TRAVELITE HOLDINGS LTD. generated revenue of 36.3M SGD at a net margin of -13.5%. Revenue declined 6.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -21.3%. Net debt stands at 8.5M SGD. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.0488 SGD (bear case) to 0.0710 SGD (bull case); at 0.0740 SGD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 25% fair-value upside, at -34%, BCZ screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 0.2100 SGD 0.2400 SGD 0.2900 SGD 80
Rev-Margin DCF 0.2200 SGD 0.2800 SGD 0.3700 SGD 74
EV/EBITDA 0.1600 SGD 0.1900 SGD 0.2200 SGD 54
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 0.2100 SGD 0.2400 SGD 0.3000 SGD 38
5Y Revenue Exit 0.2200 SGD 0.2800 SGD 0.3700 SGD 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 0.1800 SGD 0.2100 SGD 0.2600 SGD 41
10Y Revenue Exit 0.2100 SGD 0.2500 SGD 0.3000 SGD 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 0.1900 SGD 0.2100 SGD 0.2400 SGD 37
Multiples
EV/EBITDA 0.1600 SGD 0.1900 SGD 0.2200 SGD 54
EV/Revenue 0.2400 SGD 0.3100 SGD 0.3900 SGD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.1100 SGD 0.1500 SGD 0.2200 SGD 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 0.2100 SGD 0.2400 SGD 0.2900 SGD 80
Rev-Margin DCF 0.2200 SGD 0.2800 SGD 0.3700 SGD 74

Widest divergence: DCF Models (0.2400 SGD) versus Asset-Based (0.1500 SGD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 36.3M SGD
Revenue growth (YoY) -6.7%
Net margin -13.5%
Return on equity -21.3%
Free cash flow 1.8M SGD FY2026
Operating margin -13.2%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -0.0500 SGD
EPS growth (YoY) -59.8%
Net debt 8.5M SGD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25

Profitability 19
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 39
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 43
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 60
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 12
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 8
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Travelite Holdings Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture, distribution, licensing, export, import, and retail of luggage and travel accessories. The company operates through Departmental Stores, Specialty Stores, Third Party Retailers, Wholesale Distribution, and Gift and Corporate Sales segments.

Full company description

Travelite Holdings Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture, distribution, licensing, export, import, and retail of luggage and travel accessories. The company operates through Departmental Stores, Specialty Stores, Third Party Retailers, Wholesale Distribution, and Gift and Corporate Sales segments. It offers luggage bags, traveling accessories, travel bags, small leather goods, garments, handbags, fashion apparel, knitwear, wallets, and various types of leather goods and related products. The company is also involved in the trading of garments and other related products; and the provision of logistics services, as well as acting as a franchisor and master licensor and distributing and selling footwear, knitwear, wallets, and all types of leather goods. It offers its products under the DELSEY PARIS, VICTORINOX, Traveler's Choice, ace, WENGER, Pierre Cardin, PROTECA, TRAVEL SENTRY, AMERICAN FLYER, B-FORM, MORAL, bromen, Kanana project, HEDGREN, BERVERLY HILLS POLO CLUB, beside u, Arnold Palmer, bradFORD, Crocodile, HECHTER PARIS, FERRAGGUS, URS inc, VAN HEUSEN, BRENTWOOD, ALLANBROOKE brand names. The company markets and sells its products through departmental stores, chain of specialty stores, third-party retail outlets, gift redemption and corporate gift programs in Singapore and Malaysia; and wholesale distribution to third-party distributors in Brunei, Cambodia, Indonesia, Myanmar, Thailand, the Maldives, and Kuwait. Travelite Holdings Ltd. was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Singapore.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

TRAVELITE HOLDINGS LTD. reported revenue of 36.3M SGD in FY2026 versus 25.0M SGD in FY2022, a compound +9.7%/yr. Reported net income was −4.9M SGD in FY2026.

Growth Quality 56/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
36.3M SGD
Latest YoY
−7.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−7.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.0%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.0%
Revenue +9.7%/yr
FY22 25.0M SGD
FY23 46.4M SGD
FY24 47.1M SGD
FY25 39.3M SGD
FY26 36.3M SGD
Net income
FY22 −409K SGD
FY23 3.1M SGD
FY24 2.7M SGD
FY25 968K SGD
FY26 −4.9M SGD

BCZ screens 34% overvalued. Compare with Falabella S.A →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "TRAVELITE HOLDINGS LTD. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BCZ

Peer Group

Department Stores · 127 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −32% · Below median
Return on assets -5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -14% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -13% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -7% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Department Stores median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.39× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.22× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 4.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 25
FUTURE 0 · sector 2
PAST 0 · sector 15
HEALTH 100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 44

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Department Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

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El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A. LIVEPOLC1 99.62 MXN 220.59 MXN +121%
99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings 5326 3.65 MYR 1.59 MYR -56%
Cencosud S.A CENCOSUD 1,949 CLP 2,425 CLP +24%
Vishal Mega Mart Limited VMM ₹107.00 ₹30.46 -72%
SHINSEGAE Inc 004170 399,000 KRW 177,841 KRW -55%
Organización Soriana, S. A. B. de C. V., SORIANAB 30.04 MXN 54.64 MXN +82%
Lotte Shopping Co 023530 97,300 KRW 76,636 KRW -21%
Lojas Renner S.A LREN3 R$11.74 R$33.36 +184%
La Comer, S.A. LACOMERUBC 34.37 MXN 44.99 MXN +31%

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Frequently asked questions

Is TRAVELITE HOLDINGS LTD. (BCZ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.0488 SGD versus a price of 0.0740 SGD, about −34% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BCZ?
Our model-based fair value for TRAVELITE HOLDINGS LTD. is 0.0488 SGD (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 0.0740 SGD.
What is the quality score of BCZ?
TRAVELITE HOLDINGS LTD. has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of TRAVELITE HOLDINGS LTD. (BCZ)?
TRAVELITE HOLDINGS LTD. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 36.3M SGD (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BCZ?
The net profit margin of TRAVELITE HOLDINGS LTD. is about -13.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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