TRAVELITE HOLDINGS LTD. (BCZ) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · SG · Market cap 10.3M SGD
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 10 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price −32.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 34% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.0710 SGD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.0730 SGD – 0.1780 SGD · fair‑value band 0.0488 SGD – 0.0710 SGD · the 0.0740 SGD price screens above the 0.0488 SGD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
TRAVELITE HOLDINGS LTD. (BCZ) currently trades at 0.0740 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.0488 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 34.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, TRAVELITE HOLDINGS LTD. generated revenue of 36.3M SGD at a net margin of -13.5%. Revenue declined 6.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -21.3%. Net debt stands at 8.5M SGD. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 0.0488 SGD (bear case) to 0.0710 SGD (bull case); at 0.0740 SGD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 25% fair-value upside, at -34%, BCZ screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 10 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (0.2400 SGD) versus Asset-Based (0.1500 SGD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Travelite Holdings Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture, distribution, licensing, export, import, and retail of luggage and travel accessories. The company operates through Departmental Stores, Specialty Stores, Third Party Retailers, Wholesale Distribution, and Gift and Corporate Sales segments.
Full company description
Travelite Holdings Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture, distribution, licensing, export, import, and retail of luggage and travel accessories. The company operates through Departmental Stores, Specialty Stores, Third Party Retailers, Wholesale Distribution, and Gift and Corporate Sales segments. It offers luggage bags, traveling accessories, travel bags, small leather goods, garments, handbags, fashion apparel, knitwear, wallets, and various types of leather goods and related products. The company is also involved in the trading of garments and other related products; and the provision of logistics services, as well as acting as a franchisor and master licensor and distributing and selling footwear, knitwear, wallets, and all types of leather goods. It offers its products under the DELSEY PARIS, VICTORINOX, Traveler's Choice, ace, WENGER, Pierre Cardin, PROTECA, TRAVEL SENTRY, AMERICAN FLYER, B-FORM, MORAL, bromen, Kanana project, HEDGREN, BERVERLY HILLS POLO CLUB, beside u, Arnold Palmer, bradFORD, Crocodile, HECHTER PARIS, FERRAGGUS, URS inc, VAN HEUSEN, BRENTWOOD, ALLANBROOKE brand names. The company markets and sells its products through departmental stores, chain of specialty stores, third-party retail outlets, gift redemption and corporate gift programs in Singapore and Malaysia; and wholesale distribution to third-party distributors in Brunei, Cambodia, Indonesia, Myanmar, Thailand, the Maldives, and Kuwait. Travelite Holdings Ltd. was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Singapore.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
TRAVELITE HOLDINGS LTD. reported revenue of 36.3M SGD in FY2026 versus 25.0M SGD in FY2022, a compound +9.7%/yr. Reported net income was −4.9M SGD in FY2026.
BCZ screens 34% overvalued. Compare with Falabella S.A →
Peer Group
Department Stores · 127 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Department Stores median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Department Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
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|---|---|---|---|
| Falabella S.A FALABELLA | 6,380 CLP | 8,005 CLP | +25% |
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| Cencosud S.A CENCOSUD | 1,949 CLP | 2,425 CLP | +24% |
| Vishal Mega Mart Limited VMM | ₹107.00 | ₹30.46 | -72% |
| SHINSEGAE Inc 004170 | 399,000 KRW | 177,841 KRW | -55% |
| Organización Soriana, S. A. B. de C. V., SORIANAB | 30.04 MXN | 54.64 MXN | +82% |
| Lotte Shopping Co 023530 | 97,300 KRW | 76,636 KRW | -21% |
| Lojas Renner S.A LREN3 | R$11.74 | R$33.36 | +184% |
| La Comer, S.A. LACOMERUBC | 34.37 MXN | 44.99 MXN | +31% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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