Belden Inc (BDC) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $4.1B
Belden Inc
BDC · US
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from $84.12 to $84.75 (+0.7%) since Jul 14, 2026. Share price +25.5% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 36% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide ($44.35 to $136.39). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $42.53 – $150.78 · fair‑value band $44.35 – $136.39 · the $132.82 price screens above the $84.75 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
Analysis
Belden Inc (BDC) currently trades at $132.82, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $84.75, implying the stock looks roughly 36.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Belden Inc generated revenue of $2.8B at a net margin of 8.5%. Revenue grew 11.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.9%. Net debt stands at $1.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $44.35 (bear case) to $136.39 (bull case); at $132.82, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -61% fair-value upside, at -36%, BDC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($104.91) versus Dividend Discount ($2.80). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Belden Inc. provides connection solutions to bring data infrastructure into alignment to unlock new possibilities for its customers.
Full company description
Belden Inc. provides connection solutions to bring data infrastructure into alignment to unlock new possibilities for its customers. The company provides copper cable and connectivity solutions, fiber cable and connectivity solutions, interconnect panels, racks and enclosures, and signal extension and matrix switching systems for use in local area networks, data centers, access control, 5G, fiber to the home, and building automation applications. It also provides power, cooling, and airflow management products for mission-critical data center operations; and end-to-end fiber and copper network systems. It also serves commercial real estate, education, financial institutions, stadiums and venues, military installations, and broadband and wireless service providers, as well as data centers, government, healthcare, and hospitality sectors. In addition, the company offers network digitization and automation solutions; and products and solutions covering various aspects of data handling, including acquisition, transmission, orchestration, and management for applications in discrete automation, process automation, energy, and mass transit. It sells its products to distributors, end-users, installers, and original equipment manufacturers (OEMs). It operates in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia-Pacific. The company was formerly known as Belden CDT Inc. and changed its name to Belden Inc. in May 2007. Belden Inc. was founded in 1902 and is headquartered in Saint Louis, Missouri. As of April 22, 2026 Belden Inc. operates as subsidiary of Brightstar Capital Partners, L.P.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Belden Inc reported revenue of $2.7B in FY2025 versus $2.3B in FY2021, a compound +4.2%/yr. Reported net income was $238M in FY2025, compounding +38.8%/yr from FY2021.
BDC screens 36% overvalued. Compare with Cisco Systems, Inc →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Belden Named a World’s Top Disability Inclusive Business
- Belden Names G-SPACE as Winner of the 2026 Joseph C. Belden Innovation Award
- Belden Q2 Earnings Call Highlights
- Wall Street Analysts See a 26.95% Upside in Belden (BDC): Can the Stock Really Move This High?
Peer Group
Communication Equipment · 290 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 44/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO | $119.25 | $43.05 | -64% |
| Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 | ¥1,094 | ¥171.09 | -84% |
| Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 | ¥56.50 | ¥28.65 | -49% |
| Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 | ¥482.88 | ¥155.05 | -68% |
| Nokia Oyj NOK | $11.25 | $2.67 | -76% |
| Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI | $413.31 | $190.43 | -54% |
| Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co 300394 | ¥244.13 | ¥32.04 | -87% |
| Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ), ERIC | $11.72 | $15.96 | +36% |
| Accton Technology Corporation 2345 | 2,090 TWD | 846.28 TWD | -60% |
| ZTE Corporation 000063 | ¥40.00 | ¥15.75 | -61% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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