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Blue Dolphin Energy Company (BDCO) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $53.0M

Price$3.85
Fair Value$3.30
Upside-14.3%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Low Range $2.48 – $4.13

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

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Analysis

Blue Dolphin Energy Company (BDCO) currently trades at $3.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.30 — implying the stock looks roughly 14.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

About the company

Blue Dolphin Energy Company, an independent downstream energy company, engages in the refining of petroleum products in the United States. It operates through Refinery Operations, Tolling and Terminaling, and Corporate and Other segments. The company offers finished products, such as jet fuel; and intermediate petroleum products, including naphtha, heavy oil-based mud blendstock, and atmospheric gas oil. It also conducts tolling and terminaling services at the Nixon facility. In addition, the company offers storage tank rental services; ancillary services, such as in-tank blending; and tolling and reservation services. The company serves distributors, wholesalers, and refineries in the lower portion of the Texas Triangle, including the Houston, San Antonio, and Dallas/Fort Worth areas. The company is headquartered in Houston, Texas. Blue Dolphin Energy Company operates as a subsidiary of Lazarus Energy Holdings, LLC.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Blue Dolphin Energy Company (BDCO) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.30 versus a price of $3.85 — about −14% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of BDCO?
Our 21-model fair value for Blue Dolphin Energy Company is $3.30 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $3.85.
What is the quality score of BDCO?
Blue Dolphin Energy Company has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.