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PT Berdikari Pondasi Perkasa Tbk (BDKR) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · ID · Market cap 654B IDR

PB PT Berdikari Pondasi Perkasa Tbk BDKR · JK
Price163.00 IDR
Fair Value116.87 IDR
Upside-28.3%
Quality68/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 6.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.84% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Narrow moat 40/100
Evidence: High Range 87.65 IDR – 146.09 IDR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price +11.6% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 28% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (146.09 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (68/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

969.09 IDR 105.19 IDR Fair Value 116.87 IDR Mar 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

41‑month range 105.19 IDR – 969.09 IDR · fair‑value band 87.65 IDR – 146.09 IDR · the 163.00 IDR price screens above the 116.87 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

PT Berdikari Pondasi Perkasa Tbk (BDKR) currently trades at 163.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 116.87 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 28.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, PT Berdikari Pondasi Perkasa Tbk generated revenue of 394B IDR at a net margin of 6.5%. Revenue declined 9.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.3%. Net debt stands at 56.9B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 87.65 IDR (bear case) to 146.09 IDR (bull case); at 163.00 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -28%, BDKR screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 278.16 IDR 379.34 IDR 559.40 IDR 80
Residual Income 126.16 IDR 123.78 IDR 108.55 IDR 76
Rev-Margin DCF 166.95 IDR 218.84 IDR 284.66 IDR 74
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 265.63 IDR 368.95 IDR 567.81 IDR 38
Owner Earnings 321.30 IDR 448.21 IDR 692.45 IDR 31
5Y Revenue Exit 166.95 IDR 213.32 IDR 280.30 IDR 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 304.24 IDR 451.09 IDR 645.65 IDR 41
5Y P/E Exit 159.33 IDR 200.12 IDR 249.52 IDR 38
10Y Revenue Exit 199.72 IDR 238.30 IDR 277.69 IDR 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 287.58 IDR 388.75 IDR 497.21 IDR 37
10Y P/E Exit 197.60 IDR 229.95 IDR 259.20 IDR 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 37.84 IDR 46.25 IDR 52.03 IDR 54
EPV 108.05 IDR 123.29 IDR 136.83 IDR 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 87.65 IDR 116.87 IDR 146.09 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 70.96 IDR 94.61 IDR 118.26 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 70.96 IDR 94.61 IDR 118.26 IDR 55
EV/EBIT 154.85 IDR 199.23 IDR 243.61 IDR 53
EV/EBITDA 378.66 IDR 497.63 IDR 616.61 IDR 54
EV/Revenue 116.74 IDR 157.46 IDR 198.18 IDR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 85.09 IDR 114.01 IDR 170.17 IDR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 278.16 IDR 379.34 IDR 559.40 IDR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 166.95 IDR 218.84 IDR 284.66 IDR 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 126.16 IDR 123.78 IDR 108.55 IDR 76
ROIC Compounder 108.05 IDR 123.29 IDR 136.83 IDR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 61.89 IDR 88.42 IDR 114.94 IDR 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (238.30 IDR) versus Earnings-Based (46.25 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 394B IDR
Revenue growth (YoY) -9.4%
Net margin 6.5%
Return on equity 3.3%
Free cash flow 108B IDR FY2025
P/E ratio 26.4
More key figures
Operating margin 12.9%
EPS (TTM) 5.50 IDR
Dividend yield 1.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +10.4%
Net debt 56.9B IDR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 68/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 27
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 98
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 63
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 81
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 61
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 41
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 56
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 94
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PT Berdikari Pondasi Perkasa Tbk engages in the construction business in Indonesia. It also leases heavy equipment. The company was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Jakarta Barat, Indonesia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PT Berdikari Pondasi Perkasa Tbk reported revenue of 405B IDR in FY2025 versus 413B IDR in FY2021, a compound −0.5%/yr. Reported net income was 25.1B IDR in FY2025, compounding −3.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
405B IDR
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−3.1%
Revenue −0.5%/yr
FY21 413B IDR
FY22 477B IDR
FY23 613B IDR
FY24 484B IDR
FY25 405B IDR
Net income −3.0%/yr
FY21 28.4B IDR
FY22 58.0B IDR
FY23 79.3B IDR
FY24 15.1B IDR
FY25 25.1B IDR

BDKR screens 28% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Berdikari Pondasi Perkasa Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BDKR

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 839 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −28% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -9% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.8% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.06× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 26.4× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.85× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.66× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 4.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 16
FUTURE 0 · sector 17
PAST 13 · sector 26
HEALTH 97 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 37 · sector 33

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,815 ₹1,994 -48%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 346,000 KRW 268,779 KRW -22%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 99,000 KRW 63,993 KRW -35%
United Integrated Services Co 2404 1,250 TWD 925.62 TWD -26%
Samsung E&A Co 028050 42,550 KRW 44,840 KRW +5%
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL ₹232.67 ₹61.46 -74%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 16,240 KRW 6,507 KRW -60%
NBCC (India) Limited NBCC ₹96.32 ₹48.22 -50%
Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO ₹1,330 ₹730.69 -45%
KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 92,700 KRW 20,172 KRW -78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PT Berdikari Pondasi Perkasa Tbk (BDKR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 116.87 IDR versus a price of 163.00 IDR, about −28% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BDKR?
Our model-based fair value for PT Berdikari Pondasi Perkasa Tbk is 116.87 IDR (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 163.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of BDKR?
PT Berdikari Pondasi Perkasa Tbk has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PT Berdikari Pondasi Perkasa Tbk (BDKR)?
PT Berdikari Pondasi Perkasa Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 394B IDR (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BDKR?
The net profit margin of PT Berdikari Pondasi Perkasa Tbk is about 6.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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