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BDO Unibank, Inc (BDOUY) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $11.6B

BU BDO Unibank, Inc logo BDO Unibank, Inc BDOUY · US
Price$20.12
Fair Value$34.58
Upside+71.9%
Quality54/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 31.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.33% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (8/11)
Wide moat 70/100
Evidence: High Range $25.94 – $43.23 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 25, 2026, revised from $34.79 to $34.58 (−0.6%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −3.7% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 72% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($25.94). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (54/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$28.75 $13.59 Fair Value $34.58 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $13.59 – $28.75 · fair‑value band $25.94 – $43.23 · the $20.12 price screens below the $34.58 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

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Analysis

BDO Unibank, Inc (BDOUY) currently trades at $20.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $34.58, implying the stock looks roughly 71.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, BDO Unibank, Inc generated revenue of $277B at a net margin of 31.6%. Revenue grew 5.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.2%. Net debt stands at $55.8B. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $25.94 (bear case) to $43.23 (bull case); at $20.12, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 72%, BDOUY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
P/E Multiple $1,601 $2,135 $2,668 63
Residual Income $1,161 $1,461 $3,550 61
P/B Multiple $1,261 $1,681 $2,102 55
All 4 models by family
Multiples
P/E Multiple $1,601 $2,135 $2,668 63
P/B Multiple $1,261 $1,681 $2,102 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $600.51 $804.68 $1,201 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $1,161 $1,461 $3,550 61

Widest divergence: Multiples ($1,681) versus Asset-Based ($804.68). Highest evidence: P/E Multiple (63).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $277B
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.6%
Net margin 31.6%
Return on equity 14.2%
Free cash flow $84.2B FY2025
P/E ratio 8.2
More key figures
Operating margin 36.9%
EPS (TTM) $2.65
Dividend yield 3.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +1.7%
Net debt $55.8B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 77
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 21
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 61
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 72
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 34
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 20
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 74
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

BDO Unibank, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides various banking products and services to individuals and corporations in the Philippines and internationally. The company operates through Commercial Banking, Investment Banking, Private Banking, Leasing and Financing, Insurance, and other segments.

Full company description

BDO Unibank, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides various banking products and services to individuals and corporations in the Philippines and internationally. The company operates through Commercial Banking, Investment Banking, Private Banking, Leasing and Financing, Insurance, and other segments. It offers checking, savings and time deposit, and foreign currency accounts; and personal and business loans, such as home, auto, SME, project finance, term, and working capital. The company also provides insurance products, including life and non-life insurance, and corporate insurance; debit, credit, and corporate cards; and securities underwriting, loan syndication, underwriting, placing of debt and equity securities, financial advisory, and securities brokerage services. In addition, it engages in the leasing and sale of property; cash management; realty management; remittances; leasing products, such as finance and operating lease, receivable factoring, mortgage loans, amortized commercial loan, installment paper purchase, and floor stock financing; capital markets; international banking; and online, mobile, and phone banking services. Further, the company provides trade settlements, export bills purchases, and letters of credit; and merchant and point-of-sale solutions, and institutional trust management services. BDO Unibank, Inc. was incorporated in 1967 and is headquartered in Makati City, the Philippines.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

BDO Unibank, Inc reported revenue of $369B in FY2025 versus $188B in FY2021, a compound +18.3%/yr. Reported net income was $87.6B in FY2025, compounding +19.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 99/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$369B
Latest YoY
+58.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+22.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+13.3%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y)
+17.0%
Revenue +18.3%/yr
FY21 $188B
FY22 $200B
FY23 $277B
FY24 $232B
FY25 $369B
Net income +19.6%/yr
FY21 $42.8B
FY22 $57.1B
FY23 $73.4B
FY24 $82.0B
FY25 $87.6B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "BDO Unibank, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BDOUY

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Below median
Fair Value upside +72% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 32% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 37% · Below median
Revenue growth 6% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.3% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.14× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 39
FUTURE 28 · sector 44
PAST 57 · sector 41
HEALTH 93 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 67 · sector 49

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is BDO Unibank, Inc (BDOUY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $34.58 versus a price of $20.12, about +72% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BDOUY?
Our model-based fair value for BDO Unibank, Inc is $34.58 (as of Jul 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $20.12.
What is the quality score of BDOUY?
BDO Unibank, Inc has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of BDO Unibank, Inc (BDOUY)?
BDO Unibank, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $277B (latest available figure, as of Jul 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BDOUY?
The net profit margin of BDO Unibank, Inc is about 31.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 31.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does BDO Unibank, Inc pay a dividend?
BDO Unibank, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.33% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 25, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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