Bagger Dave's Burger Tavern, Inc (BDVB) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $951K
Bagger Dave's Burger Tavern, Inc
BDVB · US
Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 47 days ago
Share price −17.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 70% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.0100). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0220 – $0.2000 · the $0.0330 price screens above the $0.0100 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 24, 2026.
Analysis
Bagger Dave's Burger Tavern, Inc (BDVB) currently trades at $0.0330, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0100, implying the stock looks roughly 69.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Bagger Dave's Burger Tavern, Inc generated revenue of $18.7M at a net margin of -61.4%. Revenue declined 23.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -86.5%. Net debt stands at $1.4M. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026
The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -47% fair-value upside, at -70%, BDVB screens richer than that median.
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Bagger Dave's Burger Tavern, Inc. owns and operates restaurants in the United States. The company's restaurants offer pizza, burgers, sandwiches, salads, fish, chips, chicken tenders and fries, deserts, cokes, diet coke, sprite, root beer, ginger ale, onion rings, nachos, iced tea, peach iced tea, raspberry iced tea, lemonades, juices, milk, and shakes.
Full company description
Bagger Dave's Burger Tavern, Inc. owns and operates restaurants in the United States. The company's restaurants offer pizza, burgers, sandwiches, salads, fish, chips, chicken tenders and fries, deserts, cokes, diet coke, sprite, root beer, ginger ale, onion rings, nachos, iced tea, peach iced tea, raspberry iced tea, lemonades, juices, milk, and shakes. It also offers gift cards. Bagger Dave's Burger Tavern, Inc. was founded in 2008 and is based in West Fargo, North Dakota.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Bagger Dave's Burger Tavern, Inc reported revenue of $6.1M in FY2025 versus $7.7M in FY2021, a compound −5.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$943K in FY2025.
BDVB screens 70% overvalued. Compare with McDonald's Corporation →
Peer Group
Restaurants · 227 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| McDonald's Corporation MCDS | C$24.01 | C$10.84 | -55% |
| Starbucks Corporation SBUX | $105.49 | $35.83 | -66% |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMG | $34.63 | $18.43 | -47% |
| Yum! Brands, Inc YUM | $163.54 | $59.66 | -64% |
| Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR | C$104.19 | C$36.37 | -65% |
| Darden Restaurants, Inc DRI | $195.74 | $173.68 | -11% |
| Yum China Holdings YUMC | $43.90 | $55.10 | +26% |
| Texas Roadhouse, Inc TXRH | $197.03 | $104.89 | -47% |
| Dutch Bros Inc BROS | $68.36 | $12.80 | -81% |
| Domino's Pizza, Inc DPZ | $322.18 | $231.96 | -28% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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