Budweiser Brewing Company (BDWBY) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $11.4B
Budweiser Brewing Company
BDWBY · US
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from $3.41 to $3.10 (−9.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +1.2% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from $2.33 (bear) to $3.88 (bull), base $3.10. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 65/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $3.03 – $12.42 · fair‑value band $2.33 – $3.88 · the $3.27 price screens above the $3.10 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
Budweiser Brewing Company (BDWBY) currently trades at $3.27, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.10, implying the stock looks roughly 5.2% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Budweiser Brewing Company generated revenue of $5.8B at a net margin of 8.3%. Revenue grew 2.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $2.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $2.33 (bear case) to $3.88 (bull case); at $3.27, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at -5%, BDWBY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($3.49) versus Earnings-Based ($1.23). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Budweiser Brewing Company APAC Limited, an investment holding company, engages in brewing and distribution of beer in South Korea, Japan, New Zealand, China, India, Vietnam, Southeast Asia, and internationally.
Full company description
Budweiser Brewing Company APAC Limited, an investment holding company, engages in brewing and distribution of beer in South Korea, Japan, New Zealand, China, India, Vietnam, Southeast Asia, and internationally. It brews, imports, markets, distributes, and sells a portfolio of beer brands, including Budweiser, Stella Artois, Corona, Harbin, Hoegaarden, and Cass. The company was founded in 1876 and is headquartered in Causeway Bay, Hong Kong. Budweiser Brewing Company APAC Limited operates as a subsidiary of AB InBev Brewing Company (APAC) Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Budweiser Brewing Company reported revenue of $5.8B in FY2025 versus $6.8B in FY2021, a compound −3.9%/yr. Reported net income was $489M in FY2025, compounding −15.2%/yr from FY2021.
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Budweiser Brewing Co APAC Ltd (BDWBF) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: China Weakness Weighs ...
- Budweiser Brewing Co APAC Ltd (BDWBF) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Navigating Challenges ...
- Budweiser APAC Shares Drop 5.3% as Profit Posts Biggest Decline Since 2020
- Budweiser Brewing 9-Month Profit Down
Peer Group
Beverages - Brewers · 52 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Brewers median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Beverages - Brewers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anheuser-Busch InBev SA 1ABI | €73.62 | €41.60 | -43% |
| Ambev S.A ABEV | 14,120 ARS | 6,060 ARS | -57% |
| Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A. FEMSAUBD | 222.91 MXN | 201.74 MXN | -9% |
| Heineken N.V HEIA | €77.24 | €65.06 | -16% |
| Constellation Brands, Inc STZ | $135.72 | $177.43 | +31% |
| Carlsberg A/S CARLA | kr 1,125 | kr 607.30 | -46% |
| Heineken Holding HEIO | €71.20 | €72.67 | +2% |
| Tsingtao Brewery Company 600600 | ¥53.60 | ¥63.65 | +19% |
| Molson Coors Canada Inc TPXA | C$63.10 | C$74.42 | +18% |
| Beijing Yanjing Brewery Co 000729 | ¥11.94 | ¥12.51 | +5% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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