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Beijer Ref AB (BEIJ-B) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · SE · Market cap 69.4B SEK (≈ $7.3B) · ISIN SE0015949748

What is Beijer Ref AB really worth?

BR Beijer Ref AB BEIJ-B · ST
Pricekr 138.90
Fair Valuekr 101.94
Upside−26.6%
Quality41/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 36% above our fair value of kr 101.94.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +21.4 %/yr)
Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Thin margins · 6.3% net margin
!Trails peers (5/15)
!Narrow moat 41/100
!Weak on dividend: 20 out of 100

For context

·1.01% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range kr 74.82 – kr 127.43

Fair value as of: Sep 3, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Share price −2.0% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 127.43). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 186.86 kr 97.37 Fair Value kr 101.94 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 97.37 – kr 186.86 · fair‑value band kr 74.82 – kr 127.43 · the kr 138.90 price screens above the kr 101.94 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Beijer Ref AB (BEIJ-B) currently trades at kr 138.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 101.94, implying the stock looks roughly 36.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of kr 163.61 per share, and 10 of the 25 models we run sit above the kr 138.90 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at kr 28.23, and 15 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Beijer Ref AB generated revenue of 36.7B SEK at a net margin of 6.3%. Revenue declined 3.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.4%. Net debt stands at 9.5B SEK. Fundamentals as of Sep 3, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 74.82 (bear case) to kr 127.43 (bull case); at kr 138.90, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −39% fair-value upside, at −27%, BEIJ-B screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly kr 2.17 per share, which is 2.1 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF kr 120.34 kr 230.72 kr 465.55 75
Growth DCF kr 117.62 kr 235.40 kr 417.68 75
EPV kr 54.89 kr 64.38 kr 72.68 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF kr 120.34 kr 230.72 kr 465.55 75
5Y Revenue Exit kr 83.65 kr 149.26 kr 240.18 71
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 97.39 kr 179.22 kr 285.18 73
5Y P/E Exit kr 85.45 kr 153.18 kr 233.21 69
10Y Revenue Exit kr 92.11 kr 160.64 kr 270.78 65
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 103.96 kr 183.32 kr 310.58 66
10Y P/E Exit kr 95.85 kr 163.61 kr 264.62 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd kr 33.01 kr 183.31 kr 254.47 63
Lynch FV kr 51.17 kr 73.11 kr 95.04 61
PEG = 1.0 kr 51.17 kr 73.11 kr 95.04 57
EPV kr 54.89 kr 64.38 kr 72.68 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM kr 16.10 kr 33.48 kr 53.12 66
DDM Multi-Stage kr 16.10 kr 28.23 kr 35.14 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple kr 76.46 kr 101.94 kr 127.43 63
P/S Multiple kr 61.89 kr 82.52 kr 103.15 58
P/B Multiple kr 61.89 kr 82.52 kr 103.15 55
EV/EBIT kr 94.38 kr 126.51 kr 158.64 66
EV/EBITDA kr 92.64 kr 124.20 kr 155.75 67
EV/Revenue kr 66.78 kr 96.27 kr 125.75 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 22.75 kr 30.49 kr 45.51 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 117.62 kr 235.40 kr 417.68 75
Rev-Margin DCF kr 83.65 kr 147.49 kr 235.03 71
Economic Profit
Residual Income kr 40.75 kr 45.99 kr 80.67 74
ROIC Compounder kr 60.80 kr 88.42 kr 116.16 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E kr 77.06 kr 110.08 kr 143.10 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 163.61) versus Dividend Discount (kr 28.23). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (75).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 29.8 as of Jul 15, 2026
P/S ratio 1.87 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) kr 4.59 price ÷ EPS = P/E 29.8
Dividend yield 1.0% payout 30.5%
Net margin 6.3% FY2025
Return on equity 10.4% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 8.3% avg 5y
Operating margin 8.0% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 36.7B SEK TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −3.9% 3y avg +17.9%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 4.2B SEK FY2025
Net debt 9.5B SEK FY2025 · ≈ 2.3 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 47
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 62
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 16
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 67
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 42
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 26
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 43
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Beijer Ref AB (publ), together with its subsidiaries, provides commercial and industrial refrigeration, heating, and air conditioning products worldwide.

Full company description

Beijer Ref AB (publ), together with its subsidiaries, provides commercial and industrial refrigeration, heating, and air conditioning products worldwide. It provides commercial refrigeration systems, which are used in shops, catering, cafes, hotels, and small refrigerated warehouses; and central refrigeration systems, freezer, and refrigeration plants for modern food retailing, as well as for a range of applications, including ice rinks, food processing, manufacturing, and offshore industries. The company also offers HVAC or comfort cooling and heating products, such as products for climate control and ventilation in homes, offices, and shops; and provides air-to-water heat pumps, as well as produces chillers and heat pumps based on natural refrigerants, such as carbon dioxide, ammonia, and propane. The company distributes products through its branch network and logistics centers in EMEA, APAC, and North America regions. The company was formerly known as G & L Beijer AB (publ) and changed its name to Beijer Ref AB (publ) in 2014. The company was founded in 1866 and is headquartered in Malmö, Sweden.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Beijer Ref AB reported revenue of 37.1B SEK in FY2025 versus 16.9B SEK in FY2021, a compound +21.7%/yr. Reported net income was 2.3B SEK in FY2025, compounding +24.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
37.1B SEK
Latest YoY
+3.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+17.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+21.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (22Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.0%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+18.2% · in SEK
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+17.2%
Dividend yield1.0%
Trend Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y 17.2% vs 10Y 17.9%, steady
Operating margin (EBIT) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7.4% (2020) → 9.8% (2025) · rising
Worst earnings drop51% (2009) · in SEK
Revenue +21.7%/yr
FY21 16.9B SEK
FY22 22.6B SEK
FY23 32.2B SEK
FY24 35.7B SEK
FY25 37.1B SEK
Net income +24.1%/yr
FY21 979M SEK
FY22 1.2B SEK
FY23 2.4B SEK
FY24 2.2B SEK
FY25 2.3B SEK
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +20.6 % p.a.
Revenue per share +15.1 %

of which total revenue +17.5 % · buybacks/dilution −2.0 %

EBIT margin +4.4 %
Tax rate +1.4 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.1 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

BEIJ-B screens 36% overvalued. Compare with W.W. Grainger, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Beijer Ref AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BEIJ-B

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Industrial Distribution · 112 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −27% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Revenue growth −4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.0% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.20× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Industrial Distribution median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 29.8× · Pricier than median
P/B 3.18× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.89× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.7× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 18.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 4.88× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 33
FUTURE0 · sector 18
PAST41 · sector 35
HEALTH90 · sector 91
DIVIDEND20 · sector 36

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Industrial Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 3, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
W.W. Grainger, Inc GWW $1,306 $613.88 −53%
Fastenal Company FAST $51.14 $20.64 −60%
Ferguson Enterprises Inc FERG $245.18 $148.98 −39%
WESCO International, Inc WCC $347.60 $213.01 −39%
Watsco, Inc WSO $313.05 $251.37 −20%
Toromont Industries Ltd TIH C$199.59 C$127.90 −36%
Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc AIT $319.11 $191.65 −40%
Finning International Inc FTT C$93.86 C$76.38 −19%
Addtech AB ADDTB kr 344.00 kr 156.35 −55%
Core & Main, Inc CNM $45.45 $49.47 +9%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Beijer Ref AB (BEIJ-B) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 101.94 versus a price of kr 138.90, about −27% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BEIJ-B?
Our model-based fair value for Beijer Ref AB is kr 101.94 (as of Sep 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 138.90.
What is the quality score of BEIJ-B?
Beijer Ref AB has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Beijer Ref AB (BEIJ-B)?
Beijer Ref AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 36.7B SEK (latest available figure, as of Sep 3, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BEIJ-B?
The net profit margin of Beijer Ref AB is about 6.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Beijer Ref AB pay a dividend?
Beijer Ref AB currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.01% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 3, 2026).
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