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B.Grimm Power Public Company (BGRIM) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · TH · Market cap 52.7B THB

BG B.Grimm Power Public Company BGRIM · BK
Price17.70 THB
Fair Value9.88 THB
Upside-44.2%
Quality45/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 3.2% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
2.18% dividend yield
Trails peers (3/15)
Narrow moat 40/100
Evidence: Medium Range 8.19 THB – 14.46 THB Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 21 days ago

Share price −4.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 44% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (14.46 THB). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

45.30 THB 8.89 THB Fair Value 9.88 THB Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 8.89 THB – 45.30 THB · fair‑value band 8.19 THB – 14.46 THB · the 17.70 THB price screens above the 9.88 THB fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

B.Grimm Power Public Company (BGRIM) currently trades at 17.70 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 9.88 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 44.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, B.Grimm Power Public Company generated revenue of 54.4B THB at a net margin of 3.2%. Revenue declined 7.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.2%. Net debt stands at 99.7B THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 8.19 THB (bear case) to 14.46 THB (bull case); at 17.70 THB, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades near its 52-week high and 103% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -44%, BGRIM screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 10.48 THB 80
Residual Income 9.92 THB 10.12 THB 9.80 THB 76
Rev-Margin DCF 5.59 THB 20.68 THB 74
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 12.81 THB 38
5Y Revenue Exit 5.55 THB 22.69 THB 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 15.71 THB 36.51 THB 41
10Y Revenue Exit 1.87 THB 17.46 THB 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 8.82 THB 27.73 THB 37
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 4.37 THB 11.64 THB 15.22 THB 54
Lynch FV 2.25 THB 3.22 THB 4.19 THB 50
PEG = 1.0 2.25 THB 3.22 THB 4.19 THB 46
EPV 1.23 THB 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 3.95 THB 8.21 THB 13.02 THB 70
DDM Multi-Stage 3.95 THB 6.12 THB 8.44 THB 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 8.68 THB 11.57 THB 14.46 THB 63
P/S Multiple 8.19 THB 10.93 THB 13.66 THB 58
P/B Multiple 8.19 THB 10.93 THB 13.66 THB 55
EV/EBIT 1.23 THB 11.99 THB 22.76 THB 53
EV/EBITDA 6.79 THB 19.41 THB 32.03 THB 54
EV/Revenue 6.25 THB 17.45 THB 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 6.41 THB 8.59 THB 12.83 THB 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 10.48 THB 80
Rev-Margin DCF 5.59 THB 20.68 THB 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 9.92 THB 10.12 THB 9.80 THB 76
ROIC Compounder 1.23 THB 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 6.91 THB 9.88 THB 12.84 THB 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (10.93 THB) versus Earnings-Based (3.22 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 54.4B THB
Revenue growth (YoY) -7.1%
Net margin 3.2%
Return on equity 6.2%
Free cash flow 4.7B THB FY2025
P/E ratio 44.4
More key figures
Operating margin 15.8%
EPS (TTM) 0.3200 THB
Dividend yield 2.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +18.8%
Net debt 99.7B THB FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 77

Profitability 20
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 57
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 13
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 71
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 43
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 94
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 86
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

B.Grimm Power Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, financing, construction, and operation of green-field power plants in Thailand and internationally. The company operates through Electricity Generating and Other Businesses segments.

Full company description

B.Grimm Power Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, financing, construction, and operation of green-field power plants in Thailand and internationally. The company operates through Electricity Generating and Other Businesses segments. The Electricity Generation segment generates and distributes electricity for the government sectors and industrial users and procure and wholesale liquefied natural gas. The Other Businesses segment provides investment holding, maintenance, and operating services for power plants. It generates electricity through solar, hydro, and wind power; invests in electric, solar, and renewable power business; develops electricity generation systems; and manages smart grid networks. The company is also involved in solar power plant project management; procurement and wholesale natural gas; land development for power plant project; and operation and maintenance service, as well as management consulting. In addition, it It generates and distributes electricity for the government sectors and industrial users. The company operates in Vietnam, Cambodia, the United States, the Republic of Korea, and the Philippines. B.Grimm Power Public Company Limited was founded in 1878 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

B.Grimm Power Public Company reported revenue of 55.4B THB in FY2025 versus 46.6B THB in FY2021, a compound +4.4%/yr. Reported net income was 1.7B THB in FY2025, compounding −16.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
55.4B THB
Latest YoY
−0.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−3.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+4.7%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y)
+12.3%
Revenue +4.4%/yr
FY21 46.6B THB
FY22 62.4B THB
FY23 57.1B THB
FY24 55.9B THB
FY25 55.4B THB
Net income −16.3%/yr
FY21 3.4B THB
FY22 −898M THB
FY23 1.9B THB
FY24 1.6B THB
FY25 1.7B THB

BGRIM screens 44% overvalued. Compare with Constellation Energy Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "B.Grimm Power Public Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BGRIM

Peer Group

Utilities - Independent Power Producers · 78 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 45 · Below median
Fair Value upside −44% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 16% · Above median
Revenue growth -7% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.2% · Below median
Debt / equity 3.11× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Independent Power Producers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 63.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.57× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.97× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 10.4× · Pricier than median
PEG 2.55× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 23
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 25 · sector 31
HEALTH 0 · sector 70
DIVIDEND 44 · sector 52

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Independent Power Producers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Constellation Energy Corporation CEG $257.57 $89.08 -65%
Vistra Corp VST $158.86 $47.59 -70%
Adani Power Limited ADANIPOWER ₹218.45 ₹75.57 -65%
CGN Power Co 003816 ¥3.88 ¥3.13 -19%
NRG Energy, Inc NRG $137.90 $56.02 -59%
Gulf Development Public Company GULF 67.50 THB 40.44 THB -40%
Adani Energy Solutions Limited ADANIENSOL ₹1,730 ₹342.02 -80%
Talen Energy Corporation TLN $372.37 $44.67 -88%
Datang International Power Generation Co 601991 ¥5.80 ¥4.95 -15%
Power Assets Holdings 0006 HK$58.45 HK$31.90 -45%

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Frequently asked questions

Is B.Grimm Power Public Company (BGRIM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 9.88 THB versus a price of 17.70 THB, about −44% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BGRIM?
Our model-based fair value for B.Grimm Power Public Company is 9.88 THB (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 17.70 THB.
What is the quality score of BGRIM?
B.Grimm Power Public Company has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of B.Grimm Power Public Company (BGRIM)?
B.Grimm Power Public Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 54.4B THB (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BGRIM?
The net profit margin of B.Grimm Power Public Company is about 3.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does B.Grimm Power Public Company pay a dividend?
B.Grimm Power Public Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.88% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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