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Bluestem Group (BGRP) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $1.3M

BG Bluestem Group logo Bluestem Group BGRP · US
Price$0.0100
Fair Value$0.0100
Upside+0.0%
Quality58/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -1.3% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (6/10)
Narrow moat 24/100
Evidence: Medium Range $0.0095 – $0.0104 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 29, 2026

From 8 valuation models · updated 12 days ago

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • The models converge in a tight band ($0.0095 to $0.0104), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$3.40 $0.0100 Fair Value $0.0100 Jun 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0100 – $3.40 · fair‑value band $0.0095 – $0.0104 · the $0.0100 price screens below the $0.0100 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.

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Analysis

Bluestem Group (BGRP) currently trades at $0.0100, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0100, implying the stock looks roughly 0.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Bluestem Group generated revenue of $1.7B at a net margin of -1.3%. Revenue declined 13.4% year over year. Net debt stands at $313M. Fundamentals as of Jul 29, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.0095 (bear case) to $0.0104 (bull case); at $0.0100, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -49% fair-value upside, at 0%, BGRP screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $0.0166 $0.0296 $0.0527 80
Rev-Margin DCF $0.0028 $0.0063 $0.0125 74
EV/EBITDA $0.0059 $0.0100 $0.0140 54
All 8 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.0182 $0.0280 $0.0566 38
5Y Revenue Exit $0.0028 $0.0047 $0.0082 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $0.0102 $0.0198 $0.0383 41
10Y Revenue Exit $0.0084 $0.0153 $0.0169 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $0.0131 $0.0289 $0.0550 37
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $0.0059 $0.0100 $0.0140 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.0166 $0.0296 $0.0527 80
Rev-Margin DCF $0.0028 $0.0063 $0.0125 74

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($0.0198) versus Growth DCF ($0.0063). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.7B
Revenue growth (YoY) -13.4%
Net margin -1.3%
Free cash flow $86.1M FY2019
Operating margin 4.0%
EPS (TTM) $-0.0800
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) -61.3%
Net debt $313M FY2019

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52

Profitability 51
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 55
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 30
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 87
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Bluestem Group Inc., through its subsidiaries, offers a selection of name-brand, private label, and non-branded merchandise through Internet Websites and catalog serving low to middle income consumers in the United States. It operates through Northstar Portfolio and Orchard Portfolio segments.

Full company description

Bluestem Group Inc., through its subsidiaries, offers a selection of name-brand, private label, and non-branded merchandise through Internet Websites and catalog serving low to middle income consumers in the United States. It operates through Northstar Portfolio and Orchard Portfolio segments. The Northstar Portfolio segment consists of Fingerhut and Gettington retail brands. This segment offers consumer electronics, domestics, housewares, and home furnishings. The Orchard Portfolio segment comprises of Tog Shop and WinterSilks retail brands. This segment provides apparel, accessories, and home products for women and men through various platforms, including online and direct mail. Bluestem Group Inc. also offers bed and bath, lawn and garden, and hardware products; video games, toys, and sporting goods; and footwear, cosmetics, fragrances, and jewelry products. The company was formerly known as Capmark Financial Group Inc. and changed its name to Bluestem Group Inc. in June 2015. Bluestem Group Inc. was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Eden Prairie, Minnesota.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2015 – FY2019 · reported fiscal years

Bluestem Group reported revenue of $1.8B in FY2019 versus $478M in FY2015, a compound +39.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$35.5M in FY2019.

Growth Quality 17/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2019)
$1.8B
Latest YoY
−4.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.0%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+17.0%
Revenue +39.2%/yr
FY15 $478M
FY16 $1.7B
FY17 $2.1B
FY18 $1.9B
FY19 $1.8B
Net income
FY15 $109M
FY16 $14.2M
FY17 −$388M
FY18 −$214M
FY19 −$35.5M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bluestem Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BGRP

Peer Group

Internet Retail · 109 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside −0% · Below median
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) -1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Revenue growth -13% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Internet Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 2.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 33 · sector 34
FUTURE 0 · sector 39
PAST 0 · sector 7
HEALTH 100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 39

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Internet Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 29, 2026).

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Alibaba Group BABA $114.97 $75.75 -34%
PDD Holdings PDD $84.14 $223.51 +166%
MercadoLibre, Inc MELI $1,814 $798.98 -56%
DoorDash, Inc DASH $190.16 $38.64 -80%
Sea Limited SE $106.22 $52.70 -50%
eBay Inc EBAY $117.20 $60.13 -49%
JD.com, Inc JD €25.95 €31.88 +23%
Coupang, Inc CPNG $16.86 $2.79 -83%
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Frequently asked questions

Is Bluestem Group (BGRP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0100 versus a price of $0.0100, about +0% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of BGRP?
Our model-based fair value for Bluestem Group is $0.0100 (as of Jul 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.0100.
What is the quality score of BGRP?
Bluestem Group has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Bluestem Group (BGRP)?
Bluestem Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.7B (latest available figure, as of Jul 29, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BGRP?
The net profit margin of Bluestem Group is about -1.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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