Grupo Casas Bahia S.A. (BHIA3) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · BR · Market cap R$1.0B (≈ $201M) · ISIN BRBHIAACNOR1
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 21, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 8 days ago
Share price −47.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, trading 10% below our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range (R$0.2877 to R$0.5958) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Our model range runs from R$0.2877 (bear) to R$0.5958 (bull), base R$0.4420. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 41/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R$0.3400 – R$350.63 · fair‑value band R$0.2877 – R$0.5958 · the R$0.4000 price screens below the R$0.4420 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 4 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.
Analysis
Grupo Casas Bahia S.A. (BHIA3) currently trades at R$0.4000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$0.4420, implying the stock looks roughly 10.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Grupo Casas Bahia S.A. generated revenue of R$29.6B at a net margin of -12.3%. Revenue grew 6.1% year over year. Net debt stands at R$8.3B. Fundamentals as of Aug 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from R$0.2877 (bear case) to R$0.5958 (bull case); at R$0.4000, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at 11%, BHIA3 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (R$1.90) versus Dividend Discount (R$0.0032). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Grupo Casas Bahia S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an omnichannel retailer in Brazil. The company provides consumer electronics, home appliances, furniture, and other domestic items.
Full company description
Grupo Casas Bahia S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an omnichannel retailer in Brazil. The company provides consumer electronics, home appliances, furniture, and other domestic items. It also engages in the manufacture, industrialization, and sale of wood-based furniture; ownership and management of equity interests; management of logistics operations; and provision of integrated solutions for e-commerce and multi-marketplace operations, such as fulfillment, transportation and full commerce (white label) services through technology platforms and plug and play operating models, as well as management of digital solutions. In addition, the company offers financial services through its mobile app, including the digital management of the Casas Bahia installment payment plan, payments, transfers, mobile recharges, and other financial services. Further, it is involved in the management and operation of payment instruments comprising prepaid cards and other payment arrangements; granting of credit through an electronic platform, financing, and the acquisition of credit rights; and the development, management, and licensing of technological solutions, digital platforms, and systems. Additionally, the company provides services, including intermediation in the sale of extended warranty, equipment installation, marketplace, and financial and operational services, such as installment sales and co-branded credit cards. It serves consumers through brick and-mortar stores and e-commerce platforms under Casas Bahia, Ponto and Extra.com brands. The company was formerly known as Via S.A. and changed its name to Grupo Casas Bahia S.A. in September 2023. Grupo Casas Bahia S.A. was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Grupo Casas Bahia S.A. reported revenue of R$29.2B in FY2025 versus R$30.9B in FY2021, a compound −1.4%/yr. Reported net income was −R$3.0B in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Specialty Retail · 231 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc ATD | C$89.93 | C$104.32 | +16% |
| Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY | $807.12 | $398.90 | -51% |
| Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM | $237.43 | $162.63 | -32% |
| Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA | $543.19 | $475.40 | -12% |
| DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS | $202.66 | $181.10 | -11% |
| Best Buy Co BBY | $87.44 | $108.04 | +24% |
| China Tourism Group 601888 | ¥54.97 | ¥40.40 | -27% |
| Tractor Supply Company TSCO | $35.01 | $35.52 | +1% |
| Five Below, Inc FIVE | $259.41 | $117.29 | -55% |
| Murphy USA Inc MUSA | $574.12 | $423.35 | -26% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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