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Berli Jucker Public Company (BJC) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · TH · Market cap 59.3B THB

BJ Berli Jucker Public Company BJC · BK
Price15.90 THB
Fair Value17.01 THB
Upside+7.0%
Quality47/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 2.6% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
3.38% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/15)
Narrow moat 31/100
Evidence: High Range 12.76 THB – 21.27 THB Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price +9.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from 12.76 THB (bear) to 21.27 THB (bull), base 17.01 THB. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 47/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

36.57 THB 12.97 THB Fair Value 17.01 THB Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 12.97 THB – 36.57 THB · fair‑value band 12.76 THB – 21.27 THB · the 15.90 THB price screens below the 17.01 THB fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Berli Jucker Public Company (BJC) currently trades at 15.90 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 17.01 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 7.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Berli Jucker Public Company generated revenue of 156B THB at a net margin of 2.6%. Revenue declined 0.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.8%. Net debt stands at 173B THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 12.76 THB (bear case) to 21.27 THB (bull case); at 15.90 THB, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at 7%, BJC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 7.15 THB 28.31 THB 80
Residual Income 22.13 THB 21.89 THB 19.19 THB 76
Rev-Margin DCF 0.7000 THB 13.38 THB 74
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 9.67 THB 31
5Y P/E Exit 0.3400 THB 11.43 THB 38
10Y P/E Exit 0.7100 THB 12.95 THB 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 6.81 THB 26.40 THB 35.81 THB 54
Lynch FV 6.47 THB 9.25 THB 12.02 THB 50
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 6.52 THB 13.55 THB 21.50 THB 70
DDM Multi-Stage 6.52 THB 11.43 THB 14.23 THB 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 15.76 THB 21.02 THB 26.27 THB 63
P/B Multiple 12.76 THB 17.01 THB 21.27 THB 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 15.01 THB 20.12 THB 30.02 THB 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 7.15 THB 28.31 THB 80
Rev-Margin DCF 0.7000 THB 13.38 THB 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 22.13 THB 21.89 THB 19.19 THB 76

Widest divergence: Economic Profit (21.89 THB) versus DCF Models (0.3400 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 156B THB
Revenue growth (YoY) -0.8%
Net margin 2.6%
Return on equity 3.8%
Free cash flow 6.6B THB FY2025
P/E ratio 14.0
More key figures
Operating margin 6.0%
EPS (TTM) 0.9900 THB
Dividend yield 3.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -3.7%
Net debt 173B THB FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50

Profitability 23
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 31
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 47
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 23
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 92
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 80
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 43
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 27
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Berli Jucker Public Company Limited manufactures, distributes, and services for packaging, consumer, healthcare and technical, and modern retail supply chain businesses in Thailand. It designs, manufactures, markets, and distributes glass, aluminum cans, and plastic packaging products.

Full company description

Berli Jucker Public Company Limited manufactures, distributes, and services for packaging, consumer, healthcare and technical, and modern retail supply chain businesses in Thailand. It designs, manufactures, markets, and distributes glass, aluminum cans, and plastic packaging products. The company also provides Cellox facial tissues and toilet paper, Zilk toilet papers, Maxmo multi-purpose papers, Tasto potato chips, Dozo rice crackers, Party and Campus extruded snacks, Parrot soaps, and Dermapon baby soaps; and logistics services. It distributes pharmaceutical and healthcare products, medical imaging, and medical equipment and supplies; solutions for graphic, stationery, and specialty products; and industrial chemical ingredients, engineering products and systems, galvanized steel structures, and digital printing technology. The company also operates network of multiple physical and online store; and wholesale business serving B2B customer, bookstore, coffee shop, and drug store businesses. It provides food supplements and cosmetics; offers customs clearing, warehousing, transportation, and distribution services; manufactures snack food and dairy products; operates a non-alcohol beverage shop; sells imaging products, construction supplies, and animal feeds; and provides confectionery, sanitary paper, tofu, soymilk, and kimchi products. The company also offers agent and investment services; rental spaces; seminar and training center; consultant services for product analysis and data collection; land transport and freight services; solar and wind power, real estate, bill payment, information, franchise, and e-commerce services; distributor of security equipment and service maintenance; and real estate consulting and merchandise sourcing services, as well as invests in energy business; trades in equipment for power systems; and retails books and magazines. Berli Jucker Public Company Limited was founded in 1882 and is based in Bangkok, Thailand.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Berli Jucker Public Company reported revenue of 154B THB in FY2025 versus 138B THB in FY2021, a compound +2.7%/yr. Reported net income was 4.0B THB in FY2025, compounding +2.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
154B THB
Latest YoY
−2.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+0.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+1.3%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y)
+11.3%
Revenue +2.7%/yr
FY21 138B THB
FY22 150B THB
FY23 155B THB
FY24 158B THB
FY25 154B THB
Net income +2.8%/yr
FY21 3.6B THB
FY22 5.0B THB
FY23 4.8B THB
FY24 4.0B THB
FY25 4.0B THB

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Berli Jucker Public Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BJC

Peer Group

Conglomerates · 370 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside +7% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Below median
Revenue growth -1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.4% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.90× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.9× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.49× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.38× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 9.1× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.63× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 43 · sector 21
FUTURE 0 · sector 16
PAST 15 · sector 20
HEALTH 55 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 68 · sector 39

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Berli Jucker Public Company (BJC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 17.01 THB versus a price of 15.90 THB, about +7% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of BJC?
Our model-based fair value for Berli Jucker Public Company is 17.01 THB (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 15.90 THB.
What is the quality score of BJC?
Berli Jucker Public Company has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Berli Jucker Public Company (BJC)?
Berli Jucker Public Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 156B THB (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BJC?
The net profit margin of Berli Jucker Public Company is about 2.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Berli Jucker Public Company pay a dividend?
Berli Jucker Public Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.64% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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