Black Hills Corporation (BKH) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Black Hills Corporation $48.53, price $70.51, upside -31.2%, quality 38 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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Black Hills Corporation
BKH · USWeak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $42.48 – $76.10 · fair‑value band $32.16 – $75.50 · the $70.51 price screens above the $48.53 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Company profile
Black Hills Corporation, through its subsidiaries, operates as an electric and natural gas utility company in the United States. The company operates through the Electric Utilities and Gas Utilities segments.
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Black Hills Corporation, through its subsidiaries, operates as an electric and natural gas utility company in the United States. The company operates through the Electric Utilities and Gas Utilities segments. The Electric Utilities segment engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity to electric utility customers in Colorado, Montana, South Dakota, and Wyoming; ownership and operation of 1,386 megawatts of generation capacity, and 9,478 miles of electric transmission and distribution lines; sale of excess power to other utilities and marketing companies; and ownership and operation of non-regulated power generation and mining assets. Its Gas Utilities segment is involved in the distribution of natural gas to approximately 1,138,000 natural gas utility customers in Arkansas, Colorado, Iowa, Kansas, Nebraska, and Wyoming; ownership and operation of 4,581 miles of intrastate gas transmission pipelines; 44,840 miles of gas distribution mains and service lines; seven natural gas storage sites; and approximately 50,000 horsepower of compression and 494 miles of gathering lines. The company also provides non-regulated services to its retail customers, including Service Guard Comfort Plan, which provides home appliance repair services through on-going monthly service agreements to residential utility customers; Tech Services, which include construction and maintenance of customer-owned gas infrastructure facilities, as well as electrical system construction services; and HomeServe, which are additional home repair service plans for natural gas residential customers. In addition, the company produces electric power through wind, natural gas, and coal-fired generating plants, as well as coal at its coal mine located near Gillette, Wyoming. Black Hills Corporation was incorporated in 1941 and is headquartered in Rapid City, South Dakota.
Stock analysis
Black Hills Corporation (BKH) currently trades at $70.51, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $48.53, implying the stock looks roughly 45.3% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $65.14 per share, and 1 of the 16 models we run sit above the $70.51 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $7.54, and 15 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $32.16 (bear) to $75.50 (bull), the price of $70.51 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Black Hills Corporation reported revenue of $2.3B in FY2025 versus $1.9B in FY2021, a compound +4.3%/yr. Reported net income was $292M in FY2025, compounding +5.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $5.7B · P/E ratio 18.4 · P/S ratio 2.32 · EPS (TTM) $3.84 · Dividend yield 3.9% · Net margin 12.6% · Return on equity 7.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at −31%, BKH screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 16 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63
Revenue & earnings trend
BKH screens 45% overvalued. Compare with Naturgy Energy Group →
Earlier news
- Black Hills (BKH) Posts Higher Profit While Wall Street Stays Skeptical
- Black Hills Corp's Dividend Analysis
Compare Black Hills Corporation with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Regulated Gas · 102 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Regulated Gas median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Utilities sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Utilities
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Regulated Gas stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Naturgy Energy Group NTGY | €29.48 | €32.79 | +11% |
| Atmos Energy Corporation ATO | $157.34 | $77.92 | −50% |
| NiSource Inc NI | $39.88 | $19.90 | −50% |
| Uniper SE UN0 | €48.45 | €45.97 | −5% |
| The Hong Kong and China Gas Company 0003 | HK$7.12 | HK$4.79 | −33% |
| GAIL (India) Limited GAIL | ₹171.84 | ₹135.08 | −21% |
| Italgas S.p.A IG | €8.54 | €9.39 | +10% |
| UGI Corporation UGI | $36.85 | $32.82 | −11% |
| Southwest Gas Holdings SWX | $83.49 | $57.83 | −31% |
| New Jersey Resources Corporation NJR | $52.72 | $37.04 | −30% |
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Key figures of Black Hills Corporation
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