Blue Line Protection Group Inc (BLPG) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Blue Line Protection Group Inc is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.
Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
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Industrials · US · Market cap $569K · ISIN US09568Q3056
At a glance
BLBlue Line Protection Group IncBLPG · US
Price$0.0690
Fair Value$0.1980
Upside+187.0%
Quality62/100
A solid business, trading 65% below our fair value of $0.1980.
As of Aug 16, 2026, the fair value of Blue Line Protection Group Inc is $0.1980 per share against a price of $0.0690, so the fair value sits 187% above the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +0.4 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.1% net margin
✓Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (7/11)
!Narrow moat 28/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: LowRange $0.1320 to $0.2700
Fair value as of: Aug 16, 2026
From 19 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Share price +24.5% over the past month.
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What matters now
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.1320). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
A fairly wide model range ($0.1320 to $0.2700) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0255 – $1.98 · fair‑value band $0.1320 – $0.2700 · the $0.0690 price screens below the $0.1980 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 16, 2026.
Blue Line Protection Group Inc (BLPG) currently trades at $0.0690, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1980, implying the stock looks roughly 65.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $0.3700 per share, and 19 of the 19 models we run sit above the $0.0690 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.1600, and 0 of the 19 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Blue Line Protection Group Inc generated revenue of $4.3M at a net margin of 2.1%. Revenue declined 9.1% year over year. Fundamentals as of Aug 16, 2026
Scenario range: $0.1320 (bear) to $0.2700 (bull), the price of $0.0690 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 146% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 7% fair-value upside, at 187%, BLPG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →
ModelBear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence
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Key figures & financial health
P/S ratio0.12TTM
Net margin3.5%FY2025
Return on assets (EBIT)32.5%avg 5y
Operating margin3.7%TTM
Revenue (TTM)$4.3MTTM
Revenue growth (YoY)−9.1%3y avg +2.9%
More key figures
Growth
EPS growth (YoY)−98.2%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow$180KFY2025
Net debt$666KFY2025 · ≈ 3.7 yrs of FCF
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality62/100
Of which business quality 61
· Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58
Profitability77
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth34
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow52
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength28
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility18
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum71
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum80
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance95
Buybacks instead of dilution
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Blue Line Protection Group, Inc. provides armed protection and transportation, currency processing, banking, and training and compliance services for businesses engaged in the legal cannabis industry in the United States.
Full company description
Blue Line Protection Group, Inc. provides armed protection and transportation, currency processing, banking, and training and compliance services for businesses engaged in the legal cannabis industry in the United States. It offers shipment protection, money escort, and asset vaulting services; and financial services, such as handling transportation and storage of currency. The company was formerly known as The Engraving Masters, Inc. and changed its name to Blue Line Protection Group, Inc. in May 2014. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Blue Line Protection Group Inc reported revenue of $4.2M in FY2025 versus $4.7M in FY2021, a compound −2.4%/yr. Reported net income was $147K in FY2025, compounding −46.2%/yr from FY2021.
Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$4.2M
Latest YoY
−3.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (11Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.7%
Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−34.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share−34.0%
Dividend yield0.0%
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−7.5% (2019) → 5.4% (2025) · rising
Worst earnings drop107% (2022) (loss year, drop beyond 100%) · in USD
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 16.8%/yr over ~9Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Blue Line Protection Group Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BLPG
Peer Group
Security & Protection Services · 108 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation
Quality Score62 · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−9% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiples vs Security & Protection Services median · lower = cheaper
P/S (TTM)0.12× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF2.7× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA3.1× · Cheapest 25%
What the price implies (reverse DCF)
The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must Blue Line Protection Group Inc deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
This stockSector peers
VALUE100· sector 33
FUTURE0· sector 39
PAST0· sector 20
HEALTH100· sector 99
DIVIDEND0· sector 52
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Security & Protection Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 16, 2026).
Is Blue Line Protection Group Inc (BLPG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.1980 versus a price of $0.0690, about +187% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BLPG?
Our model-based fair value for Blue Line Protection Group Inc is $0.1980 (as of Aug 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.0690.
What is the quality score of BLPG?
Blue Line Protection Group Inc has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Blue Line Protection Group Inc (BLPG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.1980 (as of Aug 16, 2026) from 19 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.1320, optimistic scenario $0.2700. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Blue Line Protection Group Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.1980, about +187% upside versus a price of $0.0690 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.1320, optimistic scenario $0.2700. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Blue Line Protection Group Inc (BLPG)?
Blue Line Protection Group Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $4.3M (latest available figure, as of Aug 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BLPG?
The net profit margin of Blue Line Protection Group Inc is about 2.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
What growth is priced into Blue Line Protection Group Inc (BLPG)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Blue Line Protection Group Inc would have to grow free cash flow by -1.7 % per year for ten years (discount rate 13.8 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +0.4 % per year. As of Aug 16, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of BLPG use?
Our models discount Blue Line Protection Group Inc at 13.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 1.33, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is the intrinsic value of Blue Line Protection Group Inc (BLPG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Blue Line Protection Group Inc it is $0.1980 per share (as of Aug 16, 2026), against a price of $0.0690. It is the blended result of 19 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Blue Line Protection Group Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Aug 16, 2026, BLPG trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.0690, fair value $0.1980, a gap of about +187% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BLPG?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0690); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.1980). For Blue Line Protection Group Inc the two are $0.1290 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Blue Line Protection Group Inc worth?
The market values Blue Line Protection Group Inc at about $569K (market capitalisation, as of Aug 16, 2026). Per share that is $0.0690; our models calculate a fair value of $0.1980 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BLPG?
Our models span a range for Blue Line Protection Group Inc: cautious scenario $0.1320, base $0.1980, optimistic $0.2700 per share (as of Aug 16, 2026, price $0.0690). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is BLPG from its 52-week high?
Blue Line Protection Group Inc trades at $0.0690, about 1% below its 52-week high of $0.0700 and 146% above the low of $0.0281 (as of Aug 16, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.1980 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Blue Line Protection Group Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value ASSA ABLOY AB, Verisure plc, Allegion plc, Securitas AB, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Blue Line Protection Group Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Aug 16, 2026: price $0.0690, calculated fair value $0.1980 (+187%), Quality Score 62/100, from 19 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BLPG calculated?
We run Blue Line Protection Group Inc through 19 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.1980, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 32.6 % above its aggregate fair value. Blue Line Protection Group Inc currently trades 187 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on <a href="/is-it-worth-investing-now/">is it worth investing now</a>.
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Blue Line Protection Group Inc
BLPG · US