Blue Line Protection Group Inc (BLPG) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 23, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Blue Line Protection Group Inc stock $0.04, price $0.04, upside +7.5%, quality 62 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Fair value above price?Yes
Good quality?Yes
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 25, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0255 – $1.45 · fair‑value band $0.0352 – $0.0456 · the $0.0372 price screens below the $0.0400 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 25, 2026.
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Blue Line Protection Group, Inc. provides armed protection and transportation, currency processing, banking, and training and compliance services for businesses engaged in the legal cannabis industry in the United States.
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It offers shipment protection, money escort, and asset vaulting services; and financial services, such as handling transportation and storage of currency. The company was formerly known as The Engraving Masters, Inc. and changed its name to Blue Line Protection Group, Inc. in May 2014.
The company was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.
Stock analysis
Blue Line Protection Group Inc (BLPG) currently trades at $0.0372, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0400, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 7.0%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $0.3700 per share, and 19 of the 19 models we run sit above the $0.0372 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.2000, and 0 of the 19 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.0352 (bear) to $0.0456 (bull), the price of $0.0372 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Blue Line Protection Group Inc reported revenue of $4.2M in FY2025 versus $4.7M in FY2021, a compound −2.4%/yr. Reported net income was $147K in FY2025, compounding −46.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $307K Micro · P/S ratio 0.08 · Net margin 3.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 32.5% · Operating margin 3.7% · Revenue (TTM) $4.3M · Revenue growth (YoY) −9.1% · EPS growth (YoY) −98.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 36 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 3% fair-value upside, at 8%, BLPG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$0.0352Fair Value $0.0400Bull$0.0456
Price $0.0372 · Upside +7.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.9% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−34.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−34.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2019 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−8% → 5%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 16.8%/yr over ~9Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Security & Protection Services · 102 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/9 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score62 · Above median
Fair Value upside+7.5% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets14.9% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)2.1% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)3.7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−9.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equityNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/BNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (12 months)0.07× · Cheapest 25%
Price / free cash flow1.7× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA2.3× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)43· sector 32
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 43
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 99
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 40
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Blue Line Protection Group Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BLPG
Frequently asked questions
Is Blue Line Protection Group Inc (BLPG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0400 versus a price of $0.0372, about +8% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of BLPG?
Our model-based fair value for Blue Line Protection Group Inc is $0.0400 (as of Oct 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.0372.
What is the quality score of BLPG?
Blue Line Protection Group Inc has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Blue Line Protection Group Inc (BLPG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0400 (as of Oct 25, 2026) from 19 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0352, optimistic scenario $0.0456. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Blue Line Protection Group Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0400, about +8% upside versus a price of $0.0372 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $0.0352, optimistic scenario $0.0456. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Blue Line Protection Group Inc (BLPG)?
Blue Line Protection Group Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $4.3M (latest available figure, as of Oct 25, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Blue Line Protection Group Inc (BLPG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Blue Line Protection Group Inc it is $0.0400 per share (as of Oct 25, 2026), against a price of $0.0372. It is the blended result of 19 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Blue Line Protection Group Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 25, 2026, BLPG trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.0372, fair value $0.0400, a gap of about +8% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BLPG?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0372); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0400). For Blue Line Protection Group Inc the two are $0.0028 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Blue Line Protection Group Inc worth?
The market values Blue Line Protection Group Inc at about $307K (market capitalisation, as of Oct 25, 2026). Per share that is $0.0372; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0400 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BLPG?
Our models span a range for Blue Line Protection Group Inc: cautious scenario $0.0352, base $0.0400, optimistic $0.0456 per share (as of Oct 25, 2026, price $0.0372). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Blue Line Protection Group Inc (BLPG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Blue Line Protection Group Inc (as of Oct 25, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 62/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BLPG from its 52-week high?
Blue Line Protection Group Inc trades at $0.0372, about 52% below its 52-week high of $0.0780 and 32% above the low of $0.0281 (as of Oct 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0400 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Blue Line Protection Group Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Allegion plc, Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co, MSA Safety Incorporated, ADT Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Blue Line Protection Group Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 25, 2026: price $0.0372, calculated fair value $0.0400 (+8%), Quality Score 62/100, from 19 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BLPG calculated?
We run Blue Line Protection Group Inc through 19 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0400, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 12.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Blue Line Protection Group Inc currently trades 7 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Blue Line Protection Group Inc (BLPG)?
The closing price on Oct 23, 2026 was $0.0372. Our model-based fair value is $0.0400, about +8% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Blue Line Protection Group Inc right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Blue Line Protection Group Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Blue Line Protection Group Inc (BLPG)?
The market capitalisation of Blue Line Protection Group Inc is $307K. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Blue Line Protection Group Inc (BLPG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Blue Line Protection Group Inc is 0.08 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Blue Line Protection Group Inc (BLPG)?
The net margin of Blue Line Protection Group Inc is 3.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Blue Line Protection Group Inc (BLPG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Blue Line Protection Group Inc is 32.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Blue Line Protection Group Inc (BLPG)?
The operating margin of Blue Line Protection Group Inc is 3.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Blue Line Protection Group Inc (BLPG)?
Revenue at Blue Line Protection Group Inc is growing −9.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Blue Line Protection Group Inc (BLPG)?
Earnings per share at Blue Line Protection Group Inc are growing −98.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Blue Line Protection Group Inc (BLPG) generate?
The free cash flow of Blue Line Protection Group Inc is $180K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Blue Line Protection Group Inc (BLPG) carry?
The net debt of Blue Line Protection Group Inc is $666K (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Oct 25, 2026