Banpu Power Public Company (BPP) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · TH · Market cap 36.3B THB
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Share price +8.1% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 41% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (12.66 THB). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 5.86 THB – 16.00 THB · fair‑value band 12.66 THB – 21.10 THB · the 12.00 THB price screens below the 16.88 THB fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Banpu Power Public Company (BPP) currently trades at 12.00 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 16.88 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 40.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Banpu Power Public Company generated revenue of 25.8B THB at a net margin of 32.2%. Revenue declined 28.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.7%. Net debt stands at 31.2B THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 12.66 THB (bear case) to 21.10 THB (bull case); at 12.00 THB, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 105% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at 41%, BPP screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (43.43 THB) versus Economic Profit (1.09 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Banpu Power Public Company Limited engages in the generation and distribution of thermal and renewable power in Thailand, Laos, China, Japan, Vietnam, Indonesia, Australia, and the United States. It produces and sells power using solar, wind, coal, and natural gas.
Full company description
Banpu Power Public Company Limited engages in the generation and distribution of thermal and renewable power in Thailand, Laos, China, Japan, Vietnam, Indonesia, Australia, and the United States. It produces and sells power using solar, wind, coal, and natural gas. The company is also involved in the production and trading of steam and power; provision of solar rooftops, electric vehicles, energy storage, and energy management systems; energy generation support activities; and investment in power business. It owns and operates power plants and projects. The company was founded in 1996 and is based in Bangkok, Thailand. Banpu Power Public Company Limited operates as a subsidiary of Banpu Public Company Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Banpu Power Public Company reported revenue of 27.9B THB in FY2025 versus 6.8B THB in FY2021, a compound +42.3%/yr. Reported net income was 3.0B THB in FY2025, compounding −0.8%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Utilities - Independent Power Producers · 78 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Independent Power Producers median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Independent Power Producers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Constellation Energy Corporation CEG | $257.57 | $89.08 | -65% |
| Vistra Corp VST | $158.86 | $47.59 | -70% |
| Adani Power Limited ADANIPOWER | ₹218.45 | ₹75.57 | -65% |
| CGN Power Co 003816 | ¥3.88 | ¥3.13 | -19% |
| NRG Energy, Inc NRG | $137.90 | $56.02 | -59% |
| Gulf Development Public Company GULF | 67.50 THB | 40.44 THB | -40% |
| Adani Energy Solutions Limited ADANIENSOL | ₹1,730 | ₹342.02 | -80% |
| Talen Energy Corporation TLN | $372.37 | $44.67 | -88% |
| Datang International Power Generation Co 601991 | ¥5.80 | ¥4.95 | -15% |
| Power Assets Holdings 0006 | HK$58.45 | HK$31.90 | -45% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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