SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD (BQP) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · SG · Market cap 22.9M SGD
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 7 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price +16.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 89% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.0400 SGD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.1860 SGD – 0.6300 SGD · the 0.3600 SGD price screens above the 0.0400 SGD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD (BQP) currently trades at 0.3600 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.0400 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 88.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD generated revenue of 618M SGD at a net margin of -0.9%. Revenue declined 5.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.1%. Net debt stands at 354M SGD. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 57% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -24% fair-value upside, at -89%, BQP screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 7 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (4.75 SGD) versus Dividend Discount (0.1600 SGD). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Southern Packaging Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture and trading of flexible and rigid packaging products in the People's Republic of China, Australia, Thailand, the Philippines, and internationally. It operates through the Flexible Packaging, Rigid Packaging, and Property Development segments.
Full company description
Southern Packaging Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture and trading of flexible and rigid packaging products in the People's Republic of China, Australia, Thailand, the Philippines, and internationally. It operates through the Flexible Packaging, Rigid Packaging, and Property Development segments. The Flexible Packaging segment manufactures plastic packaging bags for the pharmaceutical industry, food and beverage industry and hygiene industry. Its Rigid Packaging segment manufactures polyethylene terephthalate (PET) bottles together for pharmaceutical industry, food and beverage, and hygiene industry. The Property Development segment develops and holds properties for sale. The company was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Foshan, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD reported revenue of 618M SGD in FY2025 versus 769M SGD in FY2021, a compound −5.3%/yr. Reported net income was −5.6M SGD in FY2025.
BQP screens 89% overvalued. Compare with Stora Enso Oyj →
Peer Group
Packaging & Containers · 272 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stora Enso Oyj STER | kr 106.80 | kr 125.82 | +18% |
| ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co 002831 | ¥27.73 | ¥20.16 | -27% |
| SCG Packaging Public Company SCGP | 31.00 THB | 16.12 THB | -48% |
| AblePrint Technology Co 7734 | 3,350 TWD | 675.50 TWD | -80% |
| PT Fajar Surya Wisesa Tbk, FASW | 5,312 IDR | 1,193 IDR | -78% |
| Taiwan Hon Chuan Enterprise Co 9939 | 134.00 TWD | 127.06 TWD | -5% |
| Time Technoplast Limited TIMETECHNO | ₹208.56 | ₹161.42 | -23% |
| EPL Limited 500135 | ₹247.30 | ₹111.65 | -55% |
| Polyplex Corporation 524051 | ₹1,211 | ₹924.62 | -24% |
| Dongwon Systems Corporation 014820 | 21,650 KRW | 31,473 KRW | +45% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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