SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD (BQP) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD S$0.04, price S$0.33, upside -87.9%, quality 40 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Southern Packaging Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture and trading of flexible and rigid packaging products in the People's Republic of China, Australia, Thailand, the Philippines, and internationally. It operates through the Flexible Packaging, Rigid Packaging, and Property Development segments.
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Southern Packaging Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture and trading of flexible and rigid packaging products in the People's Republic of China, Australia, Thailand, the Philippines, and internationally. It operates through the Flexible Packaging, Rigid Packaging, and Property Development segments. The Flexible Packaging segment manufactures plastic packaging bags for the pharmaceutical industry, food and beverage industry and hygiene industry. Its Rigid Packaging segment manufactures polyethylene terephthalate (PET) bottles together for pharmaceutical industry, food and beverage, and hygiene industry. The Property Development segment develops and holds properties for sale. The company was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Foshan, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD (BQP) currently trades at 0.3300 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.0400 SGD, 87.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 6 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: 0.0300 SGD (bear) to 0.0500 SGD (bull), the price of 0.3300 SGD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2025: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2025.
SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD reported revenue of 618M CNY in FY2025 versus 769M CNY in FY2021, a compound −5.3%/yr. Reported net income was −5.6M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 23.2M SGD (≈ $18.1M) · P/S ratio 0.04 · EPS (TTM) −0.0200 SGD · Net margin −0.9% · Return on equity −1.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.1% · Operating margin 3.9% · Revenue (TTM) 618M CNY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at −88%, BQP screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.0300 SGDFair Value 0.0400 SGDBull 0.0500 SGD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
Spin-off in 2025: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2025.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.6%
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.1%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
3.1% (2020) → 0.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 256 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−87.9% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets0.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−0.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)3.9% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−5.9% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.18× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
P/S (TTM)0.03× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA1.7× · Cheapest 25%
PEG1.44× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 22
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 12
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)91· sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 47
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BQP
Frequently asked questions
Is SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD (BQP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.0400 SGD versus a price of 0.3300 SGD, about −88% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BQP?
Our model-based fair value for SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD is 0.0400 SGD (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.3300 SGD.
What is the quality score of BQP?
SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD (BQP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.0400 SGD (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.0300 SGD, optimistic scenario 0.0500 SGD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.0400 SGD, about −88% upside versus a price of 0.3300 SGD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.0300 SGD, optimistic scenario 0.0500 SGD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD (BQP)?
SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 618M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD (BQP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD it is 0.0400 SGD per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of 0.3300 SGD. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, BQP trades above its calculated fair value: price 0.3300 SGD, fair value 0.0400 SGD, a gap of about −88% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BQP?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.3300 SGD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.0400 SGD). For SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD the two are 0.2900 SGD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD worth?
The market values SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD at about 23.2M SGD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is 0.3300 SGD; our models calculate a fair value of 0.0400 SGD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BQP?
Our models span a range for SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD: cautious scenario 0.0300 SGD, base 0.0400 SGD, optimistic 0.0500 SGD per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price 0.3300 SGD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of BQP?
The PEG ratio of SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD is 1.44 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 27, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD (BQP)?
Balance-sheet figures for SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −1.1%, debt of 0.18 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BQP from its 52-week high?
SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD trades at 0.3300 SGD, about 13% below its 52-week high of 0.3800 SGD and 43% above the low of 0.2300 SGD (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.0400 SGD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, Amcor plc, International Paper Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price 0.3300 SGD, calculated fair value 0.0400 SGD (−88%), Quality Score 40/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BQP calculated?
We run SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.0400 SGD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD (BQP)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was 0.3300 SGD. Our model-based fair value is 0.0400 SGD, about −88% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.0500 SGD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD
How large is the market capitalisation of SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD (BQP)?
The market capitalisation of SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD is 23.2M SGD (≈ $18.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD (BQP)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD is 0.04 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD (BQP)?
Earnings per share at SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD are −0.0200 SGD. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD (BQP)?
The net margin of SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD is −0.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD (BQP)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD is −1.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD (BQP)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD is −0.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD (BQP)?
The operating margin of SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD is 3.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD (BQP)?
Revenue at SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD is growing −5.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD (BQP)?
Earnings per share at SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD are growing +33.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD (BQP) generate?
The free cash flow of SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD is −10.4M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD (BQP) carry?
The net debt of SOUTHERN PACKAGING GROUP LTD is 354M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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