Bridgestone Corp (BRDCY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 22, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Bridgestone Corp stock $17.49, price $12.64, upside +38.4%, quality 67 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $6.85 – $13.58 · fair‑value band $12.38 – $21.86 · the $12.64 price screens below the $17.49 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 22, 2026.
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Bridgestone Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells tires and rubber products in Japan, China, India, the Asia Pacific, the United States, the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa.
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The company offers passenger car, motorcycle, trucks, buses, construction and mining vehicles, agricultural machinery, and aircraft tires; automotive components; automotive maintenance and repair services; synthetic rubber; retreading materials; and raw materials for tires.
It also provides hoses, rubber crawler MT pads, resin piping, seismic isolation rubber, rubber bearings for bridges, and block-type rubber-coated chain bridge collapse prevention device.
In addition, the company offers golf equipment comprising golf balls and golf clubs; bicycles and power-assisted bicycles; and finance services, including lending, factoring and entrusted processing of accounting and payroll calculation.
Further, it provides retail and service, fleet, aviation, industrial and construction machinery, agriculture mobility, mining, and building solutions. Additionally, it engages in shipping and warehousing activities. Bridgestone Corporation was incorporated in 1931 and is headquartered in Chuo, Japan.
Stock analysis
Bridgestone Corp (BRDCY) currently trades at $12.64, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $17.49, implying the stock looks roughly 27.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $19.49 per share, and 19 of the 25 models we run sit above the $12.64 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $2.01, and 6 of the 25 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $12.38 (bear) to $21.86 (bull), the price of $12.64 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Bridgestone Corp ADR reported revenue of ¥4.4T in FY2025 versus ¥3.2T in FY2021, a compound +8.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥343B in FY2025, compounding −3.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $31.8B Large · P/E ratio 19.8 · P/S ratio 1.53 · EPS (TTM) $0.6400 · Dividend yield 2.9% · Net margin 7.7% · Return on equity 11.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at 38%, BRDCY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$12.38Fair Value $17.49Bull$21.86
Price $12.64 · Upside +38.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.5190 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.76/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.6% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+5.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+3.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.3.0% vs 3.6%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 11%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−5.2%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.3%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −7.1% a year for the price and +2.2% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (99 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
AI conclusion: Bridgestone shows strength in digital service expansions such as the easytrack platform into aircraft maintenance but weakness in average competitive positioning with moderate margins and no standout advantages.
Main risk: Cyclical swings in passenger and commercial vehicle demand would directly hit core tire production volumes and revenues.
Bridgestone is rolling out its easytrack digital platform into aircraft maintenance at providers like SR Technics Spain, where it has already cut tire processing times by 45 percent. This extends the business from core tire production into data-driven efficiency tools for new sectors. Our models see the shares as undervalued. Will these service expansions deliver steadier growth than the cyclical swings in passenger and commercial vehicle demand?
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 653 stocks
Beats the industry median on 12/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+38.4% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)11.3% · Above median
Return on assets6.0% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)9.0% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)12.8% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)14.2% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)2.9% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.11× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
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Is Bridgestone Corp (BRDCY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $17.49 versus a price of $12.64, about +38% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BRDCY?
Our model-based fair value for Bridgestone Corp ADR is $17.49 (as of Oct 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $12.64.
What is the quality score of BRDCY?
Bridgestone Corp ADR has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Bridgestone Corp (BRDCY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $17.49 (as of Oct 22, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario $12.38, optimistic scenario $21.86. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Bridgestone Corp ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $17.49, about +38% upside versus a price of $12.64 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $12.38, optimistic scenario $21.86. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Bridgestone Corp (BRDCY)?
Bridgestone Corp ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥4.6T (latest available figure, as of Oct 22, 2026).
Does Bridgestone Corp ADR pay a dividend?
Bridgestone Corp ADR currently shows a dividend yield of 2.88% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 22, 2026).
What growth is priced into Bridgestone Corp (BRDCY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Bridgestone Corp ADR would have to grow free cash flow by -5.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +8.1 % per year. As of Oct 22, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of BRDCY use?
Our models discount Bridgestone Corp ADR at 8.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.51, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Bridgestone Corp ADR that is -5.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Bridgestone Corp (BRDCY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Bridgestone Corp ADR grew +8.1 % a year. The price currently implies -5.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Bridgestone Corp (BRDCY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Bridgestone Corp ADR (-5.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Bridgestone Corp (BRDCY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.62 %: that much free cash flow Bridgestone Corp ADR produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Bridgestone Corp (BRDCY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Bridgestone Corp ADR it is $17.49 per share (as of Oct 22, 2026), against a price of $12.64. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Bridgestone Corp ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 22, 2026, BRDCY trades below its calculated fair value: price $12.64, fair value $17.49, a gap of about +38% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BRDCY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($12.64); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($17.49). For Bridgestone Corp ADR the two are $4.85 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Bridgestone Corp ADR worth?
The market values Bridgestone Corp ADR at about $31.8B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 22, 2026). Per share that is $12.64; our models calculate a fair value of $17.49 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BRDCY?
Our models span a range for Bridgestone Corp ADR: cautious scenario $12.38, base $17.49, optimistic $21.86 per share (as of Oct 22, 2026, price $12.64). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of BRDCY?
Bridgestone Corp ADR trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.8 (as of Oct 22, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $17.49 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.4, P/S 1.1, EV/EBITDA 4.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Bridgestone Corp (BRDCY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Bridgestone Corp ADR (as of Oct 22, 2026): return on equity 11.3%, debt of 0.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 67/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BRDCY from its 52-week high?
Bridgestone Corp ADR trades at $12.64, about 7% below its 52-week high of $13.58 and 32% above the low of $9.57 (as of Oct 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $17.49 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Bridgestone Corp ADR?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Bridgestone Corp ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 22, 2026: price $12.64, calculated fair value $17.49 (+38%), Quality Score 67/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BRDCY calculated?
We run Bridgestone Corp ADR through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $17.49, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Bridgestone Corp ADR currently trades 28 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Bridgestone Corp (BRDCY)?
The closing price on Oct 22, 2026 was $12.64. Our model-based fair value is $17.49, about +38% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Bridgestone Corp ADR right now?
Solid quality (67/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Where does the earnings growth of Bridgestone Corp (BRDCY) come from?
Earnings per share at Bridgestone Corp ADR grew +3.0 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.9 %, EBIT margin −2.3 %, tax rate +2.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Bridgestone Corp ADR
How large is the market capitalisation of Bridgestone Corp (BRDCY)?
The market capitalisation of Bridgestone Corp ADR is $31.8B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Bridgestone Corp (BRDCY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Bridgestone Corp ADR is 1.53 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Bridgestone Corp (BRDCY)?
Earnings per share at Bridgestone Corp ADR are $0.6400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Bridgestone Corp (BRDCY)?
The dividend yield of Bridgestone Corp ADR is 2.9% (payout 56.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Bridgestone Corp (BRDCY)?
The net margin of Bridgestone Corp ADR is 7.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Bridgestone Corp (BRDCY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Bridgestone Corp ADR is 11.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Bridgestone Corp (BRDCY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Bridgestone Corp ADR is 8.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Bridgestone Corp (BRDCY)?
The operating margin of Bridgestone Corp ADR is 12.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Bridgestone Corp (BRDCY)?
Revenue at Bridgestone Corp ADR is growing +14.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Bridgestone Corp (BRDCY)?
Earnings per share at Bridgestone Corp ADR are growing +210% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Bridgestone Corp (BRDCY) carry?
The net debt of Bridgestone Corp ADR is ¥113B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Oct 22, 2026