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Berlina Tbk (BRNA) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Berlina Tbk stock IDR 174, price IDR 496, that is 64.9% below the price, quality 44 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 13 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Consumer Cyclical ID · ISIN ID1000125602

BT Berlina Tbk logo Thin data Nov 3, 2026

Berlina Tbk

BRNA · JK
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 65% below what the stock costs today.

Revenue last quarter +33% vs. a year ago.
Quality 44/100
Loss over the last twelve months · -0.5% net margin (TTM) · fiscal year 2025 1.2%
Moderate debt
Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
Fair value 174.14 IDR · Strongly overvalued
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −1.6 %/yr in IDR)
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 31/100 · thin data
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

1,480 IDR 492.00 IDR Fair Value 174.14 IDR Jun 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 492.00 IDR – 1,480 IDR · fair‑value band 121.90 IDR – 226.39 IDR · the 496.00 IDR price screens above the 174.14 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 3, 2026.

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Company profile

PT Berlina Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the plastic packaging business in Indonesia and internationally.

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It offers blow, injection, injection stretch blow, injection blow, and pharmaceutical blow moulding; blown film; toothbrush; decoration; mould shop; thermoforming; and laminated, mini, and plastic tubes.

The company is also involved in laminated and plastic coextrusion tubes manufacturing and marketing; plastic packaging and processing manufacturing; processing or recycling of plastic waste; trading; and related services.

It serves cosmetics, pharmacies, food and beverages, industrial goods, and other industries. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Bekasi, Indonesia. PT Berlina Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT Dwi Satrya Utama.

Stock analysis

Berlina Tbk (BRNA) currently trades at 496.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 174.14 IDR, 65% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 619.67 IDR per share, and 5 of the 13 models we run sit above the 496.00 IDR price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 150.61 IDR, and 8 of the 13 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 121.90 IDR (bear) to 226.39 IDR (bull), the price of 496.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.

Berlina Tbk reported revenue of 1.0T IDR in FY2025 versus 1.1T IDR in FY2021, a compound −0.4%/yr. Reported net income was 12.6B IDR in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 486B IDR (≈ $27.0M) Micro · P/S ratio 0.46 · EPS (TTM) −5.25 IDR · Net margin −0.5% · Return on equity −0.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.0% (5-year average) · Operating margin 12.1% · Revenue (TTM) 1.1T IDR.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 31 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at −65%, BRNA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 121.90 IDR Fair Value 174.14 IDR Bull 226.39 IDR
Price 496.00 IDR · Downside -64.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income 499.43 IDR 533.30 IDR 586.18 IDR 71
EPV 64.81 IDR 150.61 IDR 220.86 IDR 70
ROIC Compounder 64.81 IDR 150.61 IDR 220.86 IDR 69
All 13 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 87.28 IDR 184.48 IDR 233.80 IDR 66
PEG = 1.0 27.85 IDR 39.79 IDR 51.72 IDR 57
EPV 64.81 IDR 150.61 IDR 220.86 IDR 70
Multiples
P/E Multiple 163.65 IDR 218.19 IDR 272.74 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 163.65 IDR 218.19 IDR 272.74 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 899.05 IDR 1,199 IDR 1,498 IDR 55
EV/EBIT 189.49 IDR 547.59 IDR 905.68 IDR 61
EV/EBITDA 688.60 IDR 1,213 IDR 1,738 IDR 65
EV/Revenue 46.25 IDR 445.27 IDR 844.29 IDR 47
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 462.44 IDR 619.67 IDR 924.88 IDR 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 499.43 IDR 533.30 IDR 586.18 IDR 71
ROIC Compounder 64.81 IDR 150.61 IDR 220.86 IDR 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 121.90 IDR 174.14 IDR 226.39 IDR 67

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 20
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 66
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 42
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 24
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 46
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 59
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 20
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 1
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 21/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −2.1% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−10.7% (2020) → 9.7% (2025)

BRNA screens overvalued: fair value 65% below the price. Compare with Smurfit Westrock Plc, →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 261 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 44 · Below median
Fair Value upside −64.9% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 0.6% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) −0.5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 12.1% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 33.0% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.72× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.54× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 0.44× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 5.2× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 23
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 45
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)64 · sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 47

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Crown Holdings CCK $121.30 $121.85 +0% vs BRNA
Smurfit Westrock Plc, SW $44.09 $44.16 +0% vs BRNA
Stora Enso Oyj STEAV €9.68 €9.67 +0% vs BRNA
Reynolds Consumer Products Inc REYN $24.11 $19.83 −18% vs BRNA
Amcor plc AMCR $44.87 $36.70 −18% vs BRNA
Ball Corporation BALL $65.92 $48.92 −26% vs BRNA
Avery Dennison Corporation AVY $186.78 $125.58 −33% vs BRNA
SIG Group SIGN CHF 15.10 CHF 9.03 −40% vs BRNA
Packaging Corporation PKG $249.70 $130.52 −48% vs BRNA
International Paper Company IP $34.53 $6.91 −80% vs BRNA

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Berlina Tbk: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Berlina Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BRNA

Frequently asked questions

Is Berlina Tbk (BRNA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 174.14 IDR versus a price of 496.00 IDR, about 65% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BRNA?
Our model-based fair value for Berlina Tbk is 174.14 IDR (as of Nov 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 496.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of BRNA?
Berlina Tbk has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Berlina Tbk (BRNA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 174.14 IDR (as of Nov 3, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario 121.90 IDR, optimistic scenario 226.39 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Berlina Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 174.14 IDR, about 65% lower versus a price of 496.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 121.90 IDR, optimistic scenario 226.39 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Berlina Tbk (BRNA)?
Berlina Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.1T IDR (latest available figure, as of Nov 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Berlina Tbk (BRNA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Berlina Tbk it is 174.14 IDR per share (as of Nov 3, 2026), against a price of 496.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models in 5 families (Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Berlina Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 3, 2026, BRNA trades above its calculated fair value: price 496.00 IDR, fair value 174.14 IDR, a gap of about −65% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BRNA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (496.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (174.14 IDR). For Berlina Tbk the two are 321.86 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Berlina Tbk worth?
The market values Berlina Tbk at about 486B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Nov 3, 2026). Per share that is 496.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 174.14 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BRNA?
Our models span a range for Berlina Tbk: cautious scenario 121.90 IDR, base 174.14 IDR, optimistic 226.39 IDR per share (as of Nov 3, 2026, price 496.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Berlina Tbk (BRNA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Berlina Tbk (as of Nov 3, 2026): return on equity −0.4%, debt of 0.72 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BRNA from its 52-week high?
Berlina Tbk trades at 496.00 IDR, about 37% below its 52-week high of 790.00 IDR and 1% above the low of 492.00 IDR (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 174.14 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Berlina Tbk?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, Amcor plc, International Paper Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Berlina Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 3, 2026: price 496.00 IDR, calculated fair value 174.14 IDR (−65%), Quality Score 44/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BRNA calculated?
We run Berlina Tbk through 13 models from 5 families: Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 174.14 IDR builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Berlina Tbk itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Berlina Tbk (BRNA)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 496.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 174.14 IDR, about 65% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Berlina Tbk right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (226.39 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (121.90 IDR to 226.39 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Berlina Tbk

How large is the market capitalisation of Berlina Tbk (BRNA)?
The market capitalisation of Berlina Tbk is 486B IDR (≈ $27.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Berlina Tbk (BRNA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Berlina Tbk is 0.46 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Berlina Tbk (BRNA)?
Earnings per share at Berlina Tbk are −5.25 IDR. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Berlina Tbk (BRNA)?
The net margin of Berlina Tbk is −0.5% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Berlina Tbk (BRNA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Berlina Tbk is −0.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Berlina Tbk (BRNA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Berlina Tbk is −1.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Berlina Tbk (BRNA)?
The operating margin of Berlina Tbk is 12.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Berlina Tbk (BRNA)?
Revenue at Berlina Tbk is growing +33.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Berlina Tbk (BRNA)?
Earnings per share at Berlina Tbk are growing −74.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Berlina Tbk (BRNA) generate?
The free cash flow of Berlina Tbk is −16.7B IDR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Berlina Tbk (BRNA) carry?
The net debt of Berlina Tbk is 866B IDR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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