Berlina Tbk (BRNA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Berlina Tbk IDR 218, price IDR 650, upside -66.4%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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PT Berlina Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the plastic packaging business in Indonesia and internationally. It offers blow, injection, injection stretch blow, injection blow, and pharmaceutical blow moulding; blown film; toothbrush; decoration; mould shop; thermoforming; and laminated, mini, and plastic tubes.
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PT Berlina Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the plastic packaging business in Indonesia and internationally. It offers blow, injection, injection stretch blow, injection blow, and pharmaceutical blow moulding; blown film; toothbrush; decoration; mould shop; thermoforming; and laminated, mini, and plastic tubes. The company is also involved in laminated and plastic coextrusion tubes manufacturing and marketing; plastic packaging and processing manufacturing; processing or recycling of plastic waste; trading; and related services. It serves cosmetics, pharmacies, food and beverages, industrial goods, and other industries. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Bekasi, Indonesia. PT Berlina Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT Dwi Satrya Utama.
Stock analysis
Berlina Tbk (BRNA) currently trades at 650.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 218.19 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 197.9% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 619.72 IDR per share, and 3 of the 13 models we run sit above the 650.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Growth Earnings group reads lowest at 174.14 IDR, and 10 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 163.65 IDR (bear) to 226.39 IDR (bull), the price of 650.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Berlina Tbk reported revenue of 1.0T IDR in FY2025 versus 1.1T IDR in FY2021, a compound −0.4%/yr. Reported net income was 12.6B IDR in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 636B IDR (≈ $35.6M) · P/E ratio 108.0 · P/S ratio 1.31 · EPS (TTM) 6.02 IDR · Net margin 1.2% · Return on equity 0.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.0% · Operating margin 10.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at −66%, BRNA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 163.65 IDRFair Value 218.19 IDRBull 226.39 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (4.42 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.21/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −2.1% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.8%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 272 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score45 · Below median
Fair Value upside−67% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)1% · Below median
Return on assets3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)11% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth1% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.72× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)108.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B0.71× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)0.62× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA6.5× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 21
FUTURE (revenue growth)3· sector 3
PAST (return on equity)3· sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)64· sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 46
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Berlina Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BRNA
Frequently asked questions
Is Berlina Tbk (BRNA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 218.19 IDR versus a price of 650.00 IDR, about −66% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BRNA?
Our model-based fair value for Berlina Tbk is 218.19 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 650.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of BRNA?
Berlina Tbk has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Berlina Tbk (BRNA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 218.19 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario 163.65 IDR, optimistic scenario 226.39 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Berlina Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 218.19 IDR, about −66% upside versus a price of 650.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 163.65 IDR, optimistic scenario 226.39 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Berlina Tbk (BRNA)?
Berlina Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.0T IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Berlina Tbk (BRNA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Berlina Tbk it is 218.19 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 650.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Berlina Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, BRNA trades above its calculated fair value: price 650.00 IDR, fair value 218.19 IDR, a gap of about −66% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BRNA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (650.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (218.19 IDR). For Berlina Tbk the two are 431.81 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Berlina Tbk worth?
The market values Berlina Tbk at about 636B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 650.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 218.19 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BRNA?
Our models span a range for Berlina Tbk: cautious scenario 163.65 IDR, base 218.19 IDR, optimistic 226.39 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 650.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of BRNA?
Berlina Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 108.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 218.19 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.7, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 6.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Berlina Tbk (BRNA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Berlina Tbk (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 0.8%, debt of 0.72 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BRNA from its 52-week high?
Berlina Tbk trades at 650.00 IDR, about 18% below its 52-week high of 790.00 IDR and 16% above the low of 560.00 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 218.19 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Berlina Tbk?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, International Paper Company, Ball Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Berlina Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 650.00 IDR, calculated fair value 218.19 IDR (−66%), Quality Score 45/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BRNA calculated?
We run Berlina Tbk through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 218.19 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Berlina Tbk itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Berlina Tbk (BRNA)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 650.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 218.19 IDR, about −66% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Berlina Tbk right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (226.39 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Berlina Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of Berlina Tbk (BRNA)?
The market capitalisation of Berlina Tbk is 636B IDR (≈ $35.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Berlina Tbk (BRNA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Berlina Tbk is 1.31 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Berlina Tbk (BRNA)?
Earnings per share at Berlina Tbk are 6.02 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 108.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Berlina Tbk (BRNA)?
The net margin of Berlina Tbk is 1.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Berlina Tbk (BRNA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Berlina Tbk is 0.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Berlina Tbk (BRNA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Berlina Tbk is −1.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Berlina Tbk (BRNA)?
The operating margin of Berlina Tbk is 10.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Berlina Tbk (BRNA)?
Revenue at Berlina Tbk is growing +0.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Berlina Tbk (BRNA)?
Earnings per share at Berlina Tbk are growing −74.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Berlina Tbk (BRNA) generate?
The free cash flow of Berlina Tbk is −16.7B IDR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Berlina Tbk (BRNA) carry?
The net debt of Berlina Tbk is 866B IDR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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