BSA Ltd (BSA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 9, 2026: fair value of BSA Ltd A$0.81, price A$0.28, upside +194.6%, quality 64 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0380 – A$2.41 · fair‑value band A$0.6100 – A$1.01 · the A$0.2750 price screens below the A$0.8100 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
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BSA Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides communications and utilities infrastructure, and property solutions in Australia.
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BSA Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides communications and utilities infrastructure, and property solutions in Australia. It engages in the design, building, installation, operation, and maintenance of communications networks; delivery of bundled services over fixed line and wireless networks; and the installation of subscription television, smart meters, and electric vehicles charging stations. BSA Limited was incorporated in 1999 and is based in Chatswood, Australia.
Stock analysis
BSA Ltd (BSA) currently trades at A$0.2750, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.8100, implying the stock looks roughly 66.0% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of A$0.9000 per share, and 11 of the 12 models we run sit above the A$0.2750 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at A$0.1200, and 1 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: A$0.6100 (bear) to A$1.01 (bull), the price of A$0.2750 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
BSA Ltd reported revenue of A$30.6M in FY2026 versus A$244M in FY2022, a compound −40.5%/yr. Reported net income was A$4.3M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap A$20.7M (≈ $14.5M) · P/E ratio 4.6 · P/S ratio 0.64 · EPS (TTM) A$0.0600 · Net margin 14.0% · Return on equity 41.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 27.4% · Operating margin −23.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 139% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at 195%, BSA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$0.6100Fair Value A$0.8100Bull A$1.01
Price A$0.2750 · Upside +194.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 3 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$0.0166 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.16/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−89.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−49.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−40.7%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −24.6% a year
Revenue growth 29 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−26.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−26.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−1% → 9%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 11.9%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 796 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+194.5% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)41.0% · Top 25%
Return on assets8.0% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)13.3% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−23.5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−93.7% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.20× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "BSA Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BSA
Frequently asked questions
Is BSA Ltd (BSA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.8100 versus a price of A$0.2750, about +195% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BSA?
Our model-based fair value for BSA Ltd is A$0.8100 (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.2750.
What is the quality score of BSA?
BSA Ltd has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for BSA Ltd (BSA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.8100 (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.6100, optimistic scenario A$1.01. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the BSA Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.8100, about +195% upside versus a price of A$0.2750 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$0.6100, optimistic scenario A$1.01. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of BSA Ltd (BSA)?
BSA Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$32.1M (latest available figure, as of Oct 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of BSA Ltd (BSA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For BSA Ltd it is A$0.8100 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of A$0.2750. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is BSA Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, BSA trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.2750, fair value A$0.8100, a gap of about +195% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BSA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.2750); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.8100). For BSA Ltd the two are A$0.5350 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is BSA Ltd worth?
The market values BSA Ltd at about A$20.7M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is A$0.2750; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.8100 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BSA?
Our models span a range for BSA Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.6100, base A$0.8100, optimistic A$1.01 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price A$0.2750). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of BSA?
BSA Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 4.6 (as of Oct 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$0.8100 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.5, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 1.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of BSA Ltd (BSA)?
Balance-sheet figures for BSA Ltd (as of Oct 4, 2026): return on equity 41.0%, debt of 0.20 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 64/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BSA from its 52-week high?
BSA Ltd trades at A$0.2750, about 42% below its 52-week high of A$0.4750 and 139% above the low of A$0.1150 (as of Oct 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.8100 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to BSA Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is BSA Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price A$0.2750, calculated fair value A$0.8100 (+195%), Quality Score 64/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BSA calculated?
We run BSA Ltd through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.8100, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. BSA Ltd currently trades 66 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of BSA Ltd (BSA)?
The closing price on Oct 9, 2026 was A$0.2750. Our model-based fair value is A$0.8100, about +195% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with BSA Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.6100). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (64/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of BSA Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of BSA Ltd (BSA)?
The market capitalisation of BSA Ltd is A$20.7M (≈ $14.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of BSA Ltd (BSA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of BSA Ltd is 0.64 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of BSA Ltd (BSA)?
Earnings per share at BSA Ltd are A$0.0600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 4.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of BSA Ltd (BSA)?
The net margin of BSA Ltd is 14.0% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of BSA Ltd (BSA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of BSA Ltd is 41.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of BSA Ltd (BSA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of BSA Ltd is 27.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of BSA Ltd (BSA)?
The operating margin of BSA Ltd is −23.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at BSA Ltd (BSA)?
Revenue at BSA Ltd is growing −93.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −49.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at BSA Ltd (BSA)?
Earnings per share at BSA Ltd are growing −2.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does BSA Ltd (BSA) generate?
The free cash flow of BSA Ltd is −A$4.4M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does BSA Ltd (BSA) hold?
BSA Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$16.3M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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