Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS (BUCIM) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS TRY 2.14, price TRY 5.21, upside -58.9%, quality 22 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1.59 TRY – 10.86 TRY · fair‑value band 0.8800 TRY – 3.40 TRY · the 5.21 TRY price screens above the 2.14 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi A.S., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells cement, steel, ash, ready-mixed concrete, and operates port facilities in Turkey.
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Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi A.S., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells cement, steel, ash, ready-mixed concrete, and operates port facilities in Turkey. The company offers Portland, Portland composite, and puzolanic cement, as well as bulk and bagged cement, lime, plaster, fly ash, aggregate, coal, clay, trass, clinker, slag, chemical additives, and raw materials used in cement production. It also engages in the provision of transportation, loading, pumping, and application services; and trade, including raw materials, fuel oil, hazardous and non-hazardous waste, various raw materials, finished and semi-finished products, auxiliary materials, construction equipment, and products in bulk and packaged form. In addition, the company's products used to meet need for automotive, machinery, and agricultural machinery-tools industries; and engages in general cargo handling, and mining activities. Further, it carries out insurance agency activities and generates electricity through solar power plants, with more than 55% of its electricity consumption covered by its own solar facilities. It also exports its products. The company was incorporated in 1966 and is headquartered in Bursa, Turkey.
Stock analysis
Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS (BUCIM) currently trades at 5.21 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.14 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 143.5% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 7.05 TRY per share, and 2 of the 6 models we run sit above the 5.21 TRY price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 0.8700 TRY, and 4 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.8800 TRY (bear) to 3.40 TRY (bull), the price of 5.21 TRY sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 22/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS reported revenue of 12.1B TRL in FY2025 versus 2.3B TRL in FY2021, a compound +51.7%/yr. Reported net income was −803M TRL in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 7.8B TRY (≈ $160M) · P/S ratio 0.63 · EPS (TTM) −0.4500 TRY · Dividend yield 2.3% · Net margin −6.6% · Return on equity −4.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 15.4% · Operating margin −8.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 35 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −47% fair-value upside, at −59%, BUCIM screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.8800 TRYFair Value 2.14 TRYBull 3.40 TRY
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.24/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−21.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+26.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+58.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +34.9% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−35.6%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
7.1% (2020) → 4.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Materials · 257 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score22 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−59% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)−5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−8% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.3% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.24× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper
P/S (TTM)0.01× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA1.4× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 25
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 2
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)88· sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)45· sector 46
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BUCIM
Frequently asked questions
Is Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS (BUCIM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2.14 TRY versus a price of 5.21 TRY, about −59% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BUCIM?
Our model-based fair value for Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS is 2.14 TRY (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 5.21 TRY.
What is the quality score of BUCIM?
Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS has a Quality Score of 22/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS (BUCIM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 2.14 TRY (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.8800 TRY, optimistic scenario 3.40 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 2.14 TRY, about −59% upside versus a price of 5.21 TRY (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.8800 TRY, optimistic scenario 3.40 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS (BUCIM)?
Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 12.1B TRY (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS pay a dividend?
Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.27% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS (BUCIM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS it is 2.14 TRY per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of 5.21 TRY. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, BUCIM trades above its calculated fair value: price 5.21 TRY, fair value 2.14 TRY, a gap of about −59% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BUCIM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (5.21 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (2.14 TRY). For Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS the two are 3.07 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS worth?
The market values Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS at about 7.8B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is 5.21 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 2.14 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BUCIM?
Our models span a range for Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS: cautious scenario 0.8800 TRY, base 2.14 TRY, optimistic 3.40 TRY per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price 5.21 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS (BUCIM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −4.1%, debt of 0.24 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 22/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BUCIM from its 52-week high?
Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS trades at 5.21 TRY, about 35% below its 52-week high of 8.00 TRY and 5% above the low of 4.94 TRY (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 2.14 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value CRH plc, Holcim AG, Vulcan Materials Company, UltraTech Cement Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price 5.21 TRY, calculated fair value 2.14 TRY (−59%), Quality Score 22/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BUCIM calculated?
We run Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 2.14 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS (BUCIM)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was 5.21 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 2.14 TRY, about −59% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (3.40 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (22/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (0.8800 TRY to 3.40 TRY). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS
How large is the market capitalisation of Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS (BUCIM)?
The market capitalisation of Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS is 7.8B TRY (≈ $160M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS (BUCIM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS is 0.63 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS (BUCIM)?
Earnings per share at Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS are −0.4500 TRY. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS (BUCIM)?
The dividend yield of Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS is 2.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS (BUCIM)?
The net margin of Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS is −6.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS (BUCIM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS is −4.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS (BUCIM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS is 15.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS (BUCIM)?
The operating margin of Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS is −8.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS (BUCIM)?
Revenue at Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS is growing −3.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +26.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS (BUCIM)?
Earnings per share at Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS are growing −68.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS (BUCIM) generate?
The free cash flow of Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS is −3.0B TRY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS (BUCIM) carry?
The net debt of Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi AS is 4.4B TRY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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