Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi A.S., (BUCIM) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · TR · Market cap 7.6B TRY
Fair value as of: Aug 5, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated today
Share price −11.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 58% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (3.40 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (24/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide (0.8800 TRY to 3.40 TRY). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1.59 TRY – 10.86 TRY · fair‑value band 0.8800 TRY – 3.40 TRY · the 5.06 TRY price screens above the 2.14 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.
Analysis
Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi A.S., (BUCIM) currently trades at 5.06 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.14 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 57.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 24/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi A.S., generated revenue of 12.1B TRY at a net margin of -5.5%. Revenue declined 3.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -4.1%. Net debt stands at 4.4B TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 5, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 0.8800 TRY (bear case) to 3.40 TRY (bull case); at 5.06 TRY, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -58%, BUCIM screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (2.76 TRY) versus Earnings-Based (0.3410 TRY). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 26 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi A.S., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells cement, steel, ash, ready-mixed concrete, and operates port facilities in Turkey.
Full company description
Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi A.S., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells cement, steel, ash, ready-mixed concrete, and operates port facilities in Turkey. The company offers Portland, Portland composite, and puzolanic cement, as well as bulk and bagged cement, lime, plaster, fly ash, aggregate, coal, clay, trass, clinker, slag, chemical additives, and raw materials used in cement production. It also engages in the provision of transportation, loading, pumping, and application services; and trade, including raw materials, fuel oil, hazardous and non-hazardous waste, various raw materials, finished and semi-finished products, auxiliary materials, construction equipment, and products in bulk and packaged form. In addition, the company's products used to meet need for automotive, machinery, and agricultural machinery-tools industries; and engages in general cargo handling, and mining activities. Further, it carries out insurance agency activities and generates electricity through solar power plants, with more than 55% of its electricity consumption covered by its own solar facilities. It also exports its products. The company was incorporated in 1966 and is headquartered in Bursa, Turkey.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi A.S., reported revenue of 12.1B TRL in FY2025 versus 2.3B TRL in FY2021, a compound +51.7%/yr. Reported net income was −803M TRL in FY2025.
BUCIM screens 58% overvalued. Compare with CRH plc →
Peer Group
Building Materials · 258 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 5, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CRH plc CRH | $102.92 | $70.57 | -31% |
| UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO | ₹11,711 | ₹4,719 | -60% |
| China Jushi Co 600176 | ¥54.52 | ¥13.95 | -74% |
| Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM | ₹3,073 | ₹1,245 | -59% |
| CEMEX, S.A. CEMEXCPO | 21.71 MXN | 15.42 MXN | -29% |
| Anhui Conch Cement Company 600585 | ¥16.99 | ¥26.14 | +54% |
| Ambuja Cements Limited AMBUJACEM | ₹435.25 | ₹227.96 | -48% |
| Shree Cement Limited SHREECEM | ₹26,930 | ₹8,215 | -69% |
| TCC Group 1101B | 43.70 TWD | 10.48 TWD | -76% |
| Taiwan Glass Ind. Corp 1802 | 53.30 TWD | 13.98 TWD | -74% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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