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Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi A.S., (BUCIM) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · TR · Market cap 7.6B TRY

BC Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi A.S., BUCIM · IS
Price5.06 TRY
Fair Value2.14 TRY
Upside-57.7%
Quality24/100
Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -5.5% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/10)
Narrow moat 4/100
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Evidence: Low Range 0.8800 TRY – 3.40 TRY Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 5, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated today

Share price −11.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 58% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (3.40 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (24/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide (0.8800 TRY to 3.40 TRY). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

10.86 TRY 1.59 TRY Fair Value 2.14 TRY May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 1.59 TRY – 10.86 TRY · fair‑value band 0.8800 TRY – 3.40 TRY · the 5.06 TRY price screens above the 2.14 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.

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Analysis

Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi A.S., (BUCIM) currently trades at 5.06 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.14 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 57.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 24/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi A.S., generated revenue of 12.1B TRY at a net margin of -5.5%. Revenue declined 3.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -4.1%. Net debt stands at 4.4B TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 5, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.8800 TRY (bear case) to 3.40 TRY (bull case); at 5.06 TRY, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -58%, BUCIM screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder 0.2391 TRY 0.3410 TRY 0.4311 TRY 72
EPV 0.2391 TRY 0.3410 TRY 0.4311 TRY 59
EV/EBITDA 3.01 TRY 4.15 TRY 5.28 TRY 54
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV 0.2391 TRY 0.3410 TRY 0.4311 TRY 59
Multiples
EV/EBIT 1.51 TRY 2.14 TRY 2.78 TRY 53
EV/EBITDA 3.01 TRY 4.15 TRY 5.28 TRY 54
EV/Revenue 0.8858 TRY 1.43 TRY 1.99 TRY 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 2.06 TRY 2.76 TRY 4.13 TRY 50
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder 0.2391 TRY 0.3410 TRY 0.4311 TRY 72

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (2.76 TRY) versus Earnings-Based (0.3410 TRY). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 12.1B TRY
Revenue growth (YoY) -3.1%
Net margin -5.5%
Return on equity -4.1%
Free cash flow −3.0B TRY FY2025
Operating margin -8.3%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -0.4500 TRY
EPS growth (YoY) -68.6%
Net debt 4.4B TRY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 24/100

Of which business quality 26 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 10
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 6
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 43
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 90
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 13
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi A.S., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells cement, steel, ash, ready-mixed concrete, and operates port facilities in Turkey.

Full company description

Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi A.S., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells cement, steel, ash, ready-mixed concrete, and operates port facilities in Turkey. The company offers Portland, Portland composite, and puzolanic cement, as well as bulk and bagged cement, lime, plaster, fly ash, aggregate, coal, clay, trass, clinker, slag, chemical additives, and raw materials used in cement production. It also engages in the provision of transportation, loading, pumping, and application services; and trade, including raw materials, fuel oil, hazardous and non-hazardous waste, various raw materials, finished and semi-finished products, auxiliary materials, construction equipment, and products in bulk and packaged form. In addition, the company's products used to meet need for automotive, machinery, and agricultural machinery-tools industries; and engages in general cargo handling, and mining activities. Further, it carries out insurance agency activities and generates electricity through solar power plants, with more than 55% of its electricity consumption covered by its own solar facilities. It also exports its products. The company was incorporated in 1966 and is headquartered in Bursa, Turkey.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi A.S., reported revenue of 12.1B TRL in FY2025 versus 2.3B TRL in FY2021, a compound +51.7%/yr. Reported net income was −803M TRL in FY2025.

Growth Quality 24/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
12.1B TRY
Latest YoY
−21.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+26.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+58.2%
Avg. growth/yr (22Y)
−35.6%
Revenue +51.7%/yr
FY21 2.3B TRL
FY22 6.1B TRL
FY23 15.1B TRL
FY24 15.5B TRL
FY25 12.1B TRL
Net income
FY21 447M TRL
FY22 1.3B TRL
FY23 2.6B TRL
FY24 634M TRL
FY25 −803M TRL

BUCIM screens 58% overvalued. Compare with CRH plc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi A.S., Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BUCIM

Peer Group

Building Materials · 258 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 24 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −58% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -8% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -3% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.24× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.01× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 1.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 26
FUTURE 0 · sector 2
PAST 0 · sector 15
HEALTH 88 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 42

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 5, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CRH plc CRH $102.92 $70.57 -31%
UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO ₹11,711 ₹4,719 -60%
China Jushi Co 600176 ¥54.52 ¥13.95 -74%
Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM ₹3,073 ₹1,245 -59%
CEMEX, S.A. CEMEXCPO 21.71 MXN 15.42 MXN -29%
Anhui Conch Cement Company 600585 ¥16.99 ¥26.14 +54%
Ambuja Cements Limited AMBUJACEM ₹435.25 ₹227.96 -48%
Shree Cement Limited SHREECEM ₹26,930 ₹8,215 -69%
TCC Group 1101B 43.70 TWD 10.48 TWD -76%
Taiwan Glass Ind. Corp 1802 53.30 TWD 13.98 TWD -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi A.S., (BUCIM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2.14 TRY versus a price of 5.06 TRY, about −58% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BUCIM?
Our model-based fair value for Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi A.S., is 2.14 TRY (as of Aug 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 5.06 TRY.
What is the quality score of BUCIM?
Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi A.S., has a Quality Score of 24/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi A.S., (BUCIM)?
Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi A.S., reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 12.1B TRY (latest available figure, as of Aug 5, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BUCIM?
The net profit margin of Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi A.S., is about -5.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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