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Burnham Holdings (BURCA) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $117M

BH Burnham Holdings logo Burnham Holdings BURCA · US
Price$24.00
Fair Value$16.26
Upside-32.3%
Quality50/100
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Evidence: Medium Range $14.22 – $17.96 📤 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 5, 2026

From 8 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 5, 2026, revised from $24.29 to $16.26 (−33.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −4.0% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$26.95 $19.66 Fair Value $16.26 May 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $19.66 – $26.95 · fair‑value band $14.22 – $17.96 · the $24.00 price screens above the $16.26 fair value. As of Jul 5, 2026.

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Analysis

Burnham Holdings (BURCA) currently trades at $24.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $16.26, implying the stock looks roughly 32.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Burnham Holdings generated revenue of $269M at a net margin of -8.0%. Revenue grew 2.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -25.7%. Net debt stands at $9.9M. Fundamentals as of Jul 5, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $14.22 (bear case) to $17.96 (bull case); at $24.00, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -56% fair-value upside, at -32%, BURCA screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $269M
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.1%
Net margin -8.0%
Return on equity -25.7%
Free cash flow −$7.9M FY2025
Operating margin 6.9%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-6.29
Dividend yield 3.7%
Net debt $9.9M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Burnham Holdings, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of boilers and related heating, ventilation, and air conditioning products and accessories for residential, commercial, and industrial applications in the United States, Canada, and Mexico. It offers interior comfort solutions for homes and small buildings; full-service commercial industrial installation and service contracting company specializing in boiler, heat recovery and chilled water systems; and vertical integration. The company sells its residential products through wholesale distributors to builders, heating contractors, fuel dealers, and utilities for resale to end-use customers; and commercial products through independent sales representatives, directly to contractors, or end users. Burnham Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Lancaster, Pennsylvania.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Burnham Holdings reported revenue of $258M in FY2025 versus $219M in FY2021, a compound +4.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$28.4M in FY2025.

Revenue +4.3%/yr
FY21 $219M
FY22 $241M
FY23 $253M
FY24 $270M
FY25 $258M
Net income
FY21 $1.0M
FY22 $5.1M
FY23 $9.4M
FY24 $12.0M
FY25 −$28.4M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Burnham Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BURCA

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Frequently asked questions

Is Burnham Holdings (BURCA) undervalued?
As of Jul 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $16.26 versus a price of $24.00, about −32% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of BURCA?
Our model-based fair value for Burnham Holdings is $16.26 (as of Jul 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $24.00.
What is the quality score of BURCA?
Burnham Holdings has a Quality Score of 50/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Burnham Holdings (BURCA)?
Burnham Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $269M (latest available figure, as of Jul 5, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BURCA?
The net profit margin of Burnham Holdings is about -8.0%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Burnham Holdings pay a dividend?
Burnham Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.68% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 5, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.