Burnham Holdings Inc (BURCA) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $117M · ISIN US1222951089
What is Burnham Holdings Inc really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 34% above our fair value of $17.28.
As of Aug 29, 2026, the fair value of Burnham Holdings Inc is $17.28 per share against a price of $23.10, so the fair value sits 25% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 29, 2026
From 8 valuation models · updated 8 days ago
Share price −3.3% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($19.05). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $6.29 – $26.95 · fair‑value band $15.15 – $19.05 · the $23.10 price screens above the $17.28 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.
Analysis
Burnham Holdings Inc (BURCA) currently trades at $23.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $17.28, implying the stock looks roughly 33.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $37.55 per share, and 3 of the 8 models we run sit above the $23.10 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $8.15, and 5 of the 8 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Burnham Holdings Inc generated revenue of $269M at a net margin of −8.0%. Revenue grew 2.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −25.7%. Net debt stands at $9.9M. Fundamentals as of Aug 29, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $15.15 (bear case) to $19.05 (bull case); at $23.10, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −29% fair-value upside, at −25%, BURCA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 8 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($37.55) versus Dividend Discount ($8.15). Highest evidence: EPV (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Burnham Holdings, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of boilers and related heating, ventilation, and air conditioning products and accessories for residential, commercial, and industrial applications in the United States, Canada, and Mexico.
Full company description
Burnham Holdings, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of boilers and related heating, ventilation, and air conditioning products and accessories for residential, commercial, and industrial applications in the United States, Canada, and Mexico. It offers interior comfort solutions for homes and small buildings; full-service commercial industrial installation and service contracting company specializing in boiler, heat recovery and chilled water systems; and vertical integration. The company sells its residential products through wholesale distributors to builders, heating contractors, fuel dealers, and utilities for resale to end-use customers; and commercial products through independent sales representatives, directly to contractors, or end users. Burnham Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Lancaster, Pennsylvania.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Burnham Holdings Inc reported revenue of $258M in FY2025 versus $219M in FY2021, a compound +4.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$28.4M in FY2025.
of which total revenue +4.0 % · buybacks/dilution −0.3 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
BURCA screens 34% overvalued. Compare with Trane Technologies plc →
Peer Group
Building Products & Equipment · 242 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Building Products & Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 29, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trane Technologies plc TT | $454.31 | $208.50 | −54% |
| Johnson Controls International plc JCI | $142.23 | $44.75 | −69% |
| Carrier Global Corporation CARR | $57.25 | $16.85 | −71% |
| Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A SGO | €81.20 | €97.97 | +21% |
| Geberit AG GEBN | CHF 577.80 | CHF 307.66 | −47% |
| Lennox International Inc LII | $377.25 | $363.09 | −4% |
| Kingspan Group KRX | €87.30 | €66.79 | −23% |
| Masco Corporation MAS | $74.64 | $53.22 | −29% |
| Carlisle Companies Incorporated CSL | $356.53 | $340.70 | −4% |
| BELIMO Holding BEAN | CHF 878.50 | CHF 227.18 | −74% |
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