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Burnham Holdings Inc (BURCA) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 20, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Burnham Holdings Inc stock $16.93, price $22.93, upside -26.2%, quality 46 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · US · ISIN US1222951089

BH Burnham Holdings Inc logo Some data Oct 2, 2026

Burnham Holdings Inc

BURCA · US

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

Our calculation puts a fair price 26% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Quality 46/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +6.6 %/yr in USD)
4.0% dividend yield · Watch coverage
Some data
Fair value $16.93 · Overvalued (−26.2%)
Loss-making · -9.0% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/12)
Narrow moat 16/100 · thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$26.95 $6.29 Fair Value $16.93 Oct 2019 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $6.29 – $26.95 · fair‑value band $14.84 – $18.66 · the $22.93 price screens above the $16.93 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.

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Company profile

Burnham Holdings, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of boilers and related heating, ventilation, and air conditioning products and accessories for residential, commercial, and industrial applications in the United States, Canada, and Mexico.

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It offers interior comfort solutions for homes and small buildings; full-service commercial industrial installation and service contracting company specializing in boiler, heat recovery and chilled water systems; and vertical integration.

The company sells its residential products through wholesale distributors to builders, heating contractors, fuel dealers, and utilities for resale to end-use customers; and commercial products through independent sales representatives, directly to contractors, or end users.

Burnham Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Lancaster, Pennsylvania.

Stock analysis

Burnham Holdings Inc (BURCA) currently trades at $22.93, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $16.93, 26.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $35.49 per share, and 3 of the 8 models we run sit above the $22.93 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $1.99, and 5 of the 8 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $14.84 (bear) to $18.66 (bull), the price of $22.93 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Burnham Holdings Inc reported revenue of $258M in FY2025 versus $219M in FY2021, a compound +4.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$28.4M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $110M Micro · P/S ratio 0.40 · EPS (TTM) $−5.31 · Dividend yield 4.0% · Net margin −9.0% · Return on equity −21.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.7% · Operating margin 4.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 16 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −17% fair-value upside, at −26%, BURCA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $14.84 Fair Value $16.93 Bull $18.66
Price $22.93 · Upside -26.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EPV $14.84 $16.93 $18.66 72
ROIC Compounder $14.84 $16.93 $18.66 71
Gordon GGM $7.03 $8.95 $10.71 67
All 8 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV $14.84 $16.93 $18.66 72
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $7.03 $8.95 $10.71 67
DDM Multi-Stage $7.03 $9.12 $11.28 65
Multiples
EV/EBIT $26.10 $35.49 $44.88 64
EV/EBITDA $30.33 $41.13 $51.93 66
EV/Revenue $18.03 $26.65 $35.27 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.31 $1.99 $2.48 53
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $14.84 $16.93 $18.66 71

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 32
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 7
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 66
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 91
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 80
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 35
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 19
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 67
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 21/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−4.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.1% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
4.3% (2020) → 4.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

BURCA screens overvalued: fair value 26% below the price. Compare with Trane Technologies plc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Products & Equipment · 258 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside −26.2% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −16.2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −9.0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 4.9% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 6.8% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months) 4.0% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.11× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.06× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 0.40× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 53.9× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 13
FUTURE (revenue growth)34 · sector 19
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)95 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)80 · sector 43

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Building Products & Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A SGO €67.14 €93.79 +40% vs BURCA
Carlisle Companies Incorporated CSL $333.86 $347.14 +4% vs BURCA
Madison Air Solutions Corporation MAIR $23.34 $20.32 −13% vs BURCA
Lennox International Inc LII $355.78 $302.52 −15% vs BURCA
Masco Corporation MAS $68.75 $56.94 −17% vs BURCA
Kingspan Group KRX €95.00 €68.47 −28% vs BURCA
Geberit AG GEBN CHF 557.40 CHF 303.40 −46% vs BURCA
Trane Technologies plc TT $471.29 $221.26 −53% vs BURCA
Carrier Global Corporation CARR $55.21 $19.38 −65% vs BURCA
Johnson Controls International plc JCI $156.24 $39.93 −74% vs BURCA

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Burnham Holdings Inc · Fair Value
$16.93 −26%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Burnham Holdings Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BURCA

Frequently asked questions

Is Burnham Holdings Inc (BURCA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $16.93 versus a price of $22.93, about −26% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BURCA?
Our model-based fair value for Burnham Holdings Inc is $16.93 (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $22.93.
What is the quality score of BURCA?
Burnham Holdings Inc has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Burnham Holdings Inc (BURCA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $16.93 (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario $14.84, optimistic scenario $18.66. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Burnham Holdings Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $16.93, about −26% upside versus a price of $22.93 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $14.84, optimistic scenario $18.66. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Burnham Holdings Inc (BURCA)?
Burnham Holdings Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $272M (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
Does Burnham Holdings Inc pay a dividend?
Burnham Holdings Inc currently shows a dividend yield of 4.01% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 2, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Burnham Holdings Inc (BURCA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Burnham Holdings Inc it is $16.93 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of $22.93. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Burnham Holdings Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, BURCA trades above its calculated fair value: price $22.93, fair value $16.93, a gap of about −26% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BURCA?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($22.93); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($16.93). For Burnham Holdings Inc the two are $6.00 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Burnham Holdings Inc worth?
The market values Burnham Holdings Inc at about $110M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is $22.93; our models calculate a fair value of $16.93 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BURCA?
Our models span a range for Burnham Holdings Inc: cautious scenario $14.84, base $16.93, optimistic $18.66 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price $22.93). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Burnham Holdings Inc (BURCA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Burnham Holdings Inc (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity −21.9%, debt of 0.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BURCA from its 52-week high?
Burnham Holdings Inc trades at $22.93, about 15% below its 52-week high of $26.95 and 2% above the low of $22.55 (as of Oct 20, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $16.93 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Burnham Holdings Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Trane Technologies plc, Johnson Controls International plc, Carrier Global Corporation, Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Burnham Holdings Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price $22.93, calculated fair value $16.93 (−26%), Quality Score 46/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BURCA calculated?
We run Burnham Holdings Inc through 8 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $16.93, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Burnham Holdings Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Burnham Holdings Inc (BURCA)?
The closing price on Oct 20, 2026 was $22.93. Our model-based fair value is $16.93, about −26% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Burnham Holdings Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($18.66). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Burnham Holdings Inc (BURCA) come from?
Earnings per share at Burnham Holdings Inc grew +4.8 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.6 %, EBIT margin +0.4 %, tax rate +1.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Burnham Holdings Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Burnham Holdings Inc (BURCA)?
The market capitalisation of Burnham Holdings Inc is $110M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Burnham Holdings Inc (BURCA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Burnham Holdings Inc is 0.40 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Burnham Holdings Inc (BURCA)?
Earnings per share at Burnham Holdings Inc are $−5.31. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Burnham Holdings Inc (BURCA)?
The dividend yield of Burnham Holdings Inc is 4.0%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Burnham Holdings Inc (BURCA)?
The net margin of Burnham Holdings Inc is −9.0% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Burnham Holdings Inc (BURCA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Burnham Holdings Inc is −21.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Burnham Holdings Inc (BURCA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Burnham Holdings Inc is 5.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Burnham Holdings Inc (BURCA)?
The operating margin of Burnham Holdings Inc is 4.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Burnham Holdings Inc (BURCA)?
Revenue at Burnham Holdings Inc is growing +6.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Burnham Holdings Inc (BURCA)?
Earnings per share at Burnham Holdings Inc are growing −62.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Burnham Holdings Inc (BURCA) generate?
The free cash flow of Burnham Holdings Inc is −$7.9M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Burnham Holdings Inc (BURCA) carry?
The net debt of Burnham Holdings Inc is $9.9M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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