Bounty Oil & Gas NL explores, (BUY) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · AU · Market cap A$18.7M
Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 45 days ago
Fair value updated Jun 26, 2026, revised from A$0.1500 to A$0.0218 (−85.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +12.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 21% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.0188). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 26, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0130 – A$0.8064 · fair‑value band A$0.0188 – A$0.0263 · the A$0.0180 price screens below the A$0.0218 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 26, 2026.
Analysis
Bounty Oil & Gas NL explores, (BUY) currently trades at A$0.0180, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0218, implying the stock looks roughly 21.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$953K. Revenue declined 20.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -41.6%. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.0188 (bear case) to A$0.0263 (bull case); at A$0.0180, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at 21%, BUY screens cheaper than that median.
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 30 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Bounty Oil & Gas NL explores, develops, produces, and markets oil and gas properties in Australia. It operates through Core Petroleum and Secondary segments. The company also invests in listed shares and securities. Bounty Oil & Gas NL was incorporated in 1999 and is based in Sydney, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Bounty Oil & Gas NL explores, reported revenue of A$1.1M in FY2025 versus A$1.5M in FY2021, a compound −7.4%/yr. Reported net income was −A$1.6M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Oil & Gas E&P · 315 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 26, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CNOOC Limited 600938 | ¥28.97 | ¥32.55 | +12% |
| ConocoPhillips explores for, COP | $109.04 | $91.79 | -16% |
| Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ | $42.86 | $31.54 | -26% |
| EOG Resources, Inc EOG | $139.89 | $130.19 | -7% |
| Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY | $54.86 | $30.68 | -44% |
| Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG | $183.39 | $106.12 | -42% |
| Devon Energy Corporation DVN | $43.83 | $27.06 | -38% |
| Woodside Energy Group WDS | A$30.46 | A$20.71 | -32% |
| EQT Corporation EQT | $48.85 | $42.85 | -12% |
| Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL | $415.70 | $79.20 | -81% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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