BW LPG Limited (BWLP) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · US · Market cap $3.1B
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Share price +10.4% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 25% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- Our model range runs from $11.76 (bear) to $20.87 (bull), base $15.68. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 66/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.00 – $22.56 · fair‑value band $11.76 – $20.87 · the $20.85 price screens above the $15.68 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
BW LPG Limited (BWLP) currently trades at $20.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $15.68, implying the stock looks roughly 24.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, BW LPG Limited generated revenue of $3.6B at a net margin of 6.8%. Revenue declined 13.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.0%. Net debt stands at $748M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $11.76 (bear case) to $20.87 (bull case); at $20.85, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 108% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at -25%, BWLP screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($55.57) versus Asset-Based ($8.08). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 83
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
BW LPG Limited, an investment holding company, engages in ship owning and chartering activities worldwide. It operates through Shipping and Product Services segments.
Full company description
BW LPG Limited, an investment holding company, engages in ship owning and chartering activities worldwide. It operates through Shipping and Product Services segments. The company engages in the transportation of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG); provision of integrated LPG delivery services, as well as management services; wholesale and trade of LPG; and investment in commercial enterprises. As of December 31, 2025, it owned and operated a fleet of 54 vessels, including 28 very large gas carriers, 7 large gas carriers time chartered in by product services, and 8 VLGCs owned by BW LPG India Pte. Ltd. BW LPG Limited was formerly known as BW Gas LPG Holding Limited and changed its name to BW LPG Limited in September 2013. The company was founded in 1935 and is headquartered in Singapore.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
BW LPG Limited reported revenue of $3.7B in FY2025 versus $1.2B in FY2021, a compound +32.2%/yr. Reported net income was $249M in FY2025, compounding +8.5%/yr from FY2021.
BWLP screens 25% overvalued. Compare with Enbridge Inc →
Peer Group
Oil & Gas Midstream · 86 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Midstream median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Midstream stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Enbridge Inc ENB | $56.46 | $47.20 | -16% |
| The Williams Companies, Inc WMB | $73.38 | $12.03 | -84% |
| Enterprise Products Partners L.P. EPD | $38.31 | $24.74 | -35% |
| TC Energy Corporation TRP | C$97.79 | C$42.00 | -57% |
| Kinder Morgan, Inc KMI | $32.54 | $11.12 | -66% |
| Energy Transfer LP, ET | $19.91 | $17.69 | -11% |
| ONEOK, Inc OKE | $93.52 | $64.05 | -32% |
| Targa Resources Corp TRGP | $273.35 | $79.61 | -71% |
| MPLX LP owns and MPLX | $57.17 | $37.05 | -35% |
| Cheniere Energy, Inc LNG | $255.83 | $211.18 | -17% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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