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Blaize Holdings (BZAI) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 30, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Blaize Holdings stock $0.20, price $0.20, upside -0.1%, quality 28 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Technology US · ISIN US0929151076

BH Blaize Holdings logo Thin data Oct 30, 2026

Blaize Holdings

BZAI · US
Fairly valued, weak quality

The stock costs about what our calculation considers fair.

Fair value $0.1955 · Fairly valued (−0.1%)
Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +115.9 %/yr in USD)
Mixed vs. peers (4/7)
Quality 28/100
Loss-making · -160.9% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 16/100
Thin data
⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$15.00 $0.1903 Fair Value $0.1955 Jan 2022 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 30, 2026.

How to read this chart

57‑month range $0.1903 – $15.00 · fair‑value band $0.1275 – $0.2465 · the $0.1956 price screens above the $0.1955 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 30, 2026.

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Company profile

Blaize Holdings, Inc. provides artificial intelligence (AI)-enabled edge computing solutions.

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Its portfolio includes programmable AI processors in a broad range of form factors, deployable across several verticals, including smart city, defense, retail and enterprise markets; and AI computing platforms that enable applications, such as computer vision, advanced video analytics, and AI inference, as well as software tools that allows non-expert practitioners to deploy AI applications on its hardware without the need to learn or use source code.

The company also offers the GSP, an AI computing accelerator for computer vision, machine learning, and AI applications; compute cards, such as peripheral component interconnected express card and other cards; software development kit; Blaize AI Studio, a visual no-code or low-code environment intended to simplify the creation and deployment of AI models; and strategic consulting services.

The company has a strategic collaboration with Winmate Inc. for the development of rugged edge AI solutions for industrial and mission-critical operations. Blaize Holdings, Inc. was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in El Dorado Hills, California.

Stock analysis

Blaize Holdings (BZAI) currently trades at $0.1956, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1955, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 0.1%).

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 92/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: $0.1275 (bear) to $0.2465 (bull), the price of $0.1956 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Blaize Holdings reported revenue of $38.6M in FY2025 versus $3.8M in FY2022, a compound +115.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$207M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $28.3M Micro · P/S ratio 0.85 · EPS (TTM) $−0.6000 · Return on equity −427% · Return on assets (EBIT) −100% · Operating margin −255% · Revenue (TTM) $50.4M · Revenue growth (YoY) +505%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 16 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 95% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at 0%, BZAI screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.1275 Fair Value $0.1955 Bull $0.2465
Price $0.1956 · Upside -0.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) $0.1500 $0.2300 $0.2900 52
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.1500 $0.2300 $0.2900 52

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 28/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 6
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 62
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 50
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 0
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 0
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2,386.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+115.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−1,307.4% (2022) → −237.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (61 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.

Compare Blaize Holdings with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 646 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/6 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 28 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −0.1% · Above median
Profitability
Net margin (12 months) −160.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 504.7% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.73× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 0.56× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)33 · sector 28
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 40
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 28

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Adobe Inc ADBE $248.12 $463.72 +87% vs BZAI
Uber Technologies, Inc UBER $65.74 $101.95 +55% vs BZAI
Salesforce, Inc CRM $230.90 $342.73 +48% vs BZAI
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $109.67 $120.64 +10% vs BZAI
SAP SE SAP €211.25 €173.59 −18% vs BZAI
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $327.89 $225.48 −31% vs BZAI
Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP $285.37 $150.40 −47% vs BZAI
Shopify Inc SHOP $166.89 $68.68 −59% vs BZAI
Snowflake Inc SNOW $330.27 $73.81 −78% vs BZAI
Datadog, Inc DDOG $265.84 $32.52 −88% vs BZAI

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Blaize Holdings · Fair Value
$0.1955 −0%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Blaize Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BZAI

Frequently asked questions

Is Blaize Holdings (BZAI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.1955 versus a price of $0.1956, about −0% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of BZAI?
Our model-based fair value for Blaize Holdings is $0.1955 (as of Oct 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.1956.
What is the quality score of BZAI?
Blaize Holdings has a Quality Score of 28/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Blaize Holdings (BZAI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.1955 (as of Oct 30, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.1275, optimistic scenario $0.2465. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Blaize Holdings stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.1955, about −0% upside versus a price of $0.1956 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $0.1275, optimistic scenario $0.2465. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Blaize Holdings (BZAI)?
Blaize Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $50.4M (latest available figure, as of Oct 30, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Blaize Holdings (BZAI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Blaize Holdings it is $0.1955 per share (as of Oct 30, 2026), against a price of $0.1956. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Blaize Holdings stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 30, 2026, BZAI trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.1956, fair value $0.1955, a gap of about −0% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BZAI?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.1956); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.1955). For Blaize Holdings the two are $0.0001 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Blaize Holdings worth?
The market values Blaize Holdings at about $28.3M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 30, 2026). Per share that is $0.1956; our models calculate a fair value of $0.1955 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BZAI?
Our models span a range for Blaize Holdings: cautious scenario $0.1275, base $0.1955, optimistic $0.2465 per share (as of Oct 30, 2026, price $0.1956). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Blaize Holdings (BZAI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Blaize Holdings (as of Oct 30, 2026): return on equity −426.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 28/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BZAI from its 52-week high?
Blaize Holdings trades at $0.1956, about 95% below its 52-week high of $3.91 and 3% above the low of $0.1903 (as of Oct 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.1955 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Blaize Holdings?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Shopify Inc, Salesforce, Inc, ServiceNow, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Blaize Holdings stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 30, 2026: price $0.1956, calculated fair value $0.1955 (−0%), Quality Score 28/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BZAI calculated?
We run Blaize Holdings through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.1955, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Blaize Holdings itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Blaize Holdings (BZAI)?
The closing price on Oct 30, 2026 was $0.1956. Our model-based fair value is $0.1955, about −0% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Blaize Holdings right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range ($0.1275 to $0.2465) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Blaize Holdings

How large is the market capitalisation of Blaize Holdings (BZAI)?
The market capitalisation of Blaize Holdings is $28.3M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Blaize Holdings (BZAI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Blaize Holdings is 0.85 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Blaize Holdings (BZAI)?
Earnings per share at Blaize Holdings are $−0.6000. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Blaize Holdings (BZAI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Blaize Holdings is −427% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Blaize Holdings (BZAI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Blaize Holdings is −100% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Blaize Holdings (BZAI)?
The operating margin of Blaize Holdings is −255% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Blaize Holdings (BZAI)?
Revenue at Blaize Holdings is growing +505% versus a year earlier (3y avg +116%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Blaize Holdings (BZAI) generate?
The free cash flow of Blaize Holdings is −$82.2M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Blaize Holdings (BZAI) hold?
Blaize Holdings holds more cash than debt, $43.6M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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