Carnival Corporation (C1CL34) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · BR · Market cap R$185B
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 7 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from R$39.66 to R$35.50 (−10.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −17.5% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range R$119.92 – R$185.93 · fair‑value band R$13.70 – R$58.00 · the R$132.99 price screens above the R$35.50 fair value. As of Jul 15, 2026.
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Carnival Corporation (C1CL34) currently trades at R$132.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$35.50, implying the stock looks roughly 73.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Carnival Corporation generated revenue of R$27.0B at a net margin of 11.5%. Revenue grew 6.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 27.9%. Net debt stands at R$24.7B. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from R$13.70 (bear case) to R$58.00 (bull case); at R$132.99, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -61% fair-value upside, at -73%, C1CL34 screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Carnival Corporation Ltd., a cruise company, provides leisure travel services in North America, Australia, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: North America Cruise Operations, Europe Cruise Operations, Cruise Support, and Tour and Other. It operates port destinations and islands, as well as owns and operates hotels, lodges, glass-domed railcars, and motorcoaches. The company offers its services under the AIDA Cruises, Carnival Cruise Line, Costa Cruises, Cunard, Holland America Line, P&O Cruises (Australia), P&O Cruises (UK), Princess Cruises, and Seabourn brands. It sells its cruises through travel agents, tour operators, vacation planners, websites, and onboard future cruise consultants. Carnival Corporation Ltd. was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Miami, Florida.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Carnival Corporation reported revenue of R$26.6B in FY2025 versus R$1.9B in FY2021, a compound +93.3%/yr. Reported net income was R$2.8B in FY2025.
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Recent news
- Carnival Corporation Expands Surplus Meal Donation Program to The Bahamas
- Do Options Traders Know Something About Carnival Stock We Don't?
- Cunard Reveals Plans for Extensive Queen Victoria Transformation
- DB cautious on cruise stocks as fundamentals “not as clear as bulls believe”
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
Similar stocks
10 more Travel Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Booking Holdings BKNG34 | R$4.83 | R$0.9300 | -81% |
| Airbnb, Inc ABNB | $148.93 | $57.47 | -61% |
| Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd RCL | $268.73 | $140.14 | -48% |
| Viking Holdings VIK | $103.05 | $61.24 | -41% |
| Expedia Group EXGR34 | R$610.70 | R$124.32 | -80% |
| Trip.com Group TCOM | $45.50 | $88.51 | +95% |
| Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings N1CL34 | R$107.20 | R$19.25 | -82% |
| Tongcheng Travel Holdings TNGCF | $2.80 | $3.26 | +16% |
| Global Business Travel Group GBTG | $9.34 | $2.61 | -72% |
| Travel + Leisure Co TNL | $74.70 | $20.79 | -72% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.