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Data-driven stock valuation

Bancolombia S.A. (C2OL34) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 29, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Bancolombia S.A. stock BRL 91.49, price BRL 127, upside -28.1%, quality 60 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Financial Services BR · Based in Colombia

BS Bancolombia S.A. logo Some data Oct 29, 2026

Bancolombia S.A.

C2OL34 · SA
Solid, but expensive

Our calculation puts a fair price 28% below what the stock costs today.

Quality 60/100
Solidly profitable · 17.6% net margin (TTM)
Low debt
Generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (8/13)
Last quarter vs. a year ago: revenue +26%, profit +53%.
Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +4.3 %/yr in COP)
Moderate moat 59/100
Some data
Fair value R$91.49 · Overvalued (−28.1%)

Risks from the AI analysis

🚩Neobanks challenge traditional banking
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

R$131.43 R$21.05 Fair Value R$91.49 Feb 2022 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

56‑month range R$21.05 – R$131.43 · fair‑value band R$68.62 – R$114.37 · the R$127.27 price screens above the R$91.49 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 29, 2026.

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Company profile

Grupo Cibest S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides various banking products and services in Colombia and internationally.

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It offers deposit products, including checking and savings accounts, fixed-term deposits, and investment products; credit alternatives solutions such as trade financing, working capital loans, mortgages, credit cards, personal, vehicle, payroll, and small business loans, and overdrafts; and factoring.

It also provides financial and operating leases; capital markets, such as hedging instruments; trading, including interbank lending, repurchase agreements, foreign exchange transactions, and sovereign and corporate securities trading, brokerage and investment advisory services, access to local and international capital markets, and third-party asset management, as well as cash management, payables and receivables solutions, real-time web services, and SWIFT Net solutions.

In addition, it provides foreign currency investment and trade finance solutions such as letters of credit and bills collection; bancassurance and insurance; and investment banking services include project finance, acquisition finance, large corporate loans, loan syndication, debt and equity capital markets, principal investments, mergers and acquisitions, and advisory on hedging strategies and restructurings.

Further, it offers trust and fiduciary services, escrow accounts, investment funds, and real estate funds; and Nequi digital platform.

Additionally, it provides roadside and medical assistance services; and BRE-b, mortgage lending innovations, payments through wompi, inflation-indexed sustainability loans, and Salud para ti. It serves physical branches, mobile branches, ATMs, online, computer, telephone, and mobile banking, banking correspondents, kiosks, and direct business connections.

The company was formerly known as Bancolombia S.A. and changed its name to Grupo Cibest S.A. in May 2025. The company was founded in 1875 and is based in Medellín, Colombia.

Stock analysis

Bancolombia S.A. (C2OL34) currently trades at R$127.27, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$91.49, 28.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of R$101.67 per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the R$127.27 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at R$44.56, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: R$68.62 (bear) to R$114.37 (bull), the price of R$127.27 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Bancolombia S.A. reported revenue of 27.5T COP in FY2025 versus 17.3T COP in FY2021, a compound +12.2%/yr. Reported net income was 3.8T COP in FY2025, compounding −1.7%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap R$120B (≈ $22.5B) Large · P/E ratio 11.2 · P/S ratio 1.55 · EPS (TTM) R$11.26 · Dividend yield 7.4% · Net margin 13.9% · Return on equity 19.2% · Return on assets 2.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 59 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 71% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at −28%, C2OL34 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear R$68.62 Fair Value R$91.49 Bull R$114.37
Price R$127.27 · Upside -28.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (R$9.35 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income R$59.29 R$64.27 R$72.31 72
Gordon GGM R$73.61 R$109.55 R$144.22 64
DDM Multi-Stage R$73.61 R$101.67 R$129.54 62
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM R$73.61 R$109.55 R$144.22 64
DDM Multi-Stage R$73.61 R$101.67 R$129.54 62
Multiples
P/E Multiple R$66.56 R$88.75 R$110.94 61
P/B Multiple R$69.83 R$93.10 R$116.38 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) R$33.25 R$44.56 R$66.50 52
Economic Profit
Residual Income R$59.29 R$64.27 R$72.31 72

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 32
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 95
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 22
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 84
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 70
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 87
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 96
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 89
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 71/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.3%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in COP ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in COP: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+6.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−1.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)7.4%

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−7.3%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+7.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in COP, Colombia: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 5.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −11.0% a year for the price and +3.7% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+14.0%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+7.4%
Projected 2028 (sales)+6.8%
Projected 2029 (sales)+6.1%
Projected 2030 (sales)+5.4%

C2OL34 screens overvalued: fair value 28% below the price. Compare with DBS Group →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Banks - Regional · 1063 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 60 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −27.4% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 19.2% · Top 25%
Return on assets 1.0% · Above median
Net margin (12 months) 17.6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 26.0% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 7.4% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.42× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 11.2× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.77× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 2.84× · Cheaper than median
Price / free cash flow 7.0× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 11
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 48
PAST (return on equity)77 · sector 42
HEALTH (low debt)79 · sector 84
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 51

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
China Merchants Bank Co 600036 ¥42.50 ¥52.73 +24% vs C2OL34
BNP Paribas SA BNP €87.20 €106.06 +22% vs C2OL34
Itaú Unibanco Holding ITUB $7.70 $6.95 −10% vs C2OL34
Mizuho Financial Group MFG $9.51 $6.85 −28% vs C2OL34
Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A ISP €6.02 €4.15 −31% vs C2OL34
Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation O39 28.96 SGD 19.78 SGD −32% vs C2OL34
UniCredit S.p.A UCG €74.56 €50.44 −32% vs C2OL34
HDFC Bank Limited HDFCBANK ₹688.05 ₹406.39 −41% vs C2OL34
DBS Group D05 74.21 SGD 40.39 SGD −46% vs C2OL34
ICICI Bank Limited ICICIBANK ₹1,387 ₹615.63 −56% vs C2OL34

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Bancolombia S.A. · Fair Value
R$91.49 −28%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bancolombia S.A. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/C2OL34

Frequently asked questions

Is Bancolombia S.A. (C2OL34) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$91.49 versus a price of R$127.27, about −28% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of C2OL34?
Our model-based fair value for Bancolombia S.A. is R$91.49 (as of Oct 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R$127.27.
What is the quality score of C2OL34?
Bancolombia S.A. has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Bancolombia S.A. (C2OL34)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of R$91.49 (as of Oct 29, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario R$68.62, optimistic scenario R$114.37. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Bancolombia S.A. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at R$91.49, about −28% upside versus a price of R$127.27 (overvalued). Cautious scenario R$68.62, optimistic scenario R$114.37. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Bancolombia S.A. (C2OL34)?
Bancolombia S.A. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 24.7T COP (latest available figure, as of Oct 29, 2026).
Does Bancolombia S.A. pay a dividend?
Bancolombia S.A. currently shows a dividend yield of 7.40% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 29, 2026).
What growth is priced into Bancolombia S.A. (C2OL34)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Bancolombia S.A. would have to grow free cash flow by -7.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +12.2 % per year. As of Oct 29, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of C2OL34 use?
Our models discount Bancolombia S.A. at 10.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.44, country premium for Brazil. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Bancolombia S.A. that is -7.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Bancolombia S.A. (C2OL34) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at Bancolombia S.A. grew +12.2 % a year. The price currently implies -7.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Bancolombia S.A. (C2OL34) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Bancolombia S.A. (-7.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Bancolombia S.A. (C2OL34)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 14.10 %: that much free cash flow Bancolombia S.A. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Bancolombia S.A. (C2OL34)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Bancolombia S.A. it is R$91.49 per share (as of Oct 29, 2026), against a price of R$127.27. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Bancolombia S.A. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 29, 2026, C2OL34 trades above its calculated fair value: price R$127.27, fair value R$91.49, a gap of about −28% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of C2OL34?
No. The price is what the market pays today (R$127.27); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (R$91.49). For Bancolombia S.A. the two are R$35.78 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Bancolombia S.A. worth?
The market values Bancolombia S.A. at about R$120B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 29, 2026). Per share that is R$127.27; our models calculate a fair value of R$91.49 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about C2OL34?
Our models span a range for Bancolombia S.A.: cautious scenario R$68.62, base R$91.49, optimistic R$114.37 per share (as of Oct 29, 2026, price R$127.27). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of C2OL34?
Bancolombia S.A. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.2 (as of Oct 29, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of R$91.49 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.8, P/S 2.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Bancolombia S.A. (C2OL34)?
Balance-sheet figures for Bancolombia S.A. (as of Oct 29, 2026): return on equity 19.2%, debt of 0.42 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is C2OL34 from its 52-week high?
Bancolombia S.A. trades at R$127.27, about 3% below its 52-week high of R$131.43 and 71% above the low of R$74.57 (as of Oct 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of R$91.49 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Bancolombia S.A.?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value DBS Group, China Merchants Bank Co, UniCredit S.p.A, Mizuho Financial Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Bancolombia S.A. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 29, 2026: price R$127.27, calculated fair value R$91.49 (−28%), Quality Score 60/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of C2OL34 calculated?
We run Bancolombia S.A. through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of R$91.49, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Bancolombia S.A. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Bancolombia S.A. (C2OL34)?
The closing price on Oct 29, 2026 was R$127.27. Our model-based fair value is R$91.49, about −28% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Bancolombia S.A. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (R$114.37). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Key figures of Bancolombia S.A.

How large is the market capitalisation of Bancolombia S.A. (C2OL34)?
The market capitalisation of Bancolombia S.A. is R$120B (≈ $22.5B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Bancolombia S.A. (C2OL34)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Bancolombia S.A. is 1.55 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Bancolombia S.A. (C2OL34)?
Earnings per share at Bancolombia S.A. are R$11.26 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Bancolombia S.A. (C2OL34)?
The dividend yield of Bancolombia S.A. is 7.4% (payout 83.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Bancolombia S.A. (C2OL34)?
The net margin of Bancolombia S.A. is 13.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Bancolombia S.A. (C2OL34)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Bancolombia S.A. is 19.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the return on assets of Bancolombia S.A. (C2OL34)?
The return on assets (ROA) of Bancolombia S.A. is 2.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to everything the company owns. Harder to inflate than return on equity because debt does not boost it.
How fast is revenue growing at Bancolombia S.A. (C2OL34)?
Revenue at Bancolombia S.A. is growing +26.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Bancolombia S.A. (C2OL34)?
Earnings per share at Bancolombia S.A. are growing +53.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Bancolombia S.A. (C2OL34) carry?
The net debt of Bancolombia S.A. is 10.5T COP (fiscal year 2022, ≈ 1.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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