Chrysos Corporation Ltd (C79) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Chrysos Corporation Ltd A$0.78, price A$6.71, upside -88.4%, quality 34 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
53‑month range A$2.84 – A$9.95 · fair‑value band A$0.5400 – A$0.8800 · the A$6.71 price screens above the A$0.7800 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
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Chrysos Corporation Limited engages in the development and supply of mining technologies in Europe, the Middle east, Africa, the Asia pacific, and the Americas. It provides PhotonAssay, a technology for analysis and detection of gold, silver, copper, and other elements.
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Chrysos Corporation Limited engages in the development and supply of mining technologies in Europe, the Middle east, Africa, the Asia pacific, and the Americas. It provides PhotonAssay, a technology for analysis and detection of gold, silver, copper, and other elements. Chrysos Corporation Limited was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Adelaide, Australia.
Stock analysis
Chrysos Corporation Ltd (C79) currently trades at A$6.71, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.7800, 88.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of A$1.14 per share, and 0 of the 9 models we run sit above the A$6.71 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at A$0.2600, and 9 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: A$0.5400 (bear) to A$0.8800 (bull), the price of A$6.71 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Chrysos Corporation Ltd reported revenue of A$111K in FY2026 versus A$571K in FY2022, a compound −33.6%/yr. Reported net income was A$1.8M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap A$788M (≈ $548M) · P/E ratio 335.5 · EPS (TTM) A$0.0200 · Net margin 2.0% · Return on equity 0.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −4.7% · Operating margin 3.0% · Revenue growth (YoY) +20.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.
The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −8% fair-value upside, at −88%, C79 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (A$0.0100 to A$1.14). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear A$0.5400Fair Value A$0.7800Bull A$0.8800
Price A$6.71 · Upside -88.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 3 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$0.0053 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−99.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−83.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.8%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−24.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+50.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+50.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−16,717% → −74,147%
Compare Chrysos Corporation Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 656 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−88.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)0.9% · Below median
Return on assets1.3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)2.0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)3.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth20.9% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.31× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)335.5× · Priciest 25%
P/B2.77× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)6.22× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA22.7× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 29
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 43
PAST (return on equity)4· sector 20
HEALTH (low debt)85· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 34
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Chrysos Corporation Ltd (C79) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.7800 versus a price of A$6.71, about −88% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of C79?
Our model-based fair value for Chrysos Corporation Ltd is A$0.7800 (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$6.71.
What is the quality score of C79?
Chrysos Corporation Ltd has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Chrysos Corporation Ltd (C79)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.7800 (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.5400, optimistic scenario A$0.8800. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Chrysos Corporation Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.7800, about −88% upside versus a price of A$6.71 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.5400, optimistic scenario A$0.8800. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Chrysos Corporation Ltd (C79)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Chrysos Corporation Ltd it is A$0.7800 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of A$6.71. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Chrysos Corporation Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, C79 trades above its calculated fair value: price A$6.71, fair value A$0.7800, a gap of about −88% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of C79?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$6.71); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.7800). For Chrysos Corporation Ltd the two are A$5.93 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Chrysos Corporation Ltd worth?
The market values Chrysos Corporation Ltd at about A$788M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is A$6.71; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.7800 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about C79?
Our models span a range for Chrysos Corporation Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.5400, base A$0.7800, optimistic A$0.8800 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price A$6.71). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of C79?
Chrysos Corporation Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 335.5 (as of Oct 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$0.7800 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.8, P/S 6.2, EV/EBITDA 22.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Chrysos Corporation Ltd (C79)?
Balance-sheet figures for Chrysos Corporation Ltd (as of Oct 4, 2026): return on equity 0.9%, debt of 0.31 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is C79 from its 52-week high?
Chrysos Corporation Ltd trades at A$6.71, about 33% below its 52-week high of A$9.95 and 27% above the low of A$5.30 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.7800 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Chrysos Corporation Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Salesforce, Inc, Shopify Inc, ServiceNow, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Chrysos Corporation Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price A$6.71, calculated fair value A$0.7800 (−88%), Quality Score 34/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of C79 calculated?
We run Chrysos Corporation Ltd through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.7800, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Chrysos Corporation Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Chrysos Corporation Ltd (C79)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was A$6.71. Our model-based fair value is A$0.7800, about −88% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Chrysos Corporation Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.8800). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Chrysos Corporation Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Chrysos Corporation Ltd (C79)?
The market capitalisation of Chrysos Corporation Ltd is A$788M (≈ $548M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Chrysos Corporation Ltd (C79)?
Earnings per share at Chrysos Corporation Ltd are A$0.0200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 335.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Chrysos Corporation Ltd (C79)?
The net margin of Chrysos Corporation Ltd is 2.0% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Chrysos Corporation Ltd (C79)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Chrysos Corporation Ltd is 0.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Chrysos Corporation Ltd (C79)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Chrysos Corporation Ltd is −4.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Chrysos Corporation Ltd (C79)?
The operating margin of Chrysos Corporation Ltd is 3.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Chrysos Corporation Ltd (C79)?
Revenue at Chrysos Corporation Ltd is growing +20.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −83.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Chrysos Corporation Ltd (C79)?
Earnings per share at Chrysos Corporation Ltd are growing +66.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Chrysos Corporation Ltd (C79) generate?
The free cash flow of Chrysos Corporation Ltd is −A$25.4M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Chrysos Corporation Ltd (C79) carry?
The net debt of Chrysos Corporation Ltd is A$38.4M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Oct 4, 2026