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Cal-Maine Foods, Inc (CALM) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $3.5B

CM Cal-Maine Foods, Inc logo Cal-Maine Foods, Inc CALM · US
Price$83.14
Fair Value$67.72
Upside-18.5%
Quality71/100
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Evidence: High Range $49.23 – $100.49

Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026 — revised from $457.98 to $67.72 (−85.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +6.5% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$113.47 $71.49 Fair Value $67.72 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $71.49 – $113.47 · fair‑value band $49.23 – $100.49 · the $83.14 price screens above the $67.72 fair value. As of Jul 15, 2026.

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Analysis

Cal-Maine Foods, Inc (CALM) currently trades at $83.14, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $67.72 — implying the stock looks roughly 18.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Cal-Maine Foods, Inc generated revenue of $3.5B at a net margin of 20.1%. Revenue declined 53.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 27.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $500M. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $49.23 (bear case) to $100.49 (bull case); at $83.14, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 43% fair-value upside — at -19%, CALM screens richer than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $3.5B
Revenue growth (YoY) -53.0%
Net margin 20.1%
Return on equity 27.3%
Free cash flow $1.1B FY2025
P/E ratio 5.2
More key figures
Operating margin 5.4%
EPS (TTM) $14.37
Dividend yield 6.4%
EPS growth (YoY) -89.8%
Net cash $500M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Cal-Maine Foods, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, grading, packaging, marketing, and distribution of shell eggs, egg products, and prepared foods. The company offers specialty shell eggs, including cage-free, organic, brown, free-range, and pasture-raised and nutritionally enhanced eggs, as well as conventional eggs under the Egg-Land's Best, Land O' Lakes, Farmhouse Eggs, Sunups, Sunny Meadow, and 4-Grain brand names. It also provides ready-to-eat products, such as hard-cooked eggs, egg wraps, protein pancakes, crepes and wrap-ups; and sells feed, miscellaneous byproducts, and resale products. The company sells its products to various customers, including national and regional grocery store chains, club stores, independent supermarkets, foodservice distributors, and egg product consumers primarily in the southwestern, southeastern, mid-western, northeastern, and mid-Atlantic regions of the United States, as well as Puerto Rico. Cal-Maine Foods, Inc. …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Cal-Maine Foods, Inc reported revenue of $4.3B in FY2025 versus $1.3B in FY2021, a compound +33.3%/yr. Reported net income was $1.2B in FY2025, compounding +393.3%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +33.3%/yr
FY21 $1.3B
FY22 $1.8B
FY23 $3.1B
FY24 $2.3B
FY25 $4.3B
Net income +393.3%/yr
FY21 $2.1M
FY22 $133M
FY23 $758M
FY24 $278M
FY25 $1.2B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cal-Maine Foods, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CALM

Recent news

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Frequently asked questions

Is Cal-Maine Foods, Inc (CALM) undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $67.72 versus a price of $83.14 — about −19% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of CALM?
Our model-based fair value for Cal-Maine Foods, Inc is $67.72 (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $83.14.
What is the quality score of CALM?
Cal-Maine Foods, Inc has a Quality Score of 71/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Cal-Maine Foods, Inc (CALM)?
Cal-Maine Foods, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.5B (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CALM?
The net profit margin of Cal-Maine Foods, Inc is about 20.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 20.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Cal-Maine Foods, Inc pay a dividend?
Cal-Maine Foods, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.40% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 15, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.