Cal-Maine Foods, Inc (CALM) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $3.5B
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026 — revised from $457.98 to $67.72 (−85.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +6.5% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $71.49 – $113.47 · fair‑value band $49.23 – $100.49 · the $83.14 price screens above the $67.72 fair value. As of Jul 15, 2026.
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Cal-Maine Foods, Inc (CALM) currently trades at $83.14, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $67.72 — implying the stock looks roughly 18.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Cal-Maine Foods, Inc generated revenue of $3.5B at a net margin of 20.1%. Revenue declined 53.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 27.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $500M. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $49.23 (bear case) to $100.49 (bull case); at $83.14, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 43% fair-value upside — at -19%, CALM screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Cal-Maine Foods, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, grading, packaging, marketing, and distribution of shell eggs, egg products, and prepared foods. The company offers specialty shell eggs, including cage-free, organic, brown, free-range, and pasture-raised and nutritionally enhanced eggs, as well as conventional eggs under the Egg-Land's Best, Land O' Lakes, Farmhouse Eggs, Sunups, Sunny Meadow, and 4-Grain brand names. It also provides ready-to-eat products, such as hard-cooked eggs, egg wraps, protein pancakes, crepes and wrap-ups; and sells feed, miscellaneous byproducts, and resale products. The company sells its products to various customers, including national and regional grocery store chains, club stores, independent supermarkets, foodservice distributors, and egg product consumers primarily in the southwestern, southeastern, mid-western, northeastern, and mid-Atlantic regions of the United States, as well as Puerto Rico. Cal-Maine Foods, Inc. …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Cal-Maine Foods, Inc reported revenue of $4.3B in FY2025 versus $1.3B in FY2021, a compound +33.3%/yr. Reported net income was $1.2B in FY2025, compounding +393.3%/yr from FY2021.
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Recent news
- Perishable Food Stocks Q1 Recap: Benchmarking Vital Farms (NASDAQ:VITL)
- Cal-Maine Foods Schedules Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2026 Earnings Release, Conference Call and Webcast
- Q1 Earnings Outperformers: Pilgrim's Pride (NASDAQ:PPC) And The Rest Of The Perishable Food Stocks
- DOJ reaches settlement with major egg producers over alleged price manipulation
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others) — not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Archer-Daniels-Midland Company ADM | $81.28 | $38.31 | -53% |
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| Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 | ¥12.49 | ¥12.08 | -3% |
| Mowi ASA MOWI | kr 204.00 | kr 112.48 | -45% |
| SalMar ASA SALM | kr 541.00 | kr 171.05 | -68% |
| Fujian Wanchen Food Group 300972 | ¥177.00 | ¥311.94 | +76% |
| PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN | 3,240 IDR | 5,212 IDR | +61% |
| Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF | 19.20 THB | 57.92 THB | +202% |
| PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG | 1,375 IDR | 4,331 IDR | +215% |
| PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA | 7,300 IDR | 7,528 IDR | +3% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.