Cal-Maine Foods Inc (CALM) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $4.0B · ISIN US1280302027
Cal-Maine Foods Inc
CALM · US
Strengths
Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 27, 2026, revised from $457.98 to $83.74 (−81.7%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −14.2% over the past month.
A strong business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range ($59.57 to $124.25) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $26.34 – $113.47 · fair‑value band $59.57 – $124.25 · the $80.21 price screens below the $83.74 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 5 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
Analysis
Cal-Maine Foods Inc (CALM) currently trades at $80.21, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $83.74, implying the stock looks roughly 4.4% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 82/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Cal-Maine Foods Inc generated revenue of $3.5B at a net margin of 20.1%. Revenue declined 53.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 27.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $500M. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $59.57 (bear case) to $124.25 (bull case); at $80.21, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -19% fair-value upside, at 4%, CALM screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($537.59) versus Asset-Based ($36.21). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 84 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Cal-Maine Foods, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, grading, packaging, marketing, and distribution of shell eggs, egg products, and prepared foods.
Full company description
Cal-Maine Foods, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, grading, packaging, marketing, and distribution of shell eggs, egg products, and prepared foods. The company offers specialty shell eggs, including cage-free, organic, brown, free-range, and pasture-raised and nutritionally enhanced eggs, as well as conventional eggs under the Egg-Land's Best, Land O' Lakes, Farmhouse Eggs, Sunups, Sunny Meadow, and 4-Grain brand names. It also provides ready-to-eat products, such as hard-cooked eggs, egg wraps, protein pancakes, crepes and wrap-ups; and sells feed, miscellaneous byproducts, and resale products. The company sells its products to various customers, including national and regional grocery store chains, club stores, independent supermarkets, foodservice distributors, and egg product consumers primarily in the southwestern, southeastern, mid-western, northeastern, and mid-Atlantic regions of the United States, as well as Puerto Rico. Cal-Maine Foods, Inc. was founded in 1957 and is headquartered in Ridgeland, Mississippi.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Cal-Maine Foods Inc reported revenue of $4.3B in FY2025 versus $1.3B in FY2021, a compound +33.3%/yr. Reported net income was $1.2B in FY2025, compounding +393.3%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
of which total revenue +7.9 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.1 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch CALM: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Cal-Maine (CALM): Buy, Sell, or Hold Post Q2 Earnings?
- Who Is Circling Cal-Maine Foods?
- Is Cal-Maine Foods (CALM) Fully Priced After Its 221% Run?
- Does Cal-Maine’s Egg Price-Driven Earnings Slide Reshape The Bull Case For Cal-Maine Foods (CALM)?
Peer Group
Farm Products · 297 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Archer-Daniels-Midland Company ADM | $80.09 | $38.02 | -53% |
| Muyuan Foods Group 002714 | ¥40.15 | ¥47.42 | +18% |
| Bunge Global SA BG | $111.57 | $56.19 | -50% |
| Tyson Foods, Inc TSN | $56.55 | $28.60 | -49% |
| Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 | ¥13.80 | ¥11.18 | -19% |
| Mowi ASA MOWI | kr 206.00 | kr 260.70 | +27% |
| Fujian Wanchen Food Group 300972 | ¥201.06 | ¥143.09 | -29% |
| United Plantations Berhad 2089 | 32.60 MYR | 23.34 MYR | -28% |
| PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN | 2,960 IDR | 6,818 IDR | +130% |
| Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF | 23.40 THB | 43.24 THB | +85% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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