Atlas Energy Corp (CANSF) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · US · Market cap $67.4M
Atlas Energy Corp
CANSF · US
Fair value as of: Jul 29, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 12 days ago
Share price −23.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 47% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.0466). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0135 – $8.25 · fair‑value band $0.0319 – $0.0466 · the $0.0801 price screens above the $0.0425 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.
Analysis
Atlas Energy Corp (CANSF) currently trades at $0.0801, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0425, implying the stock looks roughly 46.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $4.7M. It earns a return on equity of -27.8%. Fundamentals as of Jul 29, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.0319 (bear case) to $0.0466 (bull case); at $0.0801, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 68% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at -47%, CANSF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 2
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Atlas Energy Corp. operates as an international upstream royalty and streaming company. It focuses on the identification, acquisition, and management of upstream oil and gas royalty and streaming transactions. The company was formerly known as Willow Biosciences Inc. and changed its name to Atlas Energy Corp. in June 2025. Atlas Energy Corp.
Full company description
Atlas Energy Corp. operates as an international upstream royalty and streaming company. It focuses on the identification, acquisition, and management of upstream oil and gas royalty and streaming transactions. The company was formerly known as Willow Biosciences Inc. and changed its name to Atlas Energy Corp. in June 2025. Atlas Energy Corp. is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Atlas Energy Corp reported revenue of $0 in FY2025 versus $133K in FY2021. Reported net income was −$1.4M in FY2025.
CANSF screens 47% overvalued. Compare with Enbridge Inc →
Peer Group
Oil & Gas Midstream · 87 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Midstream median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Midstream stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 29, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Enbridge Inc ENB | $56.46 | $47.20 | -16% |
| The Williams Companies, Inc WMB | $73.38 | $12.03 | -84% |
| Enterprise Products Partners L.P. EPD | $38.31 | $24.74 | -35% |
| TC Energy Corporation TRP | C$97.79 | C$42.00 | -57% |
| Kinder Morgan, Inc KMI | $32.54 | $11.12 | -66% |
| Energy Transfer LP, ET | $19.91 | $17.69 | -11% |
| ONEOK, Inc OKE | $93.52 | $64.05 | -32% |
| Targa Resources Corp TRGP | $273.35 | $79.61 | -71% |
| MPLX LP owns and MPLX | $57.17 | $37.05 | -35% |
| Cheniere Energy, Inc LNG | $255.83 | $211.18 | -17% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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