China Overseas Land & Investment Limited (CAOVY) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $22.9B

A solid business, screening 67% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price is below even our cautious bear case ($10.62). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
• Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
• As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $5.96 – $14.24 · fair‑value band $10.62 – $17.70 · the $8.50 price screens below the $14.16 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

China Overseas Land & Investment Limited (CAOVY) currently trades at $8.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $14.16, implying the stock looks roughly 66.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, China Overseas Land & Investment Limited generated revenue of $168B at a net margin of 7.6%. Revenue declined 13.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.3%. Net debt stands at $144B. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $10.62 (bear case) to $17.70 (bull case); at $8.50, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at 67%, CAOVY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Economic Profit ($126.53) versus Dividend Discount ($39.38). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

China Overseas Land & Investment Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the property development, commercial property operations, and other businesses in the People's Republic of China, the United Kingdom, and Macau.

Full company description

China Overseas Land & Investment Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the property development, commercial property operations, and other businesses in the People's Republic of China, the United Kingdom, and Macau. It is involved in the rental of properties; material procurement and supply chain management activities; issuance of guaranteed notes; property consultancy and real estate agency; and construction and building design consultancy activities. The company provides loan financing and security investment services; operates hotels; and develops and sells properties. In addition, the company engages in the investment and financing, land consolidation, regional planning, real estate development, engineering construction, industrial import, and property management businesses. Further, it offers urban services, including office buildings, flexible working space, shopping malls, star-rated hotels, long-term rental apartments, logistics parks, and architectural design and construction. The company was incorporated in 1979 and is based in Central, Hong Kong. China Overseas Land & Investment Limited is a subsidiary of China Overseas Holdings Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

China Overseas Land & Investment Limited reported revenue of $165B in FY2025 versus $297B in FY2021, a compound −13.7%/yr. Reported net income was $12.3B in FY2025, compounding −29.2%/yr from FY2021.

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Peer Group

Real Estate - Development · 588 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.