Casa Emtia Petrol Kimyevi ve Turevleri San. Tic. A.S. (CASA) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · TR · Market cap 333M TRY
Fair value as of: Aug 5, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated today
Share price −13.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 74% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (39/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (79.42 TRY). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (79.42 TRY to 145.05 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 58.40 TRY – 212.40 TRY · fair‑value band 79.42 TRY – 145.05 TRY · the 68.95 TRY price screens below the 119.85 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.
Analysis
Casa Emtia Petrol Kimyevi ve Turevleri San. Tic. A.S. (CASA) currently trades at 68.95 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 119.85 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 73.8% undervalued today. We read business quality at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Revenue declined 76.8% year over year. Net debt stands at 44.4M TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 5, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 79.42 TRY (bear case) to 145.05 TRY (bull case); at 68.95 TRY, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -24% fair-value upside, at 74%, CASA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (639.40 TRY) versus Dividend Discount (109.59 TRY). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Casa Emtia Petrol Kimyevi ve Turevleri San. Tic. A.S. engages in trading of commodities in Turkey. The company trades in physical goods such as oil, gold, and agricultural products. It offers gasoline, diesel, and fuel oil products; and operates six fuel stations. The company was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2019 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Casa Emtia Petrol Kimyevi ve Turevleri San. Tic. A.S. reported revenue of 1.1B TRY in FY2025 versus 153K TRY in FY2019, a compound +341.9%/yr. Reported net income was −131M TRY in FY2025.
Watch CASA: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Specialty Retail · 231 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 5, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY | $827.04 | $405.44 | -51% |
| Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM | $222.84 | $164.16 | -26% |
| Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA | $479.57 | $488.39 | +2% |
| DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS | $208.89 | $181.10 | -13% |
| Best Buy Co BBY | $83.98 | $109.12 | +30% |
| China Tourism Group 601888 | ¥52.90 | ¥40.40 | -24% |
| Tractor Supply Company TSCO | $31.01 | $35.52 | +15% |
| Murphy USA Inc MUSA | $618.57 | $423.35 | -32% |
| Five Below, Inc FIVE | $197.71 | $117.29 | -41% |
| Taiwan Mobile Co 3045 | 110.50 TWD | 80.98 TWD | -27% |
Compare Casa Emtia Petrol Kimyevi ve Turevleri San. Tic. A.S. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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