Castrol India Limited (CASTROLIND) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · IN · Market cap ₹183B
Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 11 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 2, 2026, revised from ₹121.87 to ₹93.64 (−23.2%) since Jun 29, 2026. Share price +2.6% over the past month.
A strong business, but screening 50% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 84/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹159.05). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- A fairly wide model range (₹65.31 to ₹159.05) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹79.94 – ₹252.91 · fair‑value band ₹65.31 – ₹159.05 · the ₹188.38 price screens above the ₹93.64 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
Analysis
Castrol India Limited (CASTROLIND) currently trades at ₹188.38, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹93.64, implying the stock looks roughly 50.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 84/100 (high quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Castrol India Limited generated revenue of ₹58.5B at a net margin of 16.4%. Revenue grew 8.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 45.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of ₹3.8B. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹65.31 (bear case) to ₹159.05 (bull case); at ₹188.38, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -50%, CASTROLIND screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (₹196.39) versus Asset-Based (₹12.87). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 81 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Castrol India Limited manufactures and markets automotive and industrial lubricants in India and internationally. The company offers engine and transmission oils, brake fluids, coolants, cleaners, and greases; EV transmission fluids, thermal fluids, and greases; and brake fluid chain lubricants, fork oils, gear oils, coolants, diesel exhaust fluids, …
Full company description
Castrol India Limited manufactures and markets automotive and industrial lubricants in India and internationally. The company offers engine and transmission oils, brake fluids, coolants, cleaners, and greases; EV transmission fluids, thermal fluids, and greases; and brake fluid chain lubricants, fork oils, gear oils, coolants, diesel exhaust fluids, hydraulic fluids, rust preventives, cleaners, and forming oils. The company offers its products under the Castor EDGE, Castrol's MAGNATEC, Castrol GTX, Castrol ON, Castrol Activ, Castrol POWER1, Castrol GO!, Castrol VECTON, Castrol CRB, and Castrol RX brands. It serves automotive, aerospace, Data centre and IT cooling, machinery manufacturing, power generation, oil and gas, robotics, wind, marine, and other industries. The company was founded in 1910 and is based in Mumbai, India. Castrol India Limited operates as a subsidiary of Castrol Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Castrol India Limited reported revenue of ₹57.2B in FY2025 versus ₹41.9B in FY2021, a compound +8.1%/yr. Reported net income was ₹9.5B in FY2025, compounding +5.8%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +5.4 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
CASTROLIND screens 50% overvalued. Compare with Reliance Industries Limited →
Peer Group
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 113 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reliance Industries Limited RELIANCE | ₹1,293 | ₹835.66 | -35% |
| Valero Energy Corporation VLO | $309.65 | $127.32 | -59% |
| Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC | $283.74 | $135.80 | -52% |
| Phillips 66 PSX | $196.16 | $101.04 | -48% |
| Neste Oyj NESTE | €31.10 | €4.07 | -87% |
| Formosa Petrochemical Corporation 6505 | 81.30 TWD | 16.68 TWD | -79% |
| Indian Oil Corporation IOC | ₹138.96 | ₹417.35 | +200% |
| HF Sinclair Corporation DINO | $88.59 | $48.90 | -45% |
| Bharat Petroleum Corporation BPCL | ₹315.55 | ₹846.81 | +168% |
| SK Innovation Co 096770 | 121,400 KRW | 58,865 KRW | -52% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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